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AndyLL

Let's talk about this Derby of yours. I think it's good, except it sucks | Week 17

By AndyLL, in Box Office Derby

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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted (edited)

DHD will be off by 5%+ on many estimates. There will be a shift in the standings. 

However, a good barometer to see how you're faring against your league opponent

https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/DerbyLeague.aspx

    DHD Friday    
1    Bates    90.48
2    DcFilmsSuck    89.82
3    Premium George    89.39
4    Samarus    89.07
5    POTUS    88.85
6    ZeeSoh    88.10
7    boxofficetracker    87.58
8    8wombi7    87.00
9    Simionski    86.54
10    Tower    86.27
11    Exxdee    86.00
12    Wrath    85.73
13    kayumanggi    85.61
14    Derby Average    85.52
15    Rolling Thunder    85.16
16    WrathOfHan    85.05
17    Sheikh    84.89
18    Empire    84.37
19    boxofficeth    84.29
20    That Ambitious Guy    84.23
21    Thematrixfilm    83.92
22    Zeverly Hills Cop    83.52
23    PanaMovie    82.88
24    Litio    82.77
25    Fancyarcher    82.69
26    The Fast and the Furiosa    82.42
27    JustJeff    82.32
28    nelmsey    82.22
29    TalismanRing    81.91
30    Man-Thing21    81.60
31    franfar    81.40
32    Boxx93    81.38
33    TheXper    80.55
34    BobDole    80.39
35    Critically Acclaimed Panda    80.19
36    Quigley    80.10
37    Keanu    79.61
38    Zakiyyah6    79.52
39    JJ-8    78.84
40    Lights Camera Action    78.70
41    peludo    78.64
42    DAR    78.41
43    Deja23    78.31
44    feasby007    77.93
45    iMojammer    77.39
46    chasmmi    77.18
47    sloth    76.98
48    JMorphin    76.64
49    AndyLL    76.61
50    ChipMunky    75.45
51    Trease is the Word    74.00
52    captainwondyful    72.31
53    barbaraplease    71.06
54    FilmCavalcade    70.76
55    sloth2    70.21
56    GambitPool    69.96
57    RandomCat    66.26
58    slambros    62.39
59    BTISME1    57.45

Edited by POTUS
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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted

 

  W/E Estimates  
1 Premium George 89.97
2 Samarus 89.88
3 Tower 89.54
4 Bates 89.09
5 POTUS 88.78
6 Simionski 88.02
7 WrathOfHan 87.77
8 Rolling Thunder 87.51
9 Exxdee 87.36
10 8wombi7 87.17
11 ZeeSoh 87.00
12 Sheikh 86.97
13 kayumanggi 86.30
14 boxofficetracker 86.10
15 Derby Average 86.01
16 Thematrixfilm 85.74
17 The Fast and the Furiosa 85.72
18 Zeverly Hills Cop 85.61
19 That Ambitious Guy 85.35
20 Wrath 85.34
21 Empire 85.34
22 DcFilmsSuck 85.32
23 boxofficeth 85.21
24 Litio 85.18
25 JustJeff 84.36
26 Fancyarcher 83.30
27 Keanu 83.30
28 TalismanRing 83.13
29 BobDole 82.99
30 PanaMovie 82.81
31 Boxx93 82.81
32 Critically Acclaimed Panda 82.76
33 Man-Thing21 82.04
34 feasby007 81.99
35 Quigley 81.70
36 Zakiyyah6 81.65
37 nelmsey 81.34
38 JJ-8 80.94
39 Deja23 80.49
40 peludo 80.48
41 Lights Camera Action 80.35
42 TheXper 79.82
43 DAR 79.54
44 franfar 78.99
45 JMorphin 78.72
46 AndyLL 78.02
47 chasmmi 77.85
48 sloth 77.83
49 iMojammer 76.48
50 Trease is the Word 75.59
51 ChipMunky 75.36
52 captainwondyful 73.01
53 GambitPool 72.41
54 barbaraplease 72.37
55 FilmCavalcade 72.07
56 sloth2 69.26
57 RandomCat 68.49
58 slambros 63.81
59 BTISME1 63.09
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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted

  W/E Actuals  
1 Tower 90.49
2 Premium George 89.48
3 WrathOfHan 89.28
4 Samarus 89.28
5 Bates 89.16
6 POTUS 88.62
7 Simionski 88.47
8 Exxdee 88.44
9 Rolling Thunder 88.09
10 The Fast and the Furiosa 88.05
11 Sheikh 87.67
12 8wombi7 87.41
13 ZeeSoh 87.21
14 kayumanggi 86.83
15 Empire 86.74
16 Zeverly Hills Cop 86.46
17 Derby Average 86.36
18 Thematrixfilm 86.23
19 Litio 86.11
20 Wrath 85.68
21 That Ambitious Guy 85.54
22 boxofficeth 85.54
23 boxofficetracker 85.41
24 Critically Acclaimed Panda 85.16
25 TalismanRing 84.70
26 Keanu 84.48
27 DcFilmsSuck 84.48
28 JustJeff 84.28
29 Fancyarcher 83.80
30 BobDole 83.58
31 Boxx93 83.44
32 PanaMovie 83.06
33 JJ-8 82.84
34 Quigley 82.64
35 Man-Thing21 82.50
36 Zakiyyah6 82.47
37 nelmsey 82.38
38 feasby007 82.33
39 Deja23 82.32
40 peludo 81.85
41 Lights Camera Action 81.12
42 TheXper 80.24
43 DAR 80.13
44 JMorphin 79.98
45 sloth 78.75
46 franfar 78.68
47 chasmmi 78.58
48 AndyLL 78.18
49 iMojammer 77.19
50 Trease is the Word 76.11
51 ChipMunky 76.11
52 GambitPool 74.46
53 barbaraplease 73.33
54 captainwondyful 73.05
55 FilmCavalcade 72.91
56 sloth2 69.70
57 RandomCat 69.55
58 BTISME1 67.12
59 slambros 65.27

 

I don't know WTF I was thinking with that ST2 predict

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AndyLL Summer Tentpole

AndyLL

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Congrats @Tower

 

1 Tower 90.514% 98.952% 89.576% 8.222% 58 10
2 Premium George 89.502% 94.296% 88.970% 7.211% 57 10
3 WrathOfHan 89.294% 83.586% 89.928% 7.002% 56 10
4 Samarus 89.255% 93.027% 88.835% 6.963% 55 10
5 Bates 89.130% 90.803% 88.944% 6.838% 54 10
6 POTUS 88.619% 98.952% 87.471% 6.328% 53 10
7 Simionski 88.483% 97.012% 87.535% 6.192% 52 10
8 Exxdee 88.422% 88.475% 88.416% 6.130% 51 10
9 Rolling Thunder 88.116% 94.963% 87.355% 5.825% 50 10
10 The Fast and the Furiosa 88.045% 91.191% 87.695% 5.753% 49 10
11 Sheikh 87.644% 91.482% 87.217% 5.352% 48 10
12 8wombi7 87.454% 96.574% 86.441% 5.163% 47 10
13 ZeeSoh 87.202% 95.072% 86.327% 4.910% 46 10
14 kayumanggi 86.820% 95.033% 85.908% 4.529% 45 10
15 Empire 86.721% 99.449% 85.307% 4.430% 44 10
16 Zeverly Hills Cop 86.442% 90.415% 86.000% 4.150% 43 10
17 Thematrixfilm 86.215% 92.161% 85.555% 3.924% 42 10
18 Litio 86.100% 97.167% 84.871% 3.809% 41 10
19 Wrath 85.668% 92.355% 84.925% 3.377% 40 10
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Avatree Global Phenomenon

Avatree

Posted
Posted

I woke up on Friday to find a notification from @AndyLL telling me my derby hadn't been done and was due in 3 minutes time. So I just copy/pasted the forecast from BOM. I will take not-last as a win for me :) 

 

I will try to remember to play this week.

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8wombi7 Indie Sensation

8wombi7

Posted
Posted

12th, not bad given the number of players! Still, really mad about BP... you never know, when Disney is gonna 'help' their movies when they have a big opener, the last couple of times I predicted low drops the movies actually droped normal against a big opener so this time I thought with AIW potentially breaking the OW record would be to massive for BP to have a strong hold, but well... guess I should have given more credit to the fact that they are part of the same story...

 

Congrats to @Tower and all match winners!

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Tower Box Office Gold

Tower

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, slambros said:

I got last place... I need to try harder...

You can always strive for better in this game. I came in first, but there are still a couple of picks i'm not happy about.

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