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Eric is Anxious

2022 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

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I overpredicted by 100m as well but for me it was more about the underperforming thanksgiving releases... 

 

For December I think holdovers will be in the 100-150m range, new releases other than avatar around 175-225m.

My first guess from the limited info we have in the tracking thread is that avatar will open in the 170-200 range and from there could land anywhere from 450-550 by Dec 31st, putting the month in the low 800s probably.

 

Year will end up at about $7.5 billion. Not bad.

 

On 12/27/2021 at 9:24 PM, MattW said:

For 2022 I'll predict $7.5 billion or more

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2 hours ago, MattW said:

I overpredicted by 100m as well but for me it was more about the underperforming thanksgiving releases... 

 

For December I think holdovers will be in the 100-150m range, new releases other than avatar around 175-225m.

My first guess from the limited info we have in the tracking thread is that avatar will open in the 170-200 range and from there could land anywhere from 450-550 by Dec 31st, putting the month in the low 800s probably.

 

Year will end up at about $7.5 billion. Not bad.

 

Not but but still a long way to go when you consider extreme inflation is propping up that total.

 

Or am I a fool for thinking that admissions are ever going to rise? Like, is this it?

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On 11/14/2021 at 2:03 PM, Grebacio said:

1. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $605M
2. Avatar 2 - $520M
3.Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $470M
4. Jurassic World Dominion - $430M
5. Thor Love and Thunder - $402M
6. The Batman - $385M
7. Mario - $360M
8 .Lightyear - $350M
9. The Flash - $308M
10. Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse - $285M
11. Mission Impossible 7 - $240M
12. Black Adam - $233M
13. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - $220M
14. Turning Red - $216M
15. Top Gun Maverick - $208M
16. Searcher Clade - $186M
17. John Wick 4 - $184M
18. Morbius - $176M
19. Uncharted - $172M
20. Puss in Boots 2 - $168M

I think that Aquaman 2 will move to 2023, but if it stays in December 2021, I predict it will make 355M

Well I got The Batman right, just screwed everything else

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On 12/29/2021 at 9:41 AM, Juby said:

10. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse - Part One
worldwide: $600 mln / domestic: $270 mln

 

9. Top Gun: Maverick
worldwide: $620 mln / domestic: $210 mln

 

8. "Mission: Impossible 7"
worldwide: $690 mln / domestic: $190 mln

 

7. The Batman
worldwide: $780 mln / domestic: $310 mln

 

6. Lightyear
worldwide: $850 mln / domestic: $325 mln

 

5. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
worldwide: $940 mln / domestic: $450 mln

 

4. Thor: Love and Thunder
worldwide: $1.05b / domestic: $410 mln

 

3. Jurassic World: Dominion
worldwide: $1.15b / domestic: $335 mln

 

2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
worldwide: $1.25b / domestic: $430 mln

 

1. "Avatar 2"
worldwide: $1.85-3.7b / domestic: $500 mln-1.1b

 

+ Probably 1-2 china films with $600-900 mln (99% gross from China).

 

I got The Batman WW right and I think I'll be close with BP:WF domestic :) 

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