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baumer

Tuesday Numbers (THG 10.2)

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Unfortunately, that should steal away just about any remaining audience that might give it a try. I'd imagine we're looking at another 55-60%+ drop.

It should make between 2.4M-2.0M this up coming weekend
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1 The Hunger Games $10,348,198 -4% 4,137 -- $2,501 $173,707,733 1 Lionsgate

2 21 Jump Street $2,203,242 15% 3,121 0 $706 $74,342,996 2 Sony / Columbia

3 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $1,120,600 11% 3,677 -92 $305 $179,543,830 4 Universal

4 John Carter $512,303 21% 3,212 -537 $159 $63,344,015 3 Disney

5 Project X (2012) $237,449 17% 2,065 -857 $115 $52,174,057 4 Warner Bros.

6 Act of Valor $214,221 9% 2,219 -546 $97 $66,331,693 5 Relativity Media

7 A Thousand Words $190,339 24% 1,787 -108 $107 $15,293,663 3 Paramount

8 Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $143,009 18% 1,340 -595 $107 $97,403,618 7 Warner Bros. / New Line

9 Safe House $140,305 17% 1,330 -590 $105 $122,842,355 7 Universal

10 This Means War $102,750 15% 1,188 -472 $86 $52,463,012 6 Fox

11 The Vow $98,884 21% 1,258 -917 $79 $122,957,163 7 Sony / Screen Gems

12 Silent House (2012) $63,913 10% 1,202 -922 $53 $12,084,747 3 Open Road

So Safehouse has finally caught up to The Vow. Maybe it will pass it this weekend.

Journey 2 looks like it's gonna make that 100m eventually.

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1 The Hunger Games $10,348,198 -4% 4,137 -- $2,501 $173,707,733 1 Lionsgate

2 21 Jump Street $2,203,242 15% 3,121 0 $706 $74,342,996 2 Sony / Columbia

3 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $1,120,600 11% 3,677 -92 $305 $179,543,830 4 Universal

4 John Carter $512,303 21% 3,212 -537 $159 $63,344,015 3 Disney

5 Project X (2012) $237,449 17% 2,065 -857 $115 $52,174,057 4 Warner Bros.

6 Act of Valor $214,221 9% 2,219 -546 $97 $66,331,693 5 Relativity Media

7 A Thousand Words $190,339 24% 1,787 -108 $107 $15,293,663 3 Paramount

8 Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $143,009 18% 1,340 -595 $107 $97,403,618 7 Warner Bros. / New Line

9 Safe House $140,305 17% 1,330 -590 $105 $122,842,355 7 Universal

10 This Means War $102,750 15% 1,188 -472 $86 $52,463,012 6 Fox

11 The Vow $98,884 21% 1,258 -917 $79 $122,957,163 7 Sony / Screen Gems

12 Silent House (2012) $63,913 10% 1,202 -922 $53 $12,084,747 3 Open Road

So Safehouse has finally caught up to The Vow. Maybe it will pass it this weekend.

Journey 2 looks like it's gonna make that 100m eventually.

Agree.

J2 will pass 100 and SH will beat TV in the end..

The world finally makes sence again

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Okay guys. We can dispute and argue about how The Hunger Games fell on Tuesday and how it will definitely fall on Wednesday. But Tuesday it fell -4%. Yeah 4%. That is excellent. Also we can argue if it will or will not reach 350M or 400M but really guys. Who thought a week or two ago this would be at $173.7M in five days and for sure finish somewhere over 325M. Whatever it makes from here on is fantastic since it is a first film in a series. I am amazed at this film's run.

Yeah, I predicted 375M total because I knew the demand was there, I just didn't realize how many people wanted to see it opening weekend! That was the real shocker! 173.7M in five days for a non-sequel in March? Awesome!
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Ticket sale wise, this film is likely to pass the final instalment of a hugely popular franchise that sold 20 times the number of books and people are complaining about a 6% drop during a march weekday?? There seems to be no way of pleasing you lot.

QFMFT.
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Nice it went up about 150k with actuals. I'm predicting about a 18% drop today to around 8.5m. Then a 5% drop on Thursday to 8m. It's shaping up to have a good 2nd weekend.

I'd give it about 57 mill of an 8 mill Thurs.
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great number for HG, it could have been higher but also lower, a 4% drop coming froma veri big monday (a $10 in march is very very very rare). If it stays above $8 for friday then a +$18 friday is assured and a $65 second weekend is on track. $375 is a very likely finish (if not higher) SM3 finish with $340 and have awful legs, HG will have better legs, count on it!

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I'd give it about 57 mill of an 8 mill Thurs.

I don't get why you are being so pessimistic toward this film. That would be less than SM3's 2nd weekend which was coming off a 5.9m Thursday. Your 110% increase prediction for Friday makes no sense. It's gonna be a lot higher than that.
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Using my own rather complicated, calculus based method of projecting daily grosses using dailies of comparable films, (a method that tends to get more accurate later in a film's run) extrapolating this against Alice in Wonderland gives me a Wednesday number of 8.985 million, for a drop of 13.2%

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