Ezen Baklattan Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Gotham Awards Winners Spoiler Best Picture: Call Me By Your Name Best Actor: James Franco (The Disaster Artist) Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Best Screenplay: Get Out Best Documentary: Small Island National Board of Review Spoiler Best Picture: The Post Best Director: Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) Best Actor: Tom Hanks (The Post) Best Actress: Meryl Streep (The Post) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Original Screenplay: Phantom Thread Best Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist Best Ensemble: Get Out Best First Feature: Get Out Top 10 Films: Baby Driver, Call Me By Your Name, The Disaster Artist, Downsizing, Dunkirk, The Florida Project, Get Out, Lady Bird, Logan, Phantom Thread New York Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: Lady Bird Best Director: Sean Baker (The Florida Project) Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip) Best Screenplay: Phantom Thread Best Animated Feature: Coco Best Foreign Film: BPM Best Documentary: Faces/Places Best Cinematography: Mudbound Best First Feature: Get Out Los Angeles Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: Call Me By Your Name Best Director: TIE: Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water), Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name) Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Best Actress: Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Screenplay: Get Out Best Animated Film: The Breadwinner Best Foreign Film: TIE: BPM, Loveless Best Documentary: Faces/Places Best Film Editing: Dunkirk Best Production Design: Blade Runner 2049 Best Music: Phantom Thread AFI Top 10 Films Spoiler The Big Sick Call Me By Your Name Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Lady Bird The Post The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Wonder Woman Detroit Film Critics Spoiler Best Picture: The Florida Project Best Director: Sean Baker (The Florida Project) Best Actor: James Franco (The Disaster Artist) Best Actress: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney (I, Tonya) Best Ensemble: The Post Best Breakthrough: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Animated Film: The LEGO Batman Movie Best Documentary: Jim & Andy: The Great Beyond Best Music: Baby Driver Washington DC Film Critics Spoiler Best Picture: Get Out Best Director: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) Best Actor: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) Best Actress: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Ensemble: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Breakthrough: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Original Screenplay: Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay: Mudbound Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Jane Best Foreign Film: BPM Best Production Design: Blade Runner: 2049 Best Cinematography: Blade Runner: 2049 Best Editing: Baby Driver Best Original Score: Blade Runner: 2049 Boston Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: Get Out Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Best Actress: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Ensemble: Get Out Best Breakthrough: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Original Screenplay: Get Out Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Faces Places Best Foreign Film: First They Killed My Father Best Cinematography: Blade Runner: 2049 Best Editing: Dunkirk Best Original Score: Phantom Thread Top 10 Films: Get Out, The Florida Project, Call Me By Your Name, Lady Bird, Phantom Thread, Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, A Ghost Story, Good Time Boston Society of Film Critics Spoiler Best Picture: Phantom Thread Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) Best Actor: Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) Best Actress: Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Ensemble: The Meyerowitz Stories (New and Selected) Best Breakthrough: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Screenplay: Lady Bird Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Dawson City: Frozen Time Best Foreign Film: The Square Best Cinematography: Dunkirk Best Editing: A Ghost Story Best Original Score: Phantom Thread San Francisco Film Critics Circle Spoiler Best Picture: The Florida Project Best Director: Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) Best Actor: Andy Serkis (War for the Planet of the Apes) Best Actress: Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best Ensemble: The Meyerowitz Stories (New and Selected) Best Breakthrough: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Original Screenplay: Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me By Your Name Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Faces/Places Best Foreign Film: BPM Best Cinematography: Blade Runner: 2049 Best Production Design: The Shape of Water Best Editing: Baby Driver Best Original Score: Phantom Thread New York Online Film Critics Spoiler Best Picture: TIE: Mudbound and The Florida Project Best Director: Dee Rees (Mudbound) Best Actor: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) Best Actress: Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney (I, Tonya) Best Ensemble: Mudbound Best Breakthrough: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) Best First Feature: Get Out Best Screenplay: Get Out Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story Best Foreign Film: In The Fade Best Cinematography: The Shape of Water Best Use of Music: Baby Driver Top 10 Films: Call Me By Your Name, Dunkirk, The Florida Project, Get Out, I, Tonya, Lady Bird, Mudbound, Phantom Thread, The Post, The Shape of Water Toronto Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: The Florida Project Best Director: Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) Best Actress: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actor: Williem Dafoe (The Florida Project) Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) Best First Feature: Get Out Best Screenplay: Get Out Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Faces Places Best Foreign Film: The Square San Diego Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: Get Out Best Director: Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) Best Actor: James McAvoy (Split) Best Actress: Sally Hawkins (Maudie) Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney (I, Tonya) Best First Feature: Get Out Best Original Screenplay: Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist Best Animated Film: My Life as a Zucchini Best Documentary: Jane Best Editing: Baby Driver Best Cinematography: Dunkirk Best Production Design: The Shape of Water Best Visual Effects: War for the Planet of the Apes Best Foreign Film: TIE: Beauty and the Beast and Phantom Thread Best Use of Music: Baby Driver Best Breakthrough: Timothee Chalamet Best Ensemble: Mudbound San Diego Film Critics Association Spoiler Best Picture: Get Out Best Director: Jordan Peele (Get Out) Best Actor: Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) Best Actress: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Best Supporting Actor: Laurence Fishburne (Last Flag Flying) Best Supporting Actress: Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip) Best Comedy Feature: Girls Trip Best Screenplay: Get Out Best Animated Film: Coco Best Documentary: Step Best Foreign Film: The Wound Best Original Song: "It Ain't Fair" -Detroit Best Ensemble: Detroit Top 10 Films: Get Out, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri, Coco, Girls Trip, Detroit, Call Me By Your Name, The Shape of Water, Gook, Crown Heights, Marshall Upcoming Awards Spoiler 12/13: SAG Nominations 12/18: Las Vegas Film Critics Awards 1/4: WGA Nominations 1/5: PGA Nominations 1/6: National Society of Film Critics Awards 1/7: Golden Globe Nominations 1/9: BAFTA Film Nominations, People's Choice Awards (Lol) 1/10: DGA Nominations 1/11: Critics Choice Awards 1/15: NAACP Awards 1/20: PGA Awards 1/21: SAG Awards 2/3: DGA Awards 2/11: WGA Awards 2/13: Visual Effects Society Awards 2/18: BAFTA Awards Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 Love this thread every year. I say Dunkirk for NBR is smart but Get Out and Call Me By Your Name win most of the critic's awards this year, with Lady Bird picking up a share too. I actually think Get Out wins NBR and Nolan takes Director. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 24, 2017 Share Posted November 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, spaghetti! said: Here’s a thread to discuss the first stage of critics awards! NBR announces on Tuesday - gonna say that Dunkirk takes it considering their love of WB. Is it okay if I ask what NBR is? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 24, 2017 Author Share Posted November 24, 2017 National Board of Review. Usually this is pretty ineffectual and is easily biased by studios (especially WB) but they’re still fun as the first major awards of the season. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 24, 2017 Author Share Posted November 24, 2017 11 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: Love this thread every year. I say Dunkirk for NBR is smart but Get Out and Call Me By Your Name win most of the critic's awards this year, with Lady Bird picking up a share too. I actually think Get Out wins NBR and Nolan takes Director. I can def see that too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 25, 2017 Share Posted November 25, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, spaghetti! said: Here’s a thread to discuss the first stage of critics awards! NBR announces on Tuesday - gonna say that Dunkirk takes it considering their love of WB. it's been pointed out previously that they have A24 affiliations as well so look out for any Florida Project/Lady Bird/Disaster Artist love. Edited November 25, 2017 by CoolioD1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 25, 2017 Author Share Posted November 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: it's been pointed out previously that they have A24 affiliations as well so look out for any Florida Project/Lady Bird/Disaster Artist love. Lady Bird seems like the most likely of all of them, but Moonlight seemed like it would easily win there too. (Manchester By The Sea did - hell, maybe Amazon is a big player and The Big Sick can win) Man I’m spending too much energy on this awards show lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 25, 2017 Share Posted November 25, 2017 I could see Lady Bird, Get Out, Cmbyn and Big Sick getting a lot of critic wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 25, 2017 Share Posted November 25, 2017 5 hours ago, spaghetti! said: National Board of Review. Usually this is pretty ineffectual and is easily biased by studios (especially WB) but they’re still fun as the first major awards of the season. Let's all be thankfu Clint didn't rush that 15:17 to Paris movie to this year (like it seemed it would) and it will open in February. They looooovvvvee Clint, or anyone related to him (they named Fury - which had Scott in a supporting role - for Best Ensemble three years ago lmfao). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 25, 2017 Share Posted November 25, 2017 My overall critic predicts Get Out takes the most BP wins Nolan gets the most director wins Timothee Chalamet gets the most BA wins Frances McDormand gets the most BAs wins Dafoe gets the most BSA wins Janney gets the most BSAs wins CMBYN gets the most adapted screenplay wins Three Billboards gets the most OS wins Deakins gets the most Cinematography wins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 NBR: BEST FILMThe Post BEST DIRECTOR Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird BEST DIRECTORIAL DEBUTJordan Peele, Get Out BEST CAST ENSEMBLEGet Out BEST ACTOR Tom Hanks, The Post BEST ACTRESS Meryl Streep, The Post BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird BEST ANIMATED FEATURECoco (Disney/Pixar) BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMANCE MALE Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMANCE FEMALE BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYPhantom Thread, Paul Thomas Anderson BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYThe Disaster Artist (Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 (edited) Only Da Berg has the power to break the WB legions at NBR. But even then A24 still got a goodly amount of love. So Berg's juice only goes so far. Edited November 28, 2017 by 4815162342 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 I would like to see how well The Post performs outside of this before I jump to conclusions. But wins like this that don't necessarily have other nominations displayed alongside them can really only be helpful to those that did manage to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 New York Film Critics Circle- November 30th The next notable precursor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 (edited) I'm working on trying to make a weighted model for precursors to see if I can use it to make an accurate predictor for the Oscars. Currently (given that there's only been three precursors with Gotham, Spirits and NBR) Overall I would have these in awards contention (the ranked ones having what I'd consider a significant advantage) Call Me By Your Name Get Out Lady Bird The Florida Project The Post The Disaster Artist Phantom Thread I, Tonya The Rider Good Time Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri Dunkirk Logan Downsizing Baby Driver Wonder Woman Columbus Mudbound Beach Rats Killing of the Sacred Deer The Big Sick Marjorie Prime The Model currently has Best Actress Meryl Streep Saorise Ronan Margot Robbie Frances McDormand Beatriz Hayek Shinobu Terajima Best Actor Timothee Chalamet Tom Hanks James Franco Daniel Kaluuya Harris Dickinson Robert Pattinson Director Peele, Get Out Gerwig, Lady Bird Baker, The Florida Project Carpigna, A Ciambra Guadadigno, Call Me By Your Name Safdie, Good Time Zhao, The Rider Supporting Actor: Dafoe Supporting Actress: Metcalf Original Screenplay: Phantom Thread Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist I'll update it more as more precursors come in, I figure the more precursors that happen the more refined the predicts will become. I'm basing the weight I give an award based on the historical correlation to the Oscars, and if there's a direct relationship (such as SAG or PGA), if it's a win or a nom, etc. Currently it's still skewed by a movie overperforming in one awards branch due to only being three I am measuring rn. Edited November 28, 2017 by The Panda Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted November 28, 2017 Share Posted November 28, 2017 With precursors taken into account and including all contenders, here are my predictions (ranked based on likelihood with mother! thrown in at the end for comedic effect) The Post Call Me by Your Name Dunkirk Get Out Lady Bird Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri The Florida Project The Shape of Water Phantom Thread Darkest Hour Blade Runner 2049 Molly's Game The Big Sick I, Tonya Mudbound The Disaster Artist Logan All the Money in the World Baby Driver Good Time Detroit Wind River Coco War for the Planet of the Apes Wonder Woman Loving Vincent Downsizing Wonderstruck mother! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 hour ago, That One Jar Jar Binks said: 29. mother! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 3 hours ago, The Panda said: Beatriz Hayek 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 47 minutes ago, slambros said: Lol I think I meant Hayek from Beatriz at Dinner? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 hour ago, The Panda said: Lol I think I meant Hayek from Beatriz at Dinner? Yeah, Salma Hayek from Beatriz at Dinner. Maybe we're underestimating how good of a job Salma did in that film if people are already confusing her with her character. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...