Thursday #s: TLJ 17.8M, Jumanji 7.55M, TGS 2.1M

[JohnnyGossamer]

3 minutes ago, ReyReyBattery said:

 

It's important to remember that just because it hasn't happened before doesn't mean it can't happen at all.

The only reason it could potentially happen is because $220M+ is an enormous opening. Either way, I still don't see it happening.

[redfirebird2008]

12 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

What big December movie has gone below 3.2x? I'm sure they exist, just haven't found it yet. I'll look more when I'm home on my desktop. 

 

I don't know. I'm only looking at the data we have so far after a week of revenue has come in the door. It needs a pretty good run from here to reach $700m and it needs an incredible run from here to reach $750+ million. Even a number like $715m requires a 35% lead on Rogue One the rest of the way.

 

On Saturday/Sunday last weekend, it was 37% ahead of Rogue One's opening Saturday/Sunday gross. If it is able to pull that kind of 37% lead the rest of the way, it will finish right at $720m.

Edited December 22, 2017 by redfirebird2008

[Taruseth]

16 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

What big December movie has gone below 3.2x? I'm sure they exist, just haven't found it yet. I'll look more when I'm home on my desktop. 

According to BOM only:

Scream 2 (32.9 / 101.3 Mio$ =>3.08x)

The Day the Earth Stood Still (30,5 / 79,4 Mio $ => 2.6x)

The Golden Compass (25.8 / 70.1 Mio $ => 2.7x)

Exodus: Gods and Kings (24.1 / 65 Mil $ =>2.7x)

Star Trek: Insurrection (22.1 / 70.2 Mio $ => 3.18x)

Beavis and Butt-Head Do America (Why would anyone name a movie like this ?!?) (20.1 / 63.1 Mio $ => 3.14x)

and of course Star Trek: Nemesis (18.5 / 43.3 Mio $ => 2.34x)

Krampus (16.3 / 42.7 Mio $ => 2.6x)

the others opened below 13 Mio $. and finished below 31 Mio$.

Edited December 22, 2017 by Taruseth

[ThomasNicole]

4 hours ago, Sal said:

Man, I knew Coco was going to lose a lot of screens but I was still hoping it might be able to go over Ferdinand this weekend, especially if Ferdinand got a 50% or more drop from last weekend.

I think Coco will do $ 6 - 6,5M this weekend [-35% / -39%]

 

Comparing to the other movies, Coco is doing good, have the second best jump today even with some people still in school / work

 

Coco should gross around $ 185M by January 1st

 

 

[RichWS]

Wait a second, the characters in Pitch Perfect 3 have just graduated from college? That's a hoot.

[Lancelot Gold]

26 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

According to BOM only:

Scream 2 (32.9 / 101.3 Mio$ =>3.08x)

The Day the Earth Stood Still (30,5 / 79,4 Mio $ => 2.6x)

The Golden Compass (25.8 / 70.1 Mio $ => 2.7x)

Exodus: Gods and Kings (24.1 / 65 Mil $ =>2.7x)

Star Trek: Insurrection (22.1 / 70.2 Mio $ => 3.18x)

Beavis and Butt-Head Do America (Why would anyone name a movie like this ?!?) (20.1 / 63.1 Mio $ => 3.14x)

and of course Star Trek: Nemesis (18.5 / 43.3 Mio $ => 2.34x)

Krampus (16.3 / 42.7 Mio $ => 2.6x)

the others opened below 13 Mio $. and finished below 31 Mio$.

Now I'm pretty sure everyone would agree that TLJ is better than all those, correct? WOM, critics, exit polling, sane people 😂

 

Or do people really hate it that badly? 

[hw64]

12 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

Now I'm pretty sure everyone would agree that TLJ is better than all those, correct? WOM, critics, exit polling, sane people 😂

 

Or do people really hate it that badly? 

Incomparable. TLJ opened to $220m; the biggest opener there is sub-$35m.

[TwoMisfits]

Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday December 21st, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$17,892,347	+6%	4,232	$4,228	$296,602,356	7
2	(2)	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony Pictures	$7,536,497	+5%	3,765	$2,002	$14,744,609	2
3	(3)	The Greatest Showman	20th Century Fox	$2,147,660	-12%	3,006	$714	$4,598,731	2
4	(4)	Ferdinand	20th Century Fox	$1,688,290	+22%	3,621	$466	$19,482,884	7
5	(5)	Coco	Walt Disney	$1,312,767	+10%	3,155	$416	$156,119,128	30
6	(6)	Wonder	Lionsgate	$932,146	+8%	2,676	$348	$112,957,750	35
7	(8)	The Star	Sony Pictures	$503,745	+22%	1,491	$338	$37,091,925	35
8	(9)	Justice League	Warner Bros.	$364,855	-10%	2,208	$165	$221,623,455	35
9	(7)	The Disaster Artist	A24	$358,260	-17%	1,010	$355	$14,810,401	21
10	(10)	Thor: Ragnarok	Walt Disney	$340,664	-11%	1,895	$180	$308,290,758	49
11	(12)	Lady Bird	A24	$295,416	-5%	947	$312	$27,300,818	49
12	(11)	Daddy’s Home 2	Paramount Pictures	$271,317	-20%	1,545	$176	$98,275,556	42
13	(13)	Murder on the Orient Express	20th Century Fox	$221,145	-16%	1,200	$184	$98,721,983	42
14	(14)	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	$213,252	-10%	158	$1,350	$4,565,665	21
15	(15)	Three Billboards Outside Eb…	Fox Searchlight	$178,286	-12%	707	$252	$22,215,619	42
-	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$129,995	-2%	84	$1,548	$2,853,077	30
-	(-)	A Bad Moms Christmas	STX Entertainment	$72,844	-33%	1,038	$70	$71,358,592	51
-	(-)	Roman J. Israel, Esq.	Sony Pictures	$12,659	-5%	173	$73	$11,804,680	35
-	(-)	Blade Runner 2049	Warner Bros.	$11,276	+6%	100	$113	$91,524,557	77
-	(-)	Geostorm	Warner Bros.	$10,249	+4%	165	$62	$33,424,531	63
-	(-)	Jigsaw	Lionsgate	$10,132	+6%	151	$67	$38,052,832	56
-	(-)	The Florida Project	A24	$9,338	+16%	66	$141	$5,166,086	77
-	(-)	Despicable Me 3	Universal	$7,930	-7%	109	$73	$264,624,300	175
-	(-)	The Ballad of Lefty Brown	A24	$7,856		2	$3,928	$7,856	7
-	(-)	The Foreigner	STX Entertainment	$5,432	+9%	93	$58	$34,393,507	70
-	(-)	Kingsman: The Golden Circle	20th Century Fox	$5,085	+9%	92	$55	$100,199,005	91
-	(-)	The Mountain Between Us	20th Century Fox	$4,947	+24%	112	$44	$30,348,555	77
-	(-)	The Breadwinner	GKIDS	$4,400	+101%	28	$157	$200,827	35
-	(-)	Victoria and Abdul	Focus Features	$4,215	+10%	56	$75	$22,196,285	91
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$2,823	+28%	71	$40	$9,437,547	70
-	(-)	The Killing of a Sacred Deer	A24	$2,765	+13%	23	$120	$2,285,729	63
-	(-)	Birdboy: The Forgotten Chil…	GKIDS	$1,902	+28%	4	$476	$11,855	7
-	(-)	Last Flag Flying	Amazon Studios	$1,158	+38%	9	$129	$965,481	49
-	(-)	Let There Be Light	Atlas Distribution	$550	-6%	11	$50	$7,201,156	56
-	(-)	Same Kind of Different as Me	Pure Flix Entertain…	$511	+290%	7	$73	$6,360,709	63

  Final numbers for everything...With my 6 last minute tickets yesterday, I guess I helped The Star tie Ferdinand for the best hold in the Top 10 (and a move up to #7:)...probably as high as it will go with more new openers today, but it did quite a little run after its awful start...

Edited December 22, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[Lancelot Gold]

28 minutes ago, hw64 said:

Incomparable. TLJ opened to $220m; the biggest opener there is sub-$35m.

Opening weekend does not seem to greatly effect December movies multiplier though. Low, high, both way more often then not have over 3x

 

Yeah, data on movies over 200m OW is limited, but that doesn't mean that we should ignore a obvious trend.