a2k Posted January 8, 2020 Author Share Posted January 8, 2020 (edited) actual Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $3,981,109 +34% -70% 4,406 $904 $458,541,607 19 2 (2) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $2,516,226 +22% -70% 4,134 $609 $240,504,696 26 3 (3) Little Women Sony Pictures $2,111,322 +52% -49% 3,308 $638 $63,559,287 14 4 (5) Knives Out Lionsgate $1,242,910 +41% -57% 2,142 $580 $132,240,886 42 5 (8) Uncut Gems A24 $1,168,410 +48% -42% 2,686 $435 $38,512,299 26 6 (4) Frozen II Walt Disney $1,068,215 +9% -74% 3,175 $336 $452,483,413 47 7 (7) The Grudge Sony Pictures $1,056,285 +32% 2,642 $400 $13,261,681 5 8 (6) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $836,970 -3% -77% 3,502 $239 $48,740,491 14 9 (9) Bombshell Lionsgate $678,357 +78% -48% 1,721 $394 $25,650,067 26 10 (10) Cats Universal $390,060 +40% -63% 2,902 $134 $25,390,645 19 11 (11) Richard Jewell Warner Bros. $268,142 +55% -74% 1,870 $143 $21,544,150 26 12 (12) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $211,396 +26% -63% 730 $290 $110,355,380 54 13 (13) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $192,661 +37% -61% 856 $225 $59,134,817 47 14 (-) Queen & Slim Universal $156,945 +41% -42% 625 $251 $42,931,835 42 - (14) 1917 Universal $113,587 +1% -19% 11 $10,326 $2,533,500 14 Edited January 8, 2020 by a2k 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Bombshell with easily the best increase in the top 10. Spies in Disguise dropped 3%. Maybe it’ll lose some locations this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 3 hours ago, Krissykins said: I don’t think Just Mercy will end up doing very well. Seems to be ignored by awards season so far and it having drops while only in 4 cinemas. this year's Roman J. Israel, Esq. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 No bueno for Frozen 2. Glad it already made a lot. Looks like it's gonna fizzle hard and barely crawl to 1.4B. Still frickin awesome totals and a great movie. Super pleased 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackM Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 14 minutes ago, a2k said: actual Movie Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… $3,981,109 +34% -70% 4,406 $904 $458,541,607 19 Interesting. That’s quite a bit lower than I thought. I wonder if it’s because I didn’t lower my multiplier enough for discount Tuesday or because my region is just over represented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 This is totally normal behavior for the family films, especially the animated ones. They normally should have dropped over 80% on Monday and instead all dropped sub-70%. The weak Tuesday bump is just compensating for that, as many predicted yesterday. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Yup as noted earlier today its obvious that family films in particular where still over stimulated on Monday. Drops today will seem worse ONLY because there wasnt a "huge" tuesday but the actual Monday through Wednesday would be more akin to normal. The entire box office though was definitely down in comparison with the same Tuesday last year really only Little Women and Bombshell being "normal". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 16 minutes ago, ZackM said: Interesting. That’s quite a bit lower than I thought. I wonder if it’s because I didn’t lower my multiplier enough for discount Tuesday or because my region is just over represented. I thought you had guessed about 4m? Or am I remembering wrong since between you and Keyser the number is in line and on point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackM Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just now, narniadis said: I thought you had guessed about 4m? Or am I remembering wrong since between you and Keyser the number is in line and on point? I had 4.3M 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanfr Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 This 34% increase is good IF the drop for Wednesday is under 30% I have no idea if this international number is good or bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Pretty happy with my 3.8 guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 5 minutes ago, Moviefanfr said: IF the drop for Wednesday is under 30% Nothing dropped under 32% in the top 5 this time last year, so I’d expect 40%. last year the #1 film dropped 45%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 46 minutes ago, Moviefanfr said: This 34% increase is good IF the drop for Wednesday is under 30% I have no idea if this international number is good or bad Yeah, if nothing else the way Wednesdays have behaved the last year should show that under 30% has 0% chance of happening. Not gonna be an option at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 hour ago, cdsacken said: No bueno for Frozen 2. Glad it already made a lot. Looks like it's gonna fizzle hard and barely crawl to 1.4B. Still frickin awesome totals and a great movie. Super pleased Based on what? F2 has very similar daily increase Mon-Tue compared to F1 and still makes >55% of F1 daily (which added another 100M after this Tuesday). It will likely end in the 480-490M range DOM. OS is 876M after Sunday, let's say DOM adds another 30M, do you believe OS will barely make 42M coming off a 43M international weekend? Japan+Brazil should easily cover that alone. Relax and enjoy the historical run of the biggest animated movie of all time. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 hour ago, ZackM said: I had 4.3M Gotcha - my bad memory 😂 but still you are learning your area and this was the first big cheap tuesday so dont feel bad for being 10% off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 2 hours ago, misafeco said: Based on what? F2 has very similar daily increase Mon-Tue compared to F1 and still makes >55% of F1 daily (which added another 100M after this Tuesday). It will likely end in the 480-490M range DOM. OS is 876M after Sunday, let's say DOM adds another 30M, do you believe OS will barely make 42M coming off a 43M international weekend? Japan+Brazil should easily cover that alone. Relax and enjoy the historical run of the biggest animated movie of all time. I am relaxed I literally said it had an awesome run and I am super pleased. 1.41-1.45B whichever it's all gravy now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, January 12 % Change from Last Wknd 1917 Universal $36,000,000 $38,800,000 +5821% Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Disney / Lucasfilm $16,800,000 $480,000,000 -51% Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $14,400,000 $258,500,000 -45% Like a Boss Paramount $12,800,000 $12,800,000 NEW Little Women (2019) Sony / Columbia $10,000,000 $75,800,000 -27% Just Mercy Warner Bros. $8,400,000 $8,850,000 +10980% Frozen II Disney $8,300,000 $462,100,000 -30% Underwater Fox $6,500,000 $6,500,000 NEW Spies In Disguise Fox $6,300,000 $56,700,000 -39% Knives Out Lionsgate $5,800,000 $139,600,000 -35% 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackM Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Looking like 2.4-2.5M for Star Wars today. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 (edited) 8.6 woul be very solid for Frozen. Should reach 480+ with that. Maybe 485? Edited January 9, 2020 by cdsacken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
