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Weekday Numbers (1/21/20-1/23/20)

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BOP updated BB3L weekend estimate from $25M up to $28M...

 

Weekend Forecast

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, January 26 % Change from Last Wknd
Bad Boys for Life Sony / Columbia $28,100,000 $114,600,000 -55%
Dolittle Universal $13,300,000 $44,400,000 -39%
1917 Universal $13,000,000 $100,000,000 -41%
The Gentlemen STX $12,000,000 $12,000,000 NEW
The Turning Universal $6,900,000 $6,900,000 NEW
Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31%
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Disney / Lucasfilm $4,900,000 $501,100,000 -41%
Just Mercy Warner Bros. $4,300,000 $27,100,000 -26%
Little Women (2019) Sony / Columbia $4,100,000 $92,100,000 -35%
Knives Out Lionsgate $3,300,000 $151,700,000 -23%
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Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31%

Maybe a bit optimistic on JUM2

0.485 (-5%) // 275.52

 

1.45 (+200%)

2.90 (+100%)

1.90 (-35%)

= 6.25 (-35.6%) // 281.77

 

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6 minutes ago, a2k said:
Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31%

Maybe a bit optimistic on JUM2

0.485 (-5%) // 275.52

 

1.45 (+200%)

2.90 (+100%)

1.90 (-35%)

= 6.25 (-35.6%) // 281.77

 

300 possible?

 

Edit: So I checked my projection which I didn't update from 15 days, they had Post MLK weekend at $6mn and closing at $293mn. So I guess unlikely. But also if its $297mn, don't think Sony will miss it.

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23 minutes ago, a2k said:
Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31%

Maybe a bit optimistic on JUM2

0.485 (-5%) // 275.52

 

1.45 (+200%)

2.90 (+100%)

1.90 (-35%)

= 6.25 (-35.6%) // 281.77

 

This is normaly the time of the year that more family friendly movies start to jump 220% and 100%

Jumanji 2 jumped 237% and 102% and a 38% drop this weekend (26-28)f. Apling this:

 

1.64m

3.03m

2.04m

= $6.71m

 

So I guess they are just coppy pasting the Jumanji jumps and drops % over to  this one 😛

I do think that your number or something between it and 6.4m is more realistic atm.

 

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https://deadline.com/2020/01/bad-boys-for-life-the-gentleman-the-turning-weekend-box-office-1202840184/

 

Quote

No question, Sony’s Bad Boys for Life will dominate its second frame with around $28M, -55%. Of course, the threequel was the big guy at the B.O. yesterday with $3.5M, -4% from Wednesday, ending its week with an estimated $86.6M.

 

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5 hours ago, a2k said:
Jumanji: The Next Level Sony / Columbia $6,700,000 $282,300,000 -31%

Maybe a bit optimistic on JUM2

0.485 (-5%) // 275.52

 

1.45 (+200%)

2.90 (+100%)

1.90 (-35%)

= 6.25 (-35.6%) // 281.77

 

Apperently it's flat today so 510k thursday

6.7m should be doable now with a good friday jump.

 

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So a third Jumaji movie is pretty much guaranteed at this point (with part 2 doing 300/800 lol). I guess I can't suggest the plot for the third movie without spoiling the end of the second so I'll put it in tags DON"T OPEN TAGS IF YOU HAVENT SEEN THE MOVIE

 

Spoiler

If it's taking place in the real world ala Robin Williams' movie, how are they going to bring the Rock/Hart/Black/Gillan? And if they do, they wouldn't be playing against character anymore, so how would they get a hook?

 

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23 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Apperently it's flat today so 510k thursday

6.7m should be doable now with a good friday jump.

 

it would then need to add about 2.5x the weekend to it's cume to hit 299-300. shouldn't be difficult.

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11 minutes ago, a2k said:

it would then need to add about 2.5x the weekend to it's cume to hit 299-300. shouldn't be difficult.

Yep it should go over pretty easily if next weeks holds good as well. If next week drops 35% or less it's almost impossible to miss the 297m at that point sonny will get it over the milestone nomater what I guess.

Also if legs are anywere close those of the previous one it will easily get over.

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