Tuesday Numbers : DUNKIRK:$2.74M | EM:$2.58M | TDT:$2.44M | GT:$1.67M | SMH:$1.66M | KIDNAP:$1.45M........ WW:$400M YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY

[WrathOfHan]

34 minutes ago, El Panda Machos said:

Predicts for rest of the year

 

 

Unreleased titles in bold:

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 800M

2. Beauty and the Beast: 504M

3. Wonder Woman: 407M

4. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2: 389M

5. Thor: Ragnarok: 360M

6. Justice League: 350M

7. Spider-Man: Homecoming: 320M

8. Despicable Me 3: 260M

9. Logan: 226M
10. The Fate of the Furious: 225M

11. Dunkirk: 205M

12. Coco: 200M

13. The LEGO Batman Movie: 176M

14. Get Out: 175M

15. The Boss Baby: 175M

16. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales: 172M

17. Kong: Skull Island: 168M

18. Kingsman: The Golden Circle: 160M

19. Pitch Perfect 3: 155M

20. Cars 3: 150M

21. War for the Planet of the Apes: 143M

22. mother!: 140M

23. Split: 138M

24. Transformers: The Last Knight: 131M

25. The Papers: 130M

26. It: 125M

27. A Bad Moms Christmas: 120M

28. Girls Trip: 115M

29. Fifty Shades Darker: 114M

30. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 110M

31. Murder on the Orient Express: 105M

32. Baby Driver: 104M

33. Blade Runner 2049: 100M

34. Daddy's Home 2: 100M

 

[WrathOfHan]

I would love if The Shape of Water hit 100M, but an inter-species love story might be a bit too out there for a lot of people. If it's the frontrunner for BP, I could certainly see it hitting the mark, but it also depends on how Searchlight expands it.

[YM!]

19 minutes ago, YourMother said:

1.) Jedi $230M/$800M

2.) Beast $175M/$505M

3.) JL $165M/$420M

4.) Wonder Woman $103M/$412M

5.) Guardians 2 $146M/$390M

6.) Spider-Man $117M/$325M

7.) Thor $115M/$300M

8.) DM3 $72M/$260M

9.) Jumanji $35M/$230M

10.) Logan $85M/$227M

11.) F8te $98M/$226M

12.) Coco $45M/$210M

13.) Dunkirk $50M/$190M

14.) IT $70M/$185M

15.) Lego Batman $53M/$175M

16.) Get Out $30M/$175M

17.) Boss Baby $50M/$175M

18.) Pirates $60M/$172M

19.) Kingsman $55M/$170M

20.) Kong $61M/$168M

21.) Cars 3 $54M/$151M

22.) Blade Runner $40M/$145M

23.) Apes $55M/$145M

24.) Pitch $30M/$140M

25.) Mom's $35M/$135M

26.) GT $30M/$130M

27.) Last Knight $45M/$130M

28.) Ninjago $35M/$125M

29.) 50SD $47M/$114M

30.) Baby $21M/$110M

31.) Murder $30M/$105M

32.) Water $15M/$100M

33.) Papers $20M/$100M

 

Edited August 9, 2017 by YourMother

[Maxmoser3]

Dunkirk has been a film that's held out strong and should make $195-$200 million easily 

[Kvikk Lunsj]

IF Dunkirk makes 200m domestically it will be the 2nd highest grossing world war 2 film domestically. 

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Dexter of Suburbia said:

IF Dunkirk makes 200m domestically it will be the 2nd highest grossing world war 2 film domestically. 

 Saving Private Ryan really was a beast. For a War drama to win the yearly DOM crown is astounding.

[Barnack]

28 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 Saving Private Ryan really was a beast. For a War drama to win the yearly DOM crown is astounding.

Was it really special to do so in 1998 ? I imagine more than in the 70s, but it was not as astounding/surprising than in 2014 when Sniper did it, 1998 was still before the definitive shift toward franchise overlord always getting the yearly DOM crown that really started in 2001.

 

I would imagine that a Spielberg movie specially with Hanks or Cruise was always expected to be a potential number on back in those days.

 

That said I could be completely wrong, was not following any of this until recently.

Edited August 9, 2017 by Barnack

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Was it really special to do so in 1998 ? I imagine more than in the 70s, but it was not as astounding/surprising than in 2014 when Sniper did it, 1998 was still before the definitive shift toward franchise overlord always getting the yaerly DOM crown that really started in 2001.

 

I would imagine that a Spielberg movie specially with Hanks or Cruise was always expected to be a potential number on back in those days.

 

That said I could be completely wrong, was not following any of this until recently.

 

I always kinda have the current Box office landscape in my mind but you could be right. The 90s were still a star-driven period i suppose. Still, SPR adjusts to 400M+. For a brutal war film, that is just a massive number. 

[the beast]

How I Think 2017's Box Office Will Look Like

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 230m / 828m (3.6x)
2. Beauty & The Beast - 175m / 504m (2.88x)
3. Justice League: - 168m / 445.2m (2.65x)
4. Wonder Woman - 103m / 413m (4x)
5. Guardians Of The Galaxy 2 - 146m / 389m (2.66x)
6. Thor: Ragnarok - 123.5m / 340m (2.75x)
7. Spider-man: Homecoming - 117m / 327m (2.79x)
8. Coco - 71.6m / 301m (4.2x)
9. Despicable Me 3 - 72m / 265m (3.66x)
10. Logan - 88m / 227m (2.58x)
11. F8 Of The Furious - 98m / 225m (2.3x)
12. Dunkirk - 50m / 205m (4.1x)
13. It - 65m / 200m (3.05x)
14. Lego Batman - 53m / 176m (3.32x)
15. Get Out - 33m / 175m (5.3x)
16. Boss Baby - 50m / 175m (3.5x)
17. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle - 34m / 173m (5.1x)
18. Pirates Of The Carribean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 63m / 172m (2.7x)
19. Kong: Skull Island - 62m / 168m (2.71x)
20. mother! - 42m / 162m (3.85x)
21. Blade Runner 2049 - 36m / 153m (4.25x)
22. Pitch Perfect 3 - 45m / 152m (3.37x)
23. Cars 3 - 53m / 150m (2.83x)
24. War For The Planet Of The Apes - 56m / 150m (2.68x)
25. Daddy's Home 2 - 46m / 148m (3.22x)
26. A Bad Mom's Christmas - 37m / 145m (3.92x)
27. Split - 40m / 138m (3.45x)
28. Ninjango - 38m / 136m (3.55x)
29. Kingsman 2 - 49m / 135m (2.75x)
30. Girls Trip - 31m / 135m (4.35x)
31. TF5 - 45m / 131m (2.91x)
32. Fifty Shades Darker - 47m / 114m (2.42x)
33. Baby Driver - 20m / 110m (5.5x)
34. Murder On The Orient Express - 25m / 105m (4.2x)
35. Ferdinand - 23m / 102m (4.43x)

Edited August 9, 2017 by the beast

[ZattMurdock]

32 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Unreleased titles in bold:

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 800M

2. Beauty and the Beast: 504M

3. Wonder Woman: 407M

4. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2: 389M

5. Thor: Ragnarok: 360M

6. Justice League: 350M

7. Spider-Man: Homecoming: 320M

8. Despicable Me 3: 260M

9. Logan: 226M
10. The Fate of the Furious: 225M

11. Dunkirk: 205M

12. Coco: 200M

13. The LEGO Batman Movie: 176M

14. Get Out: 175M

15. The Boss Baby: 175M

16. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales: 172M

17. Kong: Skull Island: 168M

18. Kingsman: The Golden Circle: 160M

19. Pitch Perfect 3: 155M

20. Cars 3: 150M

21. War for the Planet of the Apes: 143M

22. mother!: 140M

23. Split: 138M

24. Transformers: The Last Knight: 131M

25. The Papers: 130M

26. It: 125M

27. A Bad Moms Christmas: 120M

28. Girls Trip: 115M

29. Fifty Shades Darker: 114M

30. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 110M

31. Murder on the Orient Express: 105M

32. Baby Driver: 104M

33. Blade Runner 2049: 100M

34. Daddy's Home 2: 100M

 

I'll take a stab at this, but only the top 10 (Unreleased titles bold):

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: $870m

2. Beauty and the Beast: $504m

3. Wonder Woman: $411m

4. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2: $390m

5. Justice League: $385m 

6. Spider-Man: Homecoming: $329m

7. Thor: Ragnarok: $314m

8. Despicable Me 3: $268m

9. Coco: $240m

10. Blade Runner 2049: $234m

 

I think people are selling Blade Runner 2049 short, and I do think it has a mix of novelty/nostalgia/hot director that will make it breakout. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, iJackSparrow said:

I'll take a stab at this, but only the top 10 (Unreleased titles bold):

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: $870m

2. Beauty and the Beast: $504m

3. Wonder Woman: $411m

4. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2: $390m

5. Justice League: $385m 

6. Spider-Man: Homecoming: $329m

7. Thor: Ragnarok: $314m

8. Despicable Me 3: $268m

9. Coco: $240m

10. Blade Runner 2049: $234m

 

I think people are selling Blade Runner 2049 short, and I do think it has a mix of novelty/nostalgia/hot director that will make it breakout. 

That's WAY too high for Blade Runner. I could understand something around 130-140M, but I highly doubt it's going to be accesible to the GA. It's a two and a half hour slow moving sci-fi film, and the original Blade Runner isn't THAT big.

[That One Girl]

Of course Han thinks mother! will outgross It.

 

Of course he does.

[ZattMurdock]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

That's WAY too high for Blade Runner. I could understand something around 130-140M, but I highly doubt it's going to be accesible to the GA. It's a two and a half hour slow moving sci-fi film, and the original Blade Runner isn't THAT big.

I think it just has all the right elements going for it. If it's good, I think that it will breakout hard. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, That Floating Guy said:

Of course Han thinks mother! will outgross It.

 

Of course he does.

JLaw. Her power.

 

[Johnny Tran]

I'm here for Wonder Woman. What a run. I thought $300M would be fantastic. Absurd run by her.

[That One Girl]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

JLaw. Her power.

 

 

She has not yet proven she can cause a movie itself to get to 140M on her name alone.  Your prediction makes no sense.  You really must be betting on IT to have shitty reviews, because if it doesn't get bad reviews, it's gonna bite you in the ass

[ZattMurdock]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

JLaw. Her power.

 

All I'm gonna say is that they are investing A LOT of money into this. I'm getting Twitter promoted tweets and youtube ads for this quite constantly, and I wasn't even aware of this existing before this weekend. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, That Floating Guy said:

 

She has not yet proven she can cause a movie itself to get to 140M on her name alone.  Your prediction makes no sense.  You really must be betting on IT to have shitty reviews, because if it doesn't get bad reviews, it's gonna bite you in the ass

I'm predicting 55/125 for It. How is that not good? It is an entirely different horror beast to predict.

[ZattMurdock]

1 minute ago, Johnny Tran said:

I'm here for Wonder Woman. What a run. I thought $300M would be fantastic. Absurd run by her.

I was called nuts for my $358m prediction. 

 

The highest I said it could get if I'm not mistaken weas $380-$390m, but as soon as Tele made his club over Spidey 1 I was in. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, iJackSparrow said:

All I'm gonna say is that they are investing A LOT of money into this. I'm getting Twitter promoted tweets and youtube ads for this quite constantly, and I wasn't even aware of this existing before this weekend. 

The trailer was still trending on YT this morning. All it needs is good reviews and good WOM to explode. Paramount is nailing the secrecy of it.