ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[Dementeleus]

Just now, grey ghost said:

 

Something tells me you've pondered these odds before. 

 

They're approximately 3,720 to 1.

[grey ghost]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

A $tar war$ ca$h grab

Gareth Edwards

Queso

Not an event

 

Traitor!

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Check out the OS numbers. 300M is looking less and less likely (If you're talking about Sing).

What? I'm talking about R1! Who the hell wants to talk about sing right now? 

Edited December 15, 2016 by MovieMan89

[Fancyarcher]

4 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

Hahaha if you think $300M is even realistic on any level than you're kidding yourself. Be realistic. 

 

200m doesn't even seem possible at this point.

[druv10]

We've a group 6 going tomorrow night, excitement is palpable right now!

[MovieMan89]

Just now, druv10 said:

We've a group 6 going tomorrow night, excitement is palpable right now!

Or is excitement palpatine? 

[filmlover]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

What? I'm talking about R1! Who the hell wants to talk about sing right now? 

Sing billboards are all along the highway right now. Although I saw one for Rogue One the other day as well.

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Check out the OS numbers. 300M is looking less and less likely (If you're talking about Sing).

I'm not sure that really matters. It just might be dis-proportionally successful in USA+Canada.

[druv10]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

A $tar war$ ca$h grab

Gareth Edwards

Queso

Not an event

Every movie is a cash grab on a certain level.

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Traitor!

Don't worry, I'll be back to stanning for E8. Just don't  ask me to be on board that ridiculous 300m OW nonsense. 

[Dementeleus]

Just now, druv10 said:

Every movie is a cash grab on a certain level.

 

You might even say, "from a certain point of view".

[AndyLL]

8 hours ago, POTUS said:

Get your Derby Picks in by midnight Thursday PT.

New elimination tourney begins this weekend. Just sign up and enter your picks for the derby and you're paired in a bracket automatically

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

Also the best Rogue One prediction in the Derby will win 2 months of Gold Account.

[grey ghost]

This movie is catharsis for the alt right taking over the planet.

 

I refuse to believe it could miss 150/450.

 

 

[JonathanLB]

Who the hell cares about some dumb musical piece of crap kids film? We are talking about Rogue One! Lol.

 

$300M for Rogue One is a 100% lock. Even $400M is 90%. And $500M maybe even money, 50-50.

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, AndyLL said:

 

Also the best Rogue One prediction in the Derby will win 2 months of Gold Account.

[Deep Wang]

6 hours ago, James said:

So an OW in the 126-139m range using TFA preview-weekend ratio. Let's assume the multi is higher and it hits the upper ceiling which is 150m. That's still a far cry from the 175m+ prediction a lot of people around here are throwing. I'm gonna put my weekend prediction at 132-133m. Let's see how close I get.

 

6 hours ago, James said:

I explained: I used the same preview/weekend ratio TFA had.

 

Could you please offer up a breakdown of how you see this playing out over the weekend?  Like Tele does below?

 

22 minutes ago, Grand Moff Tele said:

 

25m previews

20m Friday

23m Saturday

18m Sunday

 

 

 

Does that look about right @SteveJaros?

[grey ghost]

3 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Every movie is a cash grab on a certain level.

 

Every blockbuster is 100% motivated by money.

 

Corporations aren't going to gamble 250 million on artistic statements.

 

Nobody in their right mind would.

 

 

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

Who the hell cares about some dumb musical piece of crap kids film? We are talking about Rogue One! Lol.

 

$300M for Rogue One is a 100% lock. Even $400M is 90%. And $500M maybe even money, 50-50.

Weren't you the person who got all "why is everyone talking about other movies besides Star Wars" when The Force Awakens was over a month old? Just because a Star Wars movie opens doesn't mean the world stops spinning.

[MovieMan89]

I honestly don't get the fuss over the pre-sales though. They're sitting at like 14m right? Compare that to 100m for TFA and we see just how gargantuan the disparity in hype is between the two. 

[aabattery]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

I honestly don't get the fuss over the pre-sales though. They're sitting at like 14m right? Compare that to 100m for TFA and we see just how gargantuan the disparity in hype is between the two. 

 

Pretty sure thats just AMC numbers. From memory they represent like 20% of all pre-sales? Can't  quite remember the specifics.

Edited December 15, 2016 by AABATTERY