INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[The Mad Titan]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Whyyyy would this ever get that kind of multiplier? Like, even a single possible reason

Why not? TA did and better. BP did. TFA did. JW did. TLJ nearly did. 

 

Why would this one not OR what makes it so incapable?

 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, The Mad Titan said:

Why not? TA did and better. BP did. TFA did. JW did. TLJ nearly did. 

 

Why would this one not OR what makes it so incapable?

 

 

Upfront demand will be off the charts.

This is a sequel, like Civil War and Ultron.

 

This is not TFA.

 

Multiplier more realistically is going to be less than 2.5,my prediction is around 2.4.

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, The Mad Titan said:

Why not? TA did and better. BP did. TFA did. JW did. TLJ nearly did. 

 

Why would this one not OR what makes it so incapable?

 

 

Because...it's going to be insanely frontloaded and ends on a *censored just in case but you probably know the word I'm gonna say*?????????????

[The Mad Titan]

Just now, baumer said:

 

Upfront demand will be off the charts.

This is a sequel, like Civil War and Ultron.

 

This is not TFA.

 

Multiplier more realistically is going to be less than 2.5,my prediction is around 2.4.

 

I guess will will know in about 2 weeks.

[Chewy]

Just now, The Mad Titan said:

Why not? TA did and better. BP did. TFA did. JW did. TLJ nearly did. 

 

Why would this one not OR what makes it so incapable?

 

 

It's going to open over 250M, it has May weekdays, and it requires tons of homework for ppl to get the most out of it

 

TA- not a sequel. BP- not a sequel. TFA- 40 years later return of most iconic chars in film history. JW- fresh relaunch. TLJ- Christmas (actually a bad multi for it)

[baumer]

3 hours ago, The Mad Titan said:

 

I guess will will know in about 2 weeks.

 

Well, not really, to be fair, even Homecoming had a horrendous second weekend drop and still managed 2.8X.  So we will probably have to wait until the third or even fourth week to be sure.  

[Chewy]

Like, even the most optimistic among us (@MovieMan89 where you at lol) wouldn't go anywhere near a 2.9. My goodness

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Chewy said:

Like, even the most optimistic among us (@MovieMan89 where you at lol) wouldn't go anywhere near a 2.9. My goodness

 

Actually....there are some people who really truly believe this is going to hit a billion.

[Deep Wang]

7 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said:

 

I guess will will know in about 2 weeks.

Nah, we already know.

[Chewy]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

 

Actually....there are some people who really truly believe this is going to hit a billion.

 

400M OW here we come

[The Mad Titan]

6 minutes ago, Chewy said:

Like, even the most optimistic among us (@MovieMan89 where you at lol) wouldn't go anywhere near a 2.9. My goodness

Fine fine, I’ll temper my dream down to GOTG2 multiplier (2.66x) 😄

[That One Girl]

2.1x has been my prediction for a while and I reallyyyy see no reason to adjust it.  if it opens higher than I expect it to (like, beating TFA) then I'll adjust it down to 2.05 or 2x

[IronJimbo]

5 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Actually....there are some people who really truly believe this is going to hit a billion.

their faith is misguided.

 

DOM: $240m -> $580m

WW: dunno -> $1.6b

 

[Chewy]

Just now, That Ambitious Guy said:

2.1x has been my prediction for a while and I reallyyyy see no reason to adjust it.  if it opens higher than I expect it to (like, beating TFA) then I'll adjust it down to 2.05 or 2x

 

Prob going too far in the opposite direction but I respect your commitment to the #brand

[harrycaul]

Yeah, this seems like a sub 2.5x to me.  Crazy frontloaded, probably not huge repeat business.

[WrathOfHan]

300/715 is the prediction to go by.

[Lordmandeep]

One needs to remember that with a gross ~ 500 million a small amount of change in the multiplier makes a huge difference

 

A 225 million with a 2.0 Multiplier is 450 while a 2.4 Multiplier is 540 million.

 

So a 2.2 vs 2.4 makes a huge difference

[Mango]

My predicts:  

Previews- $38M

Thurs/Fri- $108

Sat- $74M

Sun- $60M

 

$242M OW. I do think it has a shot at beating SW.

[WrathOfHan]

This is the TRUE event of the weekend:

 

> DECLINING

5

87

Hostiles

Entertainment Studios

1

-2

-66.7%

19

[Deep Wang]

1 minute ago, That Ambitious Guy said:

2.1x has been my prediction for a while and I reallyyyy see no reason to adjust it.  if it opens higher than I expect it to (like, beating TFA) then I'll adjust it down to 2.05 or 2x

For some weird reason I think that if this thing beats the opening weekend record, the legs will actually be slightly better.  Because I don't think this thing beats it without incredible WOM/spillover into Sat/Sun.  Which could potentially spillover into the second weekend. 

 

Still, even with the most unbelievable WOM imaginable, I'm talking no more than 2.5x.