5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[XO21]

Frozen too...it was re worked at last minute

[cannastop]

Fuck it, all movies have troubled productions.

[elcaballero]

Looks like DM3 is going to open under Zootopia (gotta get my Zootopia plug in). 

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, elcaballero said:

Looks like DM3 is going to open under Zootopia (gotta get my Zootopia plug in). 

That's my job.

[Jonwo]

11 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

TOY STORY 2 and RATATOUILLE were also "troubled productions".

 

Toy Story 2's problems was due to Pixar having a tight deadline as it was originally going to be DTV

[GrimFandango]

30 minutes ago, John Marston said:

looks like we are getting actuals this weekend after all

 

 

Weekend Box Office

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Despicable Me 3 Uni. $72,414,390 - 4,529 - $15,989 $72,414,390 $80 1 2 N Baby Driver Sony $21,000,000 - 3,226 - $6,510 $30,029,105 $34 1 3 1 Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $17,000,000 -62.0% 4,132 +63 $4,114 $102,103,351 $217 2 4 2 Wonder Woman WB $15,700,000 -37.0% 3,404 -529 $4,612 $346,229,475 $149 5 5 3 Cars 3 BV $9,689,279 -59.8% 3,576 -680 $2,710 $120,879,378 - 3

 

 

On 6/27/2017 at 4:05 PM, grimfandango said:

 

Looks like you're right, DM3 now down to 5.6/10 at 71%. Reviewers saying it's pretty "meh".  71% is kind of high considering people barely seem to like it. At this point, I'm expecting Baby Driver to really break out, DM3 to have a decent but soft opening, WW to continue holding better than average, C3 to fall off quite a bit with TF5 falling off fairly steeply but retaining a top 3 spot, if not top 2.

 

 

I think I did ok for my first prediction, albeit without trying to predict numbers.

 

 

Edited July 3, 2017 by grimfandango

[Fancyarcher]

23 hours ago, Jonwo said:

 

I think Emoji will be a modest success, not too far off what Cloudy 2 did. SPA has no real direction and it's clear they seem to have a throw and see what sticks approach to their films. 

 

Sometimes stupid ideas on paper can work, The Lego Movie on paper sounded dumb but the first trailer sold it.

 

Not so sure about that. The Lego Movie worked because they had the right people and played with the property and had fun with it. The Emoji Movie looks to have none of its charm, mind you I hope it's better then the trailers suggest. 

[a2k]

GWTW was a very troubled production it seems.

 

Coming back to Pixar, TGD had bigger issues than being a troubled production. COCO can be 'non-troubled' but right now the issue seems to be it's new wine in old bottle - which one can say for a lot of movies from the same production house, but there it's just too obvious. Maybe am completely wrong about it.

[RamblinRed]

DM3 numbers are updated estimates not final numbers according to the-numbers.com

 

Way it is going it might be sub 70 by the time they actually produce estimates.

 

[teardropmina]

38 minutes ago, John Marston said:

looks like we are getting actuals this weekend after all

 

 

they're still just estimates, most obvious with BD and TF5 rounded numbers.  

[Claire of Themyscira]

We have a president?

 

I don't recall that.

 

[grim22]

Monday, 1PM: Illumination’s Despicable Me 3 actually will cross that $85M mark that Universal originally forecasted — just a day later. Midday industry estimates see the animated threequel in the vicinity of$14.5M today, -24%  for a four-day take of $86.9M. DM3 looks to be down another 20% tomorrow for $11M-$12M for a five-day run of $98.9M on the high end. Minions grossed $145.5M in its first five days in 2015, DM2 made $143M over its first Wednesday-Sunday, and Despicable Me made $72M in its Friday-Tuesday run.

 

Sony TriStar/Media Rights Capital/Working Title’s Independence Day weekend sleeper Baby Driver will raise its cume through six days to $34.25M after a Monday that’s between $4.5M-$4.75M, -30% on the high end. Industry estimates think Tuesday will deliver another $3.8M for a week’s total of $38.1M.

 

New Line/Village Roadshow/Warner Bros.’ casualty The House continues to spring holes with an estimated $1.7M today and $1.5M tomorrow for a five-day total of $11.9M for this $40M budgeted comedy. Through four days, House is at $10.4M. Ouch.

 

[Nova]

The House cost $40M and is only going to make $10M through an inflated 5-day July fourth weekend. 

 

Yikes. 

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Monday, 1PM: Illumination’s Despicable Me 3 actually will cross that $85M mark that Universal originally forecasted — just a day later. Midday industry estimates see the animated threequel in the vicinity of$14.5M today, -24%  for a four-day take of $86.9M. DM3 looks to be down another 20% tomorrow for $11M-$12M for a five-day run of $98.9M on the high end. Minions grossed $145.5M in its first five days in 2015, DM2 made $143M over its first Wednesday-Sunday, and Despicable Me made $72M in its Friday-Tuesday run.

 

Sony TriStar/Media Rights Capital/Working Title’s Independence Day weekend sleeper Baby Driver will raise its cume through six days to $34.25M after a Monday that’s between $4.5M-$4.75M, -30% on the high end. Industry estimates think Tuesday will deliver another $3.8M for a week’s total of $38.1M.

 

New Line/Village Roadshow/Warner Bros.’ casualty The House continues to spring holes with an estimated $1.7M today and $1.5M tomorrow for a five-day total of $11.9M for this $40M budgeted comedy. Through four days, House is at $10.4M. Ouch.

 

 

Was hoping for -20% on Monday and -10% on Tuesday. 24% drop on Monday is a little steeper but in line with how it's been trending over the weekend.

[grim22]

Just now, a2knet said:

 

Was hoping for -20% on Monday and -10% on Tuesday. 24% drop on Monday is a little steeper but in line with how it's been trending over the weekend.

 

I don't think movies will drop on Tuesday, in 2006 they dropped 20% on average, expecting them to stay flat this year thanks to Cheap Tuesday cancelling out the 20%.

[a2k]

Intresting thing about Shrek4. It's 3.37x multiplier was a huge improvement over Shrek3's 2.62x.

Also, it seemed set for 3.5x+ and 250m dom before TS3 crashed it in weekend 5.

 

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
May 21–23	1	$70,838,207	-	4,359	-	$16,251	$70,838,207	1
May 28–30	1	$43,311,063	-38.9%	4,367	+8	$9,918	$133,061,414	2
May 28–31	1	$57,060,434	-19.4%	4,367	+8	$13,066	$146,810,785	2
Jun 4–6	1	$25,486,465	-41.2%	4,386	+19	$5,811	$183,229,453	3
Jun 11–13	3	$15,770,491	-38.1%	3,868	-518	$4,077	$210,022,557	4
Jun 18–20	5	$5,620,398	-64.4%	3,207	-661	$1,753	$223,076,925	5
Jun 25–27	7	$3,101,365	-44.8%	2,340	-867	$1,325	$229,539,089	6
Jul 2–4	9	$890,166	-71.3%	957	-1,383	$930	$232,278,641	7
Jul 2–5	9	$1,275,957	-58.9%	957	-1,383	$1,333	$232,664,432	7
Jul 9–11	14	$502,392	-43.6%	461	-496	$1,090	$233,784,897	8
Jul 16–18	21	$280,374	-44.2%	240	-221	$1,168	$234,393,583	9
Jul 23–25	23	$225,825	-19.5%	202	-38	$1,118	$234,845,975	10

 

It also had summer weekdays, so the early weekend holds were impressive. Weekend 3 and 4 were post Memorial Day when weekdays get stronger.

Edited July 3, 2017 by a2knet

[FantasticBeasts]

Looking at the WW numbers, franchise fatigue for the Despicable Me franchise is so apparent only in US.

At a WW level it is performing -15% of what Minions did, which is far from  shaby...

The reasons for this are up for grabs. I guess though that Gru was never as liked in US as in pretty much the rest of the world.

[Johnny Tran]

1 hour ago, YourMother said:

Hopefully Black Panther doesn't suffer.

 

Trump Supporters only make up about 30% of the nation. It's strange to have an election where one person has 5 million more votes than the other and does not win the election but that's how the electoral college works and we're stuck with it.  Plus, more people need to get off their ass and vote period. They can complain about government all they want but it means nothing if you don't vote. 

 

Black Panther will do very very well. I don't expect politics to play a factor. This is a very diverse country and as said most of the country is made up of progressive and inclusive thinking. 

[Jonwo]

26 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

 

Not so sure about that. The Lego Movie worked because they had the right people and played with the property and had fun with it. The Emoji Movie looks to have none of its charm, mind you I hope it's better then the trailers suggest. 

 

The Emoji Movie will do fine but I agree it looks like it'll have none of the charm of something like Lego Movie or Wreck it Ralph. 

 

 

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

 

The Emoji Movie will do fine but I agree it looks like it'll have none of the charm of something like Lego Movie or Wreck it Ralph. 

 

 

Do you think's guaranteed $100m dom?