The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Prime]

On 5/4/2022 at 9:02 AM, Eric loves Rey said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	300	15538	51899	29.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1,128

 

Comp

0.659x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-2 (32.97M)

1.779x of The Batman T-2 (38.43M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	300	17321	51899	33.37%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 1,783

 

Comp

0.661x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-1 (33.04M)

1.757x of The Batman T-1 (37.95M)

[Eric Prime]

On 5/4/2022 at 9:14 AM, Eric loves Rey said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	510	30872	1.65%

 

Comp

1.821x of F9 T-23 (12.93M)

1.574x of No Time to Die's First Day (9.92M)

1.156x of Dune's First Day (5.9M)

2.024x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife's First Day (9.11M)

1.924x of Fantastic Beasts 3's First Day (11.55M)

 

I'm not looking at any of the stuff below F9 until later on, but I wanted to do this just to show how strong of a start Top Gun is at. I'll admit that I thought the 300M predictions people were spouting after CinemaCon were a bit too hyped up from the CinemaCon reactions, which are always grain of salt-worthy. And while I don't want to say anything like that will happen just yet...this is more believable to me.

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	636	30872	2.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 126

 

Comp

1.479x of F9 T-22 (10.5M)

[Eric Prime]

On 5/4/2022 at 9:17 AM, Eric loves Rey said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-37 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	933	23332	4.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 33

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-36 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	954	23332	4.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just counted the total showtimes for my 15 theaters and it’s at 643 for Friday 😱 That’s almost 240 more than The Batman had (my highest comp.)
 

Empire 25 in NYC alone has 73 showtimes for Multiverse of Madness on Friday. That’s the most I’ve ever seen for any movie at any theater.

Edited May 5, 2022 by MultiverseXXR

[SchumacherFTW]

19 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said:

Just counted my total showtimes for my 15 theaters and it’s 643 for Friday 😱 That’s almost 240 more than The Batman had (my highest comp.)
 

Empire 25 in NYC alone has 73 showtimes for Multiverse of Madness on Friday. That’s the most I’ve ever seen for any movie at any theater.

Short run time definitely helping to squeeze an extra show out per screen

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-1	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	187	26,589	5,802	499	21.82%
		Phoenix	7	167	21,643	6,462	502	29.86%
		Raleigh	8	157	17,187	6,072	368	35.33%
	DS 2 Total		22	511	65,419	18,336	1,369	28.03%

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 3.413x (32.425m)

 - Shang-Chi - 4.473x (39.36m)

 - Black Widow - 2.491x (32.44m)

 - No Way Home - .529x (26.435m)

 

My last Batman run was preview morning - Thu + EA comp is at 35.056m

 

DS2 T-1 comps

 - Spider-Man - .657x (32.87m)

 - Black Widow - 3.923x (51.78m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 2.496x (43.93m)

 - Batman + EA - 1.942x (41.95m)

 - Eternals - 5.366x (50.98m)

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-0	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	187	26,589	6,696	894	25.18%
		Phoenix	7	171	21,988	7,225	763	32.86%
		Raleigh	8	161	17,407	6,810	738	39.12%
	Doctor Strange 2 Total		22	519	65,984	20,731	2,395	31.42%

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 3.859x (36.66m)

 - Shang-Chi - 5.058x (44.51m)

 - Black Widow - 2.816x (37.17m)

 - No Way Home - .598x (29.888m)

 

Average - 37.06m

 

DS2 T-0 comps

 - Spider-Man - .668x (33.39m)

 - Black Widow - 3.58x (47.25m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 2.287x (40.25m)

 - Batman + EA - 1.835x (39.63m)

 - Eternals - 5.x (47.5m)

 

Average - 42.1m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/3/2022 at 10:18 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	DS 2	PLF	58	379	7,134	11,808	60.42%	$15.64	$111,603.62
		Standard	111	569	6,422	14,314	44.87%	$11.83	$75,986.35
	DS 2 Total		169	948	13,556	26,122	51.89%	$13.84	$187,589.97
T-3	DS 2 (Fri)	PLF	86	541	6,147	17,872	34.39%	$15.80	$97,145.62
		Standard	148	580	4,764	20,784	22.92%	$12.02	$57,240.03
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,121	10,911	38,656	28.23%	$14.15	$154,385.65

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	DS 2	N	125	651	10,818	18,991	56.96%	$14.46	$156,434.76
		Y	44	297	2,738	7,131	38.40%	$11.38	$31,155.21
	DS 2 Total		169	948	13,556	26,122	51.89%	$13.84	$187,589.97
T-3	DS 2 (Fri)	N	111	760	8,827	18,417	47.93%	$14.75	$130,169.63
		Y	123	361	2,084	20,239	10.30%	$11.62	$24,216.02
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,121	10,911	38,656	28.23%	$14.15	$154,385.65

 

Thursday T-2 comps

 - Spider-Man - .757x (37.855m)

 - Batman - 2.63x (46.33m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.425x (52.37m)

 

Friday T-3 comps

 - Spider-Man - .713x (51.297m)

 - Batman - 2.032x (71.13m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New*	Sold	Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	DS 2	PLF	58	556	7,690	11,808	65.13%	$15.56	$119,683.48
		Standard	129	1,751	8,173	16,915	48.32%	$11.78	$96,288.44
	DS 2 Total		187	2,307	15,863	28,723	55.23%	$13.61	$215,971.92

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New*	Sold	Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	DS 2	N	141	1,553	12,371	21,257	58.20%	$14.31	$176,994.88
		Y	46	754	3,492	7,466	46.77%	$11.16	$38,977.04
	DS 2 Total		187	2,307	15,863	28,723	55.23%	$13.61	$215,971.92

*New sales since Tuesday morning*

 

Thursday T-0 comps

 - Spider-Man - .799x (39.93m)

 - Batman - 2.12x (37.33m)

 - Batman + EA - 2x (43.24m)

 - Sonic 2 - 7.85x (39.09m)

 - Morbius - 8.052x (45.9m)

 - FB3 - 7.872x (47.234m)

 

Prediction: 38.5m

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Prediction: 38.5m

If this came to pass I’d have to imagine OW would fall somewhere between $210-220M.

[dobrevvselena]

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/3/2022 at 10:18 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	DS 2 (Fri)	PLF	86	541	6,147	17,872	34.39%	$15.80	$97,145.62
		Standard	148	580	4,764	20,784	22.92%	$12.02	$57,240.03
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,121	10,911	38,656	28.23%	$14.15	$154,385.65

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	DS 2 (Fri)	N	111	760	8,827	18,417	47.93%	$14.75	$130,169.63
		Y	123	361	2,084	20,239	10.30%	$11.62	$24,216.02
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		234	1,121	10,911	38,656	28.23%	$14.15	$154,385.65

 

Friday T-3 comps

 - Spider-Man - .713x (51.297m)

 - Batman - 2.032x (71.13m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New*	Sold	Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	DS 2 (Fri)	PLF	86	880	7,027	17,872	39.32%	$15.66	$110,074.03
		Standard	180	1,534	6,298	24,804	25.39%	$11.86	$74,710.40
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		266	2,414	13,325	42,676	31.22%	$13.87	$184,784.43

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New*	Sold	Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	DS 2 (Fri)	N	126	1,500	10,327	20,257	50.98%	$14.57	$150,455.49
		Y	140	914	2,998	22,419	13.37%	$11.45	$34,328.94
	DS 2 (Fri) Total		266	2,414	13,325	42,676	31.22%	$13.87	$184,784.43

*New sales since Tuesday*

 

Friday T-1 comps

 - Spider-Man - .734x (52.787m)

 - Batman - 1.723x (60.31m)

[poweranimals]

1 hour ago, dobrevvselena said:

 

How good is that?

[Brainbug]

Just now, poweranimals said:

How good is that?

 

In the article:

 

the first-day overall results are only 4% below Spider-Man: No Way Home and a staggering 153% ahead of the original 2016 Doctor Strange, as well as 210% ahead of The Batman on a like-for-like basis at today’s rates.

[el sid]

Doctor Strange 2, counted today for Sunday, May 8 (3 days to go):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 1.234 (18 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 817 (33 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 279+ (26 showtimes, still 2 Sell Outs reported, I don't think that they are true)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 130 (15 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 160 (20 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.261 (35 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.609 (39 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 5.490+.
Jumped 9.5% since yesterday.
Comps: SC (22.7M true Sunday) had on Thursday for Friday (means DS 2 has 2 days left) 3.740 sold tickets = x1.47 for DS 2 at the moment with 2 days left to increase the margin. I can only guess that DS 2 will end by a factor of a bit under 2 (with around 6.5-7k sold tickets) which would be over 40M on Sunday for DS 2 (around 42-43M). It's apples to oranges anyway because I think the first OD is just way more popular presales-wise than the first Sunday, which is to the disadvantage of DS 2. Which means its Sunday result could be better.

I can also use the Tuesday of SC (= 3 days left) where it had 2.672 sold tickets for Friday = x1.87 = 42.5M (so the same number as the other SC comp).
The Batman had on Tuesday of its release week (= also 3 days left) 5.716 sold tickets for Friday (39.4M true Friday). Means Doctor Strange = 96% = 37.8M on Sunday. But the same „problem“ as above appears - this comp probably makes DS 2 look worse than it is.

Eternals must have had pretty bad walk-ups (because the presales in my theaters looked better than the actual weekend result) and Venom 2 had very good jumps in its last week and must have had nice walk-ups so I don't think these comps are very helpful.
Several members said that The Batman is also not the best comp and so my guess would be 42.5M for DS 2 on Sunday.

Edited May 5, 2022 by el sid

[keysersoze123]

@el sidI am confused. Why are you tracking sunday instead of thursday previews?

[TalismanRing]

NYC Regal, Local, 3pm

 

DR STRANGE 2 (Thur/5.5.22/22 screens)

323/774 (3D)
681/920 (RPX)
1486/4017 (2D)

Total = 2490/5751

43.29% of seats sold

27.3% rise from Wed

 

COMPS

 

No Thur numbers for AEG & SM:NWH but some later in the day comps from Wed)

 

AEG:  $32.3m  (83.36% available seats sold by 9pm Wed)

SM: NWH:  $35.6m (52.83%  by 10pm Wed)

 

Thur Comps

 

BW: $66m

SC: $42.88m

Eternals: $45.3m

Joker: $43.575m

 

Let's just toss out BW () and numbers seem to pointing to high 30s/low 40s. So I'll go with $40m

Edited May 5, 2022 by TalismanRing

[Porthos]

14 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	404	28068	46335	18267	39.42%

 

Total Showings Added Today	21
Total Seats Added Today	1440
Total Seats Sold Today	1695

 

T-1 Comps

	%		Sold T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	72.87		1961	25067		0/373	16985/42052	59.61%		28183	64.82%		36.44m
Batsy:	191.50		1621	9539		1/327	29315/38854	24.55%		11757	155.37%		41.36m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Doctor Strange in the Multitude of Madness's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	198.64%	27.46
SC:	5847	312.42%	27.49
LTBC:	7712	236.86%	27.48
ET:	6409	285.02%	27.08
NWH:	28183	64.82%	32.41
Batsy:	11757	155.37%	33.56

 

Regal:       4244/11857  [35.79% sold]
Matinee:    1363/4862  [28.03% | 7.46% of all tickets sold]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [11:30am - 12:40pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	409	27068	46529	19461	41.83%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night	5
Total Seats Added Since Last Night	194
Total Seats Sold Since Last Night	1194

 

T-0 [Mid-Day] Comps

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH [11-30 - 12:40]	73.65		1358	26425		0/386	16423/42848	61.67%		28183	69.05%		36.82m
Batsy [11:30 - 12:35]	185.73		939	10478		1/327	28376/38854	26.97%		11757	165.53%		40.12m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Doctor Strange in the Multitude of Madness's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

Regal:     4581/11857  [38.64% sold]
Matinee:    1538/4862  [31.63% | 7.90% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Good start to the day.  Probably converging on 37m-39m, depending on which comp is more accurate.

Edited May 5, 2022 by Porthos

[el sid]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

@el sidI am confused. Why are you tracking sunday instead of thursday previews?

Mostly because many members already count the Thursday and Friday. Another report is not really needed IMO. And it worked quite well to count the Sunday of NWH. By the way, back then I thought my estimate would be too high but actually it was too low. But NWH was special.

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-1 Thursday(371 showings): 27954(+2261)/46408 ATP: $15.10

1.55x Batman T-1 (33.47M)

0.829x NWH T-1 (41.43M)

 

T-2 Friday(537 showings): 29119(+3253)/67611 ATP: $14.76

1.33x Batman T-2 (46.64M)

0.912x NWH T-2 (65.61M)

 

T-3 Saturday(537 showings): 30284(+2873)/69445 ATP: $14.35

1.32x Batman T-3 (57.02M)

0.921x NWH T-3 (68.10M)

 

T-4 Sunday(473 showings): 17786(+1908)/62500 ATP: $14.18

1.47x Batman T-4 (50.13M)

0.899x NWH T-4 (57.71M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-0 Thursday(371 showings): 32381(+4427)/46408 ATP: $15.04

1.52x Batman T-0 (32.87M)

0.834x NWH T-0 (41.72M)

 

T-1 Friday(537 showings): 32590(+3471)/67611 ATP: $14.69

1.29x Batman T-1 (45.24M)

0.882x NWH T-1 (63.44M)

 

T-2 Saturday(537 showings): 33602(+3318)/69445 ATP: $14.31

1.25x Batman T-2 (54.15M)

0.898x NWH T-2 (66.36M)

 

T-3 Sunday(473 showings): 20471(+2685)/62500 ATP: $14.17

1.38x Batman T-3 (47.01M)

0.867x NWH T-3 (55.62M)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-1 Thursday(237 showings): 15492(+1407)/54411

1.84x Batman T-1 (39.71M)

0.602x NWH T-1 (30.08M)

 

T-2 Friday(335 showings): 12006(+1584)/81372

1.83x Batman T-2 (63.92M)

0.550x NWH T-2 (39.59M)

 

T-3 Saturday(329 showings): 7838(+1037)/79373

2.06x Batman T-3 (89.21M)

0.506x NWH T-3 (37.40M)

 

T-4 Sunday(318 showings): 2195(+445)/77168

2.42x Batman T-4 (82.71M)

0.543x NWH T-4 (34.84M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-0 Thursday(248 showings): 18546(+3504)/55784

1.73x Batman T-0 (37.35M)

0.566x NWH T-0 (28.28M)

 

T-1 Friday(338 showings): 14095(+2089)/81631 

1.64x Batman T-1 (57.30M)

0.523x NWH T-1 (37.61M)

 

T-2 Saturday(329 showings): 9281(+1443)/79373

1.81x Batman T-2 (78.11M)

0.494x NWH T-2 (36.54M)

 

T-3 Sunday(318 showings): 2543(+348)/77168

1.95x Batman T-3 (66.73M)

0.533x NWH T-3 (34.19M)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2208

4434

49.80%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1746

4478

38.99%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
12811	940	44192	28.99%	15	328

 

AMCs sold	6756
Cinemarks sold	2262
Regals sold	2246
Harkins sold	1547

 

1.83x Batman T-1 (39.49M)

0.665x NWH T-1 (33.25M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2473

4434

55.77%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1955

4481

43.63%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
15364	2553	44371	34.63%	15	332

 

AMCs sold	7701
Cinemarks sold	2783
Regals sold	2948
Harkins sold	1932

 

1.77x Batman T-0 (38.30M)

0.663x NWH T-0 (33.17M)

 

Pretty disappointing finish in Megaplex. A bit underwhelming here too. Drafthouse is just weird because it looks like Batman overperformed and NWH underperformed there. I'm gonna go with 35M