The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

katnisscinnaplex · August 5, 2022

On 7/29/2022 at 8:20 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie TC Shows Change Standard Last PSA PLF IMAX 3D
Super-Pets 3,390 91,510 85,075 6,435 0 0
Nope 2,987 57,299 -36.76% 50,489 419.53 6,810 4,014 0
Minions 2 2,716 42,549 -26.29% 41,798 312.53 751 0 617
Thor 4 2,750 40,862 -38.47% 40,270 339.70 592 0 393
Crawdads Sing 2,688 32,152 -19.74% 32,064 258.56 88 0 0
Top Gun 2 2,376 29,125 -10.89% 28,994 314.25 131 15 0
Elvis 2,177 19,660 -18.71% 19,610 272.24 50 0 0
Vengeance 929 14,169 14,169 0 0 0
Paws of Fury 1,695 12,898 -57.20% 12,874 128.51 24 0 0
The Black Phone 1,315 11,338 -36.57% 11,310 196.29 28 0 0
Jurassic World 3 1,331 9,986 -36.54% 9,890 197.75 96 0 69
Everything Everywhere 1,253 7,797 7,786 11 0 0
Marcel the Shell 688 6,525 -11.68% 6,525 118.34 0 0 0
Mrs. Harris 720 5,658 -42.99% 5,646 141.79 12 0 0
Lightyear 229 1,586 -57.24% 1,586 192.42 0 0 0

US Showtime Sample for 7/29/22 Weekend

OW shows comps

Super-Pets - 91,510 (3,390 TC)

- Jungle Cruise - 94,654 (3,334)

- Uncharted - 85,247 (3,358)

Vengeance - 14,169 (929 TC)

- Joe Bell - 13,994 (1,083)

- National Champions - 15,457 (1,174)

T-1 Week

Bullet Train 8/2 EA - 847 (771 TC)

Bullet Train - 53,866 (2,579 TC)

- Nope - 52,246 (2,594)

- Sonic 2 - 51,242 (2,764)

- Uncharted - 50,667 (2,672)

Easter Sunday - 27,805 (1,950 TC)

- Dog - 26,312 (2,172)

- Marry Me - 27,987 (2,321)

- West Side Story - 27,605 (1,950)

T-2 Weeks Previews

Bodies Bodies Bodies - 881 (495 TC)

- Vengeance - 838 (455)

- Nightmare Alley - 980 (567)

- Journal for Jordan - 882 (353)

T-3 Weeks Previews

Dragon Ball Super - 6,877 (2,065 TC)

- NTTD - 7,191 (1,520)

Beast - 872 (249 TC)

(Waiting for AMC and Regal to post shows before comping)

Expansion for Everything Everywhere this week; not sure if that affects anything.

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Bullet Train	3,499	94,719		79,936		14,783	5,140	0
Super-Pets	3,474	51,294	-33.66%	50,714	251.38	580	0	0
Easter Sunday	2,846	49,821		49,729		92	0	0
Minions 2	2,702	37,109	-12.79%	36,748	257.67	361	3	267
Nope	2,638	35,492	-38.06%	35,201	324.42	291	3	0
Thor 4	2,771	35,132	-14.02%	34,857	322.46	275	15	150
Crawdads Sing	2,623	29,787	-7.36%	29,689	235.40	98	0	0
Top Gun 2	2,394	28,278	-2.91%	27,952	288.67	326	13	0
Elvis	1,950	16,913	-13.97%	16,893	292.13	20	0	0
The Black Phone	1,080	9,222	-18.66%	9,213	220.49	9	0	0
Vengeance	935	8,969	-28.66%	8,969	123.88	0	0	0
Jurassic World 3	968	7,044	-29.46%	6,973	215.30	71	0	59
Mrs. Harris	575	4,203	-25.72%	4,197	166.30	6	0	0
Marcel the Shell	414	2,730	-58.16%	2,730	97.81	0	0	0
Sita Ramam	296	2,717		2,717		0	0	0
Paws of Fury	445	2,296	-82.20%	2,296	58.68	0	0	0
Everything Everywhere	282	1,295	-83.39%	1,295	86.11	0	0	0

US Showtime Sample for 8/5/22 Weekend

OW shows comps

Bullet Train 8/2 EA - 887 (807 TC)

Bullet Train - 94,719 (3,499 TC)

- Uncharted - 85,247 (3,358)

- Jungle Cruise - 94,654 (3,334)

- Halloween Kills- 92,661 (3,143)

Easter Sunday - 49,821 (2,846 TC)

- Dog - 48,752 (3,099)

- Marry Me - 53,179 (3,172)

- Dear Evan Hansen - 50,762 (2,985)

T-1 Week

Bodies Bodies Bodies - 13,255 (917 TC)

Fall - 12,629 (868 TC)

- Malignant - 13,875 (1,363)

- Nightmare Alley - 14,207 (1,231)

- Studio 666 - 13,939 (1,254)

- Cry Macho - 12,731 (1,305)

(Just gonna use the same comps here since the counts are so similar

Mack & Rita - 9,888 (689 TC)

- The Outfit - 9,823 (821)

- Vengeance - 9,512 (658)

- Mr. Malcolm's List - 10,621 (813)

T-2 Weeks Previews

Dragon Ball Super - 7,254 (2,180 TC)

- Uncharted - 7,459 (2,177)

Beast - 2,330 (845 TC)

(Still no AMC listings yet)

- Resident Evil - 2,532 (936)

- Moonfall - 2,260 (1,111)

charlie Jatinder · August 5, 2022

1 hour ago, abracadabra1998 said:

After the (many) really really really helpful comments, I looked into what I could set up for the Twin Cities area last night. There aren't many exciting new releases coming up, but I thought starting with something more casual would be helpful for me in terms of getting used to the process. So I give you:

Dragon Ball (T-14):

Obviously don't have any comps, since I just started, but I will check again in probably a week and see the % change, which can be a bit helpful at least. The next one will probably be Beast (thought about doing Fall, but that's looking just horrible and many theaters aren't showing it). Let me know if you have any feedback or comments on the layout or info I'm missing!

Always great to have new tracking additions. All the best.

Looking at Minneapolis can suggest few theaters you may add. These are the top theaters of region.

AMC Southdale Center 16 with IMAX, Dolby

Plymouth Grand 15

CMX Odyssey 15 + IMAX

B&B Mall of America 13

Lakeville 21 with Monster Screen

Champlin Cinema 14

There are few Marcus & Drafthouse cinemas but we are covering those in chain wise tracking.

katnisscinnaplex · August 5, 2022

2 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train (Fri) PLF 41 296 487 10,340 4.71% $14.30 $6,963.79
Standard 63 248 419 7,690 5.45% $11.53 $4,832.19
Total 104 544 906 18,030 5.02% $13.02
$11,795.98

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train (Fri) N 53 369 642 9,147 7.02% $14.04 $9,015.48
Y 51 175 264 8,883 2.97% $10.53 $2,780.50
Total 104 544 906 18,030 5.02% $13.02 $11,795.98
T-0 Easter Sunday (Fri) N 27 115 201 2,433 8.26% $12.32 $2,476.37
Y 23 27 48 2,048 2.34% $9.09 $436.47
Total 50 142 249 4,481 5.56% $11.70 $2,912.84

So it looks like excellent walkups yesterday + poor presales in Santikos. That's okay though, I can adjust weekend projections from there. On a positive note, Bullet Train almost reached projected sales for today and Easter Sunday surpassed (very low) expectations.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Fri) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - 1.138x (5.99m)

- Morbius - .367x (4.26m)

- Nope - .489x (6.42m)

Easter Sunday (Fri) T-0 comp

- Crawdads - .313x (1.647m)

- Super Pets - .169x (1.2m)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Fri) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - 11.19m

- Morbius - 10.7m

- Nope - 9.27m

Well, I like these numbers a lot more! Expecting good walkups again today I'll put my projection at 10.3m for true Friday

Easter Sunday (Fri) T-0 comp

- Crawdads - 3.21m

- Super Pets - 2.16m

I don't have any good comps for ES, but I'll go with 2.5m for Friday

Hoping to look at Saturday sales and get showtimes report up soon. Been in meetings all morning and managed to pull these while on break.

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Bullet Train (Sat)	PLF	41	293	293	10,340	2.83%	$13.88	$4,066.36
		Standard	63	235	235	7,690	3.06%	$11.03	$2,591.53
	Total		104	528	528	18,030	2.93%	$12.61	$6,657.89

By matinee

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Bullet Train (Sat)	N	53	257	257	9,147	2.81%	$14.59	$3,749.12
		Y	51	271	271	8,883	3.05%	$10.73	$2,908.77
	Total		104	528	528	18,030	2.93%	$12.61	$6,657.89
T-1	Easter Sunday (Sat)	N	27	18	18	2,433	0.74%	$12.75	$229.50
		Y	23	66	66	2,048	3.22%	$9.20	$607.47
	Total		50	84	84	4,481	1.87%	$9.96	$836.97

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 1.189x (6.37m)

- Nope - .65x (9.06m)

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-1 comp

- Crawdads - .189x (1m)

- Super Pets - .165x (1.28m)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 11.9m

- Nope - 13.1m

There's a big range on Sat final day growth for comps; I'm gonna go with around 1,350 but wouldn't be surprised to see lower. Current Sat projection is ~12m

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-1 comp

- Crawdads - 1.97m

- Super Pets - 2.29m

Going with 2.1m for Saturday for now. Expecting around 185 final sales

misterpepp · August 5, 2022

I have been informed that Three Thousand Years of Longing tickets go on sale on Aug 12, one week from today.

Edited August 5, 2022 by datpepper

abracadabra1998 · August 5, 2022

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Always great to have new tracking additions. All the best.

Looking at Minneapolis can suggest few theaters you may add. These are the top theaters of region.

AMC Southdale Center 16 with IMAX, Dolby

Plymouth Grand 15

CMX Odyssey 15 + IMAX

B&B Mall of America 13

Lakeville 21 with Monster Screen

Champlin Cinema 14

There are few Marcus & Drafthouse cinemas but we are covering those in chain wise tracking.

This is super helful, I'll look into these. Thanks!

BestPicturePlutoNash · August 6, 2022

Bodies Bodies Bodies is having EA showtimes at AMC on Wednesday before the wide expansion Friday. Hopefully it goes over double digits. There's no major release, Bullet Train is probably dropping 50% at least, and it's an A24 horror/comedy with actual appeal unlike Men and X which still both did 3.2m and 4.2m OWs so you gotta think 5m is the floor.

It Comes At Night opened to 5.9m. Witch opened to 8.8m in Feb 2016. Hereditary opened to 13m in June 2018. Midsommar had a 10.9m July holiday 5day.

Goldenhour36 · August 6, 2022

Fall (Tracking Day 1)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

6:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 9 Tickets sold, 11.69% of seats (77) are sold

9:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 9 Tickets sold, 11.69% of seats (77) are sold

Friday Showings:

11:15 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

2:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 2 Tickets sold, 2.60% of seats (77) are sold

4:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 3 Tickets sold, 3.90% of seats (77) are sold

7:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 9.09% of seats (77) are sold

10:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Total: 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 944 Tickets sold, 37.50% of seats (2517) are sold (x0.032)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.638)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 945 Tickets sold, 14.57% of seats (6085) are sold (x0.032) ($625,238)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.638) ($420,075)

Edited August 6, 2022 by Goldenhour36

Goldenhour36 · August 6, 2022

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 1)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

6:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 1 Tickets sold, 1.30% of seats (77) are sold

9:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Friday Showings:

11:00 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

1:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

4:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

7:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 6.49% of seats (77) are sold

10:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Total: 6 Tickets sold, 1.11% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.128)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 1): 14 Tickets sold, 2.08% of seats (674) are sold (x0.429)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.128) ($84,278)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 1): 14 Tickets sold, 0.56% of seats (2498) are sold (x0.429)

charlie Jatinder · August 6, 2022

Bullet Train Harkins Friday - 16170/114868 (406 showings) $176,527

Pretty good walk ups today as well. Normally it will mean $8.8-9.2M but if it follow THU ratio i.e. 2.1% it will be $8.4M.

I think $8.7M might be safe bet.

Edited August 6, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

charlie Jatinder · August 6, 2022

SAT sales are quite solid at Harkins. 3684/113851 (397 showings) $39,357

+25% from FRI in admits and +17% in Gross.

Normally this would mean like around +25-30% jump, but I guess even +20% will be pretty solid.

charlie Jatinder · August 6, 2022

Easter Sunday FRI - 3225/29821 (165 showings) $34,565

If follows THU ratio, should mean $1.65M.

SAT PS again are a lot better than FRI. 1026/29279 (163 showings) $10,723. Around +40% in admits and +27% in growth.

Possibly Harkins SAT being big for some reason. If nothing is off, should mean like $2.25M SAT or so.

katnisscinnaplex · August 6, 2022

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Dragon Ball T-13 Jax 6 26 0 161 5,795 2.78%
Phx 6 22 11 279 4,486 6.22%
Ral 7 21 5 190 2,812 6.76%
Total 19 69 16 630 13,093 4.81%

Dragon Ball T-13 comp

- JJK:0 - missed

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Dragon Ball	T-12	Jax	6	26	9	170	5,795	2.93%
		Phx	6	22	17	296	4,486	6.60%
		Ral	7	21	1	191	2,812	6.79%
	Total		19	69	27	657	13,093	5.02%

Dragon Ball T-12 comp

- JJK:0 - missed

katnisscinnaplex · August 6, 2022

17 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Bullet Train (Sat) PLF 41 293 293 10,340 2.83% $13.88 $4,066.36
Standard 63 235 235 7,690 3.06% $11.03 $2,591.53
Total 104 528 528 18,030 2.93% $12.61 $6,657.89

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-1 Bullet Train (Sat) N 53 257 257 9,147 2.81% $14.59 $3,749.12
Y 51 271 271 8,883 3.05% $10.73 $2,908.77
Total 104 528 528 18,030 2.93% $12.61 $6,657.89
T-1 Easter Sunday (Sat) N 27 18 18 2,433 0.74% $12.75 $229.50
Y 23 66 66 2,048 3.22% $9.20 $607.47
Total 50 84 84 4,481 1.87% $9.96 $836.97

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 1.189x (6.37m)

- Nope - .65x (9.06m)

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-1 comp

- Crawdads - .189x (1m)

- Super Pets - .165x (1.28m)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 11.9m

- Nope - 13.1m

There's a big range on Sat final day growth for comps; I'm gonna go with around 1,350 but wouldn't be surprised to see lower. Current Sat projection is ~12m

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-1 comp

- Crawdads - 1.97m

- Super Pets - 2.29m

Going with 2.1m for Saturday for now. Expecting around 185 final sales

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Bullet Train (Sat)	PLF	41	227	520	10,340	5.03%	$13.63	$7,085.48
		Standard	63	253	488	7,690	6.35%	$10.99	$5,363.71
	Total		104	480	1,008	18,030	5.59%	$12.35	$12,449.19
T-1	Bullet Train (Sun)	PLF	41	195	195	10,340	1.89%	$13.45	$2,621.91
		Standard	63	150	150	7,690	1.95%	$9.98	$1,497.12
	Total		104	345	345	18,030	1.91%	$11.94	$4,119.03

By matinee

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Bullet Train (Sat)	N	53	203	460	9,147	5.03%	$14.53	$6,684.98
		Y	51	277	548	8,883	6.17%	$10.52	$5,764.21
	Total		104	480	1,008	18,030	5.59%	$12.35	$12,449.19
T-0	Easter Sunday (Sat)	N	27	45	63	2,433	2.59%	$12.66	$797.29
		Y	23	71	137	2,048	6.69%	$9.01	$1,235.02
	Total		50	116	200	4,481	4.46%	$10.16	$2,032.31
T-1	Bullet Train (Sun)	N	53	113	113	9,147	1.24%	$14.82	$1,674.58
		Y	51	232	232	8,883	2.61%	$10.54	$2,444.45
	Total		104	345	345	18,030	1.91%	$11.94	$4,119.03
T-1	Easter Sunday (Sun)	N	27	6	6	2,433	0.25%	$12.45	$74.70
		Y	23	49	49	2,048	2.39%	$9.55	$467.81
	Total		50	55	55	4,481	1.23%	$9.86	$542.51

Bullet Train nowhere near my expected sales . It's only the second movie I've tracked that had a lower increase on Saturday than Friday (Nope was the first). Hopefully that's more of an indicator to either the type of movie (very walkup friendly) or the seasons changing (leaving summer) than a bad sign for Bullet Train. Likely a little of both though.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - 1.238x (6.63m)

- Nope - .547x (7.62m)

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-0 comp

- Crawdads - .246x (1.32m)

- Super Pets - .141x (1.09m)

Adjusted comps (using current Fri estimate)

Bullet Train (Sat)

- Crawdads - 9.85m

- Nope - 10.56m

Going with 10.1m for Saturday

Easter Sunday (Sat)

- Crawdads - 1.04m

- Super Pets - 1.18m

I'll go with 1.1m Saturday for Easter Sunday. It should increase from Friday but the presales just aren't there.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sun) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 1.06x (4.91m)

- Nope - .894x (9.73m)

Easter Sunday (Sun) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - .169x (782k)

- Super Pets - .198x (1.18m)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Sun)

- Crawdads - 7.29m

- Nope - 13.48m

Easter Sunday (Sun)

- Crawdads - 617k

- Super Pets - 1.27m

Pretty big ranges here. Let's see what Friday comes in at and maybe an early Sat estimate and I can rerun these calculations.

Goldenhour36 · August 7, 2022

On 8/6/2022 at 2:14 AM, Goldenhour36 said:

Fall (Tracking Day 1)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

6:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 9 Tickets sold, 11.69% of seats (77) are sold

9:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 9 Tickets sold, 11.69% of seats (77) are sold

Friday Showings:

11:15 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

2:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 2 Tickets sold, 2.60% of seats (77) are sold

4:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 3 Tickets sold, 3.90% of seats (77) are sold

7:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 9.09% of seats (77) are sold

10:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Total: 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 944 Tickets sold, 37.50% of seats (2517) are sold (x0.032)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.638)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 945 Tickets sold, 14.57% of seats (6485) are sold (x0.032) ($625,238)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.638) ($420,075)

Fall (Tracking Day 2)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

6:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 10 Tickets sold, 12.99% of seats (77) are sold (1 New Tickets, 11.11% Increase)

9:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 9 Tickets sold, 11.69% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

Friday Showings:

11:15 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

2:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 6.49% of seats (77) are sold (3 New Tickets, 150.00% Increase)

4:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 3 Tickets sold, 3.90% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

7:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 9.09% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

10:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

Total: 34 Tickets sold, 6.31% of seats (539) are sold (4 New Tickets, 13.33% Increase)

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 2): 1005 Tickets sold, 39.93% of seats (2517) are sold (x0.034)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2): 55 Tickets sold, 10.30% of seats (534) are sold (x0.618)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

34 Tickets sold, 6.31% of seats (539) are sold (4 New Tickets, 13.33% Increase)

Comps

Nope (Tracking Day 2): 1007 Tickets sold, 15.53% of seats (6485) are sold (x0.034) ($664,315)

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2): 55 Tickets sold, 10.30% of seats (534) are sold (x0.618) ($406,906)

Goldenhour36 · August 7, 2022

On 8/6/2022 at 2:58 AM, Goldenhour36 said:

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 1)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

6:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 1 Tickets sold, 1.30% of seats (77) are sold

9:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Friday Showings:

11:00 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

1:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

4:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

7:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 6.49% of seats (77) are sold

10:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold

Total: 6 Tickets sold, 1.11% of seats (539) are sold

Comps

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.128)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 1): 14 Tickets sold, 2.08% of seats (674) are sold (x0.429)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1): 47 Tickets sold, 8.80% of seats (534) are sold (x0.128) ($84,278)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 1): 14 Tickets sold, 0.56% of seats (2498) are sold (x0.429)

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 2)

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24

Thursday Showings:

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

6:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 1 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

9:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 1 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (1 New Tickets, 100% Increase)

Friday Showings:

11:00 AM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

1:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

4:30 PM (Dine-In Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

7:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 9.09% of seats (77) are sold (2 New Tickets, 40% Increase)

10:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (77) are sold (No Changes)

Total: 9 Tickets sold, 1.67% of seats (539) are sold (3 New Tickets, 50% Increase)

Comps

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2): 55 Tickets sold, 10.30% of seats (534) are sold (x0.164)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 2): 14 Tickets sold, 2.08% of seats (674) are sold (x0.643)

Island Cinemas (St.Simon)

No Showings Yet

Valdosta Cinemas

No Showings Yet

SUM Total:

9 Tickets sold, 1.67% of seats (539) are sold (3 New Tickets, 50% Increase)

Comps

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2): 55 Tickets sold, 10.30% of seats (534) are sold (x0.164) ($107,981)

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 2): 14 Tickets sold, 0.56% of seats (2498) are sold (x0.643)

charlie Jatinder · August 7, 2022

On 8/6/2022 at 1:18 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Bullet Train Harkins Friday - 16170/114868 (406 showings) $176,527

Pretty good walk ups today as well. Normally it will mean $8.8-9.2M but if it follow THU ratio i.e. 2.1% it will be $8.4M.

I think $8.7M might be safe bet.

Saturday - 20520/113989 (399 showings) $216,953

+23% FRI. Not as big as pre-sales would have normally suggested but quite big growth. $9.65-9.85M SAT.

katnisscinnaplex · August 7, 2022

On 8/6/2022 at 7:33 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Dragon Ball T-12 Jax 6 26 9 170 5,795 2.93%
Phx 6 22 17 296 4,486 6.60%
Ral 7 21 1 191 2,812 6.79%
Total 19 69 27 657 13,093 5.02%

Dragon Ball T-12 comp

- JJK:0 - missed

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Dragon Ball	T-11	Jax	6	26	5	175	5,795	3.02%
		Phx	6	22	8	304	4,486	6.78%
		Ral	7	21	13	204	2,812	7.25%
	Total		19	69	26	683	13,093	5.22%

Dragon Ball T-11 comp

- JJK:0 - missed

Planning on picking up a few more movies tomorrow. Not as much time this weekend.

katnisscinnaplex · August 7, 2022

On 8/6/2022 at 9:00 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train (Sat) PLF 41 227 520 10,340 5.03% $13.63 $7,085.48
Standard 63 253 488 7,690 6.35% $10.99 $5,363.71
Total 104 480 1,008 18,030 5.59% $12.35 $12,449.19
T-1 Bullet Train (Sun) PLF 41 195 195 10,340 1.89% $13.45 $2,621.91
Standard 63 150 150 7,690 1.95% $9.98 $1,497.12
Total 104 345 345 18,030 1.91% $11.94 $4,119.03

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Bullet Train (Sat) N 53 203 460 9,147 5.03% $14.53 $6,684.98
Y 51 277 548 8,883 6.17% $10.52 $5,764.21
Total 104 480 1,008 18,030 5.59% $12.35 $12,449.19
T-0 Easter Sunday (Sat) N 27 45 63 2,433 2.59% $12.66 $797.29
Y 23 71 137 2,048 6.69% $9.01 $1,235.02
Total 50 116 200 4,481 4.46% $10.16 $2,032.31
T-1 Bullet Train (Sun) N 53 113 113 9,147 1.24% $14.82 $1,674.58
Y 51 232 232 8,883 2.61% $10.54 $2,444.45
Total 104 345 345 18,030 1.91% $11.94 $4,119.03
T-1 Easter Sunday (Sun) N 27 6 6 2,433 0.25% $12.45 $74.70
Y 23 49 49 2,048 2.39% $9.55 $467.81
Total 50 55 55 4,481 1.23% $9.86 $542.51

Bullet Train nowhere near my expected sales . It's only the second movie I've tracked that had a lower increase on Saturday than Friday (Nope was the first). Hopefully that's more of an indicator to either the type of movie (very walkup friendly) or the seasons changing (leaving summer) than a bad sign for Bullet Train. Likely a little of both though.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sat) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - 1.238x (6.63m)

- Nope - .547x (7.62m)

Easter Sunday (Sat) T-0 comp

- Crawdads - .246x (1.32m)

- Super Pets - .141x (1.09m)

Adjusted comps (using current Fri estimate)

Bullet Train (Sat)

- Crawdads - 9.85m

- Nope - 10.56m

Going with 10.1m for Saturday

Easter Sunday (Sat)

- Crawdads - 1.04m

- Super Pets - 1.18m

I'll go with 1.1m Saturday for Easter Sunday. It should increase from Friday but the presales just aren't there.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sun) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - 1.06x (4.91m)

- Nope - .894x (9.73m)

Easter Sunday (Sun) T-1 comps

- Crawdads - .169x (782k)

- Super Pets - .198x (1.18m)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Sun)

- Crawdads - 7.29m

- Nope - 13.48m

Easter Sunday (Sun)

- Crawdads - 617k

- Super Pets - 1.27m

Pretty big ranges here. Let's see what Friday comes in at and maybe an early Sat estimate and I can rerun these calculations.

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Bullet Train (Sun)	PLF	41	161	356	10,340	3.44%	$13.24	$4,712.27
		Standard	63	240	390	7,690	5.07%	$10.16	$3,962.96
	Total		104	401	746	18,030	4.14%	$11.63	$8,675.23

By matinee

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Bullet Train (Sun)	N	53	121	234	9,147	2.56%	$14.37	$3,361.46
		Y	51	280	512	8,883	5.76%	$10.38	$5,313.77
	Total		104	401	746	18,030	4.14%	$11.63	$8,675.23
T-0	Easter Sunday (Sun)	N	27	28	34	2,433	1.40%	$12.26	$416.78
		Y	23	67	116	2,048	5.66%	$9.40	$1,090.15
	Total		50	95	150	4,481	3.35%	$10.05	$1,506.93

Both movies right at 75% of Saturday in presales.

Unadjusted

Bullet Train (Sun) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - 1.078x (5m)

- Nope - .699x (7.61m)

Easter Sunday (Sun) T-0 comps

- Crawdads - .217x (1m)

- Super Pets - .159x (948k)

Adjusted

Bullet Train (Sun)

- Crawdads - 6.69m

- Nope - 9.5m

- Elvis - 6.37m

- Top Gun - 7.56m

Maybe around 6.9m for Sunday

Easter Sunday (Sun)

- Crawdads - 933k

- Super Pets - 1.2m

Let's go with 1m even for Sunday

John2015 · August 7, 2022

Aughst 12: I had not seen any TV spots of "Bodies Bodies Bodies" and "Fall", but I did see TV spot of "Mack & Rita".

August 26: I had seen many TV spots of "The Invitation" while there is still no TV spot of "Three Thousand Years of Longing"

Edited August 7, 2022 by John2015

filmlover · August 7, 2022

Beast tickets are now on sale. Looks like it is getting PLFs at some locations (mainly at ones that have more than one giant screen).

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