ViktorLosAngeles Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 "Ticket to Paradise" will hit $100 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 46 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: 130 for Ticket To Paradise seems a but much 145 for Babylon is also crazy. That's more than Wolf of Wall Street I agree with both of these. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 4 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said: Yearly rankings: Avatar: The Way of Water - $800 million Top Gun: Maverick - $700 million Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $600 million Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $410 million Jurassic World: Dominion - $380 million The Batman - $370 million Minions: The Rise of Gru - $350 million Thor: Love and Thunder - $330 million Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - $190 million Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - $170 million DC League of Super Pets - $150 million Uncharted - $148 million Babylon - $145 million Black Adam - $140 million Elvis - $130 million Ticket to Paradise - $130 million Shazam! Fury of the Gods - $125 million Lightyear - $120 million I Wanna Dance with Somebody - $120 million Bullet Train - $110 million The Lost City - $105 million Nope - $102 million Don't Worry Darling - $100 million Most of these seem fairly accurate, but I think you're underestimating Black Adam and Shazam. I still think both will go over $200M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 56 minutes ago, ViktorLosAngeles said: "Ticket to Paradise" will hit $100 million. I hope so man but I feel like that trailer drop should've been a bit of a bigger deal. Don't feel like I saw too many tweets or articles talking about the fact that Clooney and Roberts, 2 legitimate movie stars, are in a romantic comedy together (a genre that's been on the way out). It should be a big deal, and I hope it will be, but the trailer buzz disappointed imo. If it gets good reviews, I'm sure it'll do well. But I feel like The Lost City had a better hook for today's audiences Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronin46 Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 20 minutes ago, Pinacolada said: I hope so man but I feel like that trailer drop should've been a bit of a bigger deal. Don't feel like I saw too many tweets or articles talking about the fact that Clooney and Roberts, 2 legitimate movie stars, are in a romantic comedy together (a genre that's been on the way out). It should be a big deal, and I hope it will be, but the trailer buzz disappointed imo. If it gets good reviews, I'm sure it'll do well. But I feel like The Lost City had a better hook for today's audiences It has 26M views on Youtube already after 10 days. Lost City finished at 25M. I would say that compares pretty favorable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 Problem with Ticket To Paradise is that it releases too close to Bros, which is being oddly underestimated here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 9 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said: Yearly rankings: Avatar: The Way of Water - $800 million Top Gun: Maverick - $700 million Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $600 million Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $410 million Jurassic World: Dominion - $380 million The Batman - $370 million Minions: The Rise of Gru - $350 million Thor: Love and Thunder - $330 million Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - $190 million Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - $170 million DC League of Super Pets - $150 million Uncharted - $148 million Babylon - $145 million Black Adam - $140 million Elvis - $130 million Ticket to Paradise - $130 million Shazam! Fury of the Gods - $125 million Lightyear - $120 million I Wanna Dance with Somebody - $120 million Bullet Train - $110 million The Lost City - $105 million Nope - $102 million Don't Worry Darling - $100 million TGM will not make $700 million. Probably around $620-$630 million, maybe up as high as $640 million. No way in hell BP2 is going to get anywhere near $600 million. It's a movie without its own title character. It's James Bond without James Bond or Indiana Jones without Indy where they try to figure out who will replace the missing title character. I hope it makes $450 million but probably closer to $400 million. It could even be lower than that. Who knows how much Avatar will make. I'd say that it may as well hit $800 million but probably closer to $600 m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronin46 Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, jedijake said: TGM will not make $700 million. Probably around $620-$630 million, maybe up as high as $640 million. No way in hell BP2 is going to get anywhere near $600 million. It's a movie without its own title character. It's James Bond without James Bond or Indiana Jones without Indy where they try to figure out who will replace the missing title character. I hope it makes $450 million but probably closer to $400 million. It could even be lower than that. Who knows how much Avatar will make. I'd say that it may as well hit $800 million but probably closer to $600 m. Of course TGM is going over 640. Come on. Look at the dailies. BP2 can get to 600M, I think thats 50/50. 400 is way to low. Avatar I really dont know how big. Cameron always comes through. Cant bet against him. Man is a genius. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegendaryBen Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, jedijake said: TGM will not make $700 million. Probably around $620-$630 million, maybe up as high as $640 million. What makes you think it will only make $640M? It only needs a 4 multiplier to get there, which is achievable. It's not like Crawdads is this year's Gone Girl, Nope is this year's IT: Chapter 1, DC's Pets is this year's Secret Life of Pets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 22 minutes ago, jedijake said: I hope it makes $450 million but probably closer to $400 million. It could even be lower than that. I'll buy you a gold membership for a month if BPWF finishes below $400M DOM. I don't think there's any chance it goes that low. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 28 minutes ago, jedijake said: TGM will not make $700 million. Probably around $620-$630 million, maybe up as high as $640 million. Come on man, do some simple simple math. It will be at $600m by tomorrow or maybe Monday. It made $16m-$17m this weekend alone. What sort of math are you doing that shows it only makes another $20m-$30m after tomorrow? It is literally impossible. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 1 hour ago, StormbreakerXXR said: I'll buy you a gold membership for a month if BPWF finishes below $400M DOM. I don't think there's any chance it goes that low. QFT 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 (edited) Okay, closer to $640 million for TGM. Edited July 10, 2022 by jedijake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 14 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said: Yearly rankings: Avatar: The Way of Water - $800 million Top Gun: Maverick - $700 million Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $600 million Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $410 million Jurassic World: Dominion - $380 million The Batman - $370 million Minions: The Rise of Gru - $350 million Thor: Love and Thunder - $330 million Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - $190 million Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - $170 million DC League of Super Pets - $150 million Uncharted - $148 million Babylon - $145 million Black Adam - $140 million Elvis - $130 million Ticket to Paradise - $130 million Shazam! Fury of the Gods - $125 million Lightyear - $120 million I Wanna Dance with Somebody - $120 million Bullet Train - $110 million The Lost City - $105 million Nope - $102 million Don't Worry Darling - $100 million Good list. As with everything in the internet age it's a winner take all market, full recovery for the big blockbusters, not so much for the mid-range hits. A couple others might cross the 100m mark but possible some you have going over might not quite make it. 15 seems like a good target. 300+ 100-300 25-100 2022 8 15 2021 1 13 30 2020 2 10 2019 10 21 58 2018 6 28 61 2017 8 25 59 2016 9 21 68 2015 6 23 66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 11 hours ago, Ronin46 said: It has 26M views on Youtube already after 10 days. Lost City finished at 25M. I would say that compares pretty favorable. Look at the number of likes and comments. That shit's fake as fuck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Yeah I'm thinking 5 big Bs are possible 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronin46 Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Pinacolada said: Look at the number of likes and comments. That shit's fake as fuck. If you say so. A bit like your informative post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Furiosa Posted July 10, 2022 Author Share Posted July 10, 2022 5 hours ago, Ronin46 said: If you say so. A bit like your informative post. No Pinacolada's on to something. A lot of the time, studios will have their trailers serve as YouTube ads which artificially inflates their viewership. While also far from perfect for a variety of reasons likes on the YouTube trailer is a better indication of a movie's interest, because you have to go out of your way to hit the thumbs up button, showing you're really interested and excited for it. And in that respect, Ticket to Paradise is at 19K likes, while Lost City, at least for the Paramount upload is at about 68K, with a reupload racking up 180K likes. Granted of course Lost City has already been out longer so it's not a perfect 1:1 comparison, but it's still lagging behind recent trailers like Woman King (25K) and Amsterdam (74K) in terms of likes, and is doing slightly better than Easter Sunday (11K), which is looking pretty bomb-y. As an aside, @BestPicturePlutoNash, Bros' most recent trailer only has 5K likes. Again, trailer likes aren't perfect, but I don't think this has really connected at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Ticket to Paradise (a romcom with stars over 50) is definitely not the kind of movie that would blow up on social media even if it looked like the best movie ever. It won't do as well as The Lost City, but Universal is sure to heavily promote it via targeted marketing towards its demographic as we get closer to release. Always felt a Good Boys type of run would be the right expectation to have for Bros. A solid result for sure, but it won't be The Movie That Saves the Studio Comedy or anything (media-made narratives like that almost never pan out anyway). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 On 7/9/2022 at 11:05 AM, MCKillswitch123 said: Yearly rankings: Avatar: The Way of Water - $800 million Top Gun: Maverick - $700 million Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $600 million Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $410 million Jurassic World: Dominion - $380 million The Batman - $370 million Minions: The Rise of Gru - $350 million Thor: Love and Thunder - $330 million Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - $190 million Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - $170 million DC League of Super Pets - $150 million Uncharted - $148 million Babylon - $145 million Black Adam - $140 million Elvis - $130 million Ticket to Paradise - $130 million Shazam! Fury of the Gods - $125 million Lightyear - $120 million I Wanna Dance with Somebody - $120 million Bullet Train - $110 million The Lost City - $105 million Nope - $102 million Don't Worry Darling - $100 million Do we think TGM can get to $700m? Interesting. Hope it’s true. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
