Weekend #s STB 59.6M, Pets 29.3M, GB and LO 21.6M, IA5 21M

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Star Trek's OD will be on par with Ant-Man but it's going to increase tomorrow, 60M is locked.

 

How is 60 locked? Has to hit the high end to reach 60m.

 

22.5 gives me maybe 58.5 million.

Edited July 23, 2016 by MrPink

[CJohn]

9 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

How other studios are holding up this year for profits (using double the budget unless stated and rounding off to the nearest whole number):

 

  Hide contents

 

 

Disney:

 

Finest Hours: -75M (Per Bob Iger)

Zootopia: +723M

Jungle Book: +588M

Civil War: +651M

Alice: -63M

Dory: +328M (So far)

BFG: Best case scenario is -50M, worst case -70M. Let's say -60M.

Total: +2.1B

 

WB:

 

How to Be Single: +36M

Midnight Special: -30M

BVS: +373M

Barbershop: +15M

Keanu: -9M

The Nice Guys: -39M

Me Before You: +133M

The Conjuring: +222M

Central Intelligence: Will end up around +30M as Universal handled the foreign gross

Tarzan: Let's be optimistic and say -80M

Total: +651M

 

Fox:

 

Kung Fu Panda: +230M

Deadpool: +666M  

X-Men: +178M

IDR: +13M (so far)

Mike and Dave: Probably won't make much money in the remaining countries so let's say -10M

Total: +1.077B

 

Sony:

 

The Fifth Wave: +41M

Risen: +6M

Grimsby: -45M

Miracles From Heaven: +48M

Money Monster: +37M

Angry Birds: +197M

The Shallows: Should end around 70M WW so let's say +36M

Ghostbusters: Probably will end up losing or gaining nothing.

Total: +320M

 

Universal: 

 

Ride Along: +44M

Hail Caesar: +19M

Big Fat Wedding: +54M

The Boss: +21M

The Huntsman: -65M

Neighbors: +34M

Popstar: -30M

Warcraft: Who fucking knows  

The Purge: +60M (so far)

SLOP: +126M (so far)

Total: +263M

 
 

 

 

1. Disney: +2.1B

2. Fox: +1.077B

3. WB: +651M

4. Sony: +320M

5. Universal: +263M

6. Paramount: -98M

 

Sony could end up ahead of Universal if Mag 7, Passengers, and Sausage Party do great. Not doing Lionsgate but let's just say NYSM saved their ass  

Warcraft lost 15M.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Baumer said:

Star Trek is not increasing tomorrow. Come on dude.

 

1 minute ago, MrPink said:

 

How is 60 locked? Has to hit the high end to reach 60m.

 

22.5 gives me maybe 58.5 million.

We'll see, the last two increased but they were in May. Rogue Nation only dropped 3.2% so that's probably worst case scenario for tomorrow. I'm just glad we have NUMBERS!

Edited July 23, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[baumer]

Is that SLOP number legit @Rth

 

That's more than a 45% increase 

[Mojoguy]

Fri looking STD 22-23, SLOP 8.7, LO 8,IA5 7, WYNGC 6

Thanks Rth!

Mods, time to put Rth's numbers in the topic title!

[MrPink]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

We'll see, the last two increased but they were in May. Rogue Nation only dropped 3.2% so that's probably worst case scenario for tomorrow.

 

Ant Man dropped 14%. The other two are worthless in comparison since it was early/mid May, they were bound to increase on Saturday, especially since 2009 was less preview heavy and ID had already burned off demand on Thursday

 

I would expect 10% drop tomorrow. Rogue Nation had a pretty small drop that was unusual.

Edited July 23, 2016 by MrPink

[baumer]

Even if ST increases by 20% from Fridays number that gives it about 20 mill. That gives it 58.

[WrathOfHan]

Worst case scenario:

 

22M

20.9M

15.7M

58.6M Weekend

 

Best case:

 

23M

24.2M

19.4M

66.6M Weekend  

 

It'll probably decrease or increase 5% tomorrow.

Edited July 23, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[keysersoze123]

you need to remove previews while projecting saturday number. 17m friday will lead to around 19m saturday and 15m sunday. So around 57m for the weekend.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Star Trek's OD will be on par with Ant-Man but it's going to increase tomorrow, 60M is locked.

 

Not necessarily, the others were May openers. Dawn of Planet of The Apes also skewed older but released in July decreased 7.8% on Sat and it only had $4.2m previews

 

 

[cannastop]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Star Trek's OD will be on par with Ant-Man but it's going to increase tomorrow, 60M is locked.

WTF? Can you find any examples of a blockbuster rising on its opening Saturday in July?

 

It didn't happen with Ant-Man, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes or Captain America.

[Mojoguy]

Put Rth's numbers in the topic title! Come on!

[baumer]

So if slop does 8.7 that gives it abut 27-28

[WrathOfHan]

Stop piling on me, I got excited  

[MrPink]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Stop piling on me, I got excited  

 

62-63 is the absolutely highest range I can give it, needs 23 million and drop like Rogue Nation throughout the weekend to do that.

 

54-55 is probably towards the lowest it'll go.

 

[baumer]

Im kinda drunk and on my phone. So cant change title. Cjohn is mourning. Maybe when Tele gets here.

[TalismanRing]

11 minutes ago, Rth said:

Fri looking STD 22-23, SLOP 8.7, LO 8,IA5 7, WYNGC 6

 

IA5 with $7m looks to go under $20m, closer to $19m.

 

Planes2 did did a $6.4m ($5.95m minus previews) Friday for $17.4m w/e.  Planes did $8.16m for $22.23m.  Both with around a 2.76m w/e multi

[WrathOfHan]

The good thing is this will have a 3x, the only Trek movies that didn't hit it were First Contact and Nemesis and the former was within 1M of doing it.

[baumer]

Wow. IA might finish under 50.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

 

IA5 with $7m looks to go under $20m, closer to $19m.

 

Planes2 did did a $6.4m ($5.95m minus previews) Friday for $17.4m w/e.  Planes did $8.16m for $22.23m.  Both with around a 2.76m w/e multi

Potential fudge by Fox this weekend?