The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[el sid]

Operation Fortune had today for Thursday 96 sold tickets in 7 theaters.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Thursday): The Gentlemen had 331 sold tickets,
Plane had 161,
Amsterdam had 222,
Angel Has Fallen had 354
and Copshop had 34 sold tickets.

And counted today for Friday it had 98 sold tickets, also in 7 theaters.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Friday): The Gentlemen had 335 sold tickets,
Plane had 248,
Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard had 132,
Amsterdam had had 197,
Angel Has Fallen had 293
and Copshop had 26 sold tickets.

Yes, a sub-5M OW could happen. But maybe the jumps till tomorrow are better than expected and/or it has quite good walk-ups.

[Maggie]

So, how's John Wick doing?

[el sid]

Creed III, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 236 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 157 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 33 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 12 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 49 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 122 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 268 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 877.

Up mediocre 50% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Thursday): Plane (435k from previews) had 161 sold tickets,
The Woman King (1.7M) had 257 sold tickets
and Black Adam (7.6M) had 2.259 sold tickets.

Creed III, counted today for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 408 (9 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 178 (14 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 66 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 23 (7 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 68 (6 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 201 (14 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 361 (15 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.305. Not frontloaded at all.

Up very good 96% since Monday.
Comps (all three counted on Wednesday of the release week for Friday): The Woman King (19.1M) had 383 sold tickets,
Plane (10.2M OW) had 248 sold tickets
and F9 (70M) had 2.812 sold tickets.
King Richard (5.4M) finally (= on Thursday for Friday) had 283 sold tickets.
 

My very conservative prediction at the moment is 35M+ OW. Could be 40M by tomorrow.

[misterpepp]

Dungeons & Dragons tix March 10

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

So, how's John Wick doing?

 

Already at (nearly) 2x Shazam 2's first day of pre-sales locally. 👍

 

(also already past Scream VI's first day of pre-sales)

 

[Just finished setting up sheets (thanks for the reminder, BTW)]

Edited March 1, 2023 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

Initial show counts at MTC1 is not that big. its smaller than what Shazam got :-) That said sales are way stronger. When did the presales start? 

[Eric is Quiet]

Quorum Updates

John Wick: Chapter 4 T-23: 58.55% Awareness, 6.68 Interest

Air T-35: 20.63%, 5.19

Paint T-37: 16.52%, 4.87

The Pope's Exorcist T-44: 19.64%, 5.12

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse T-93: 47.9%, 6.36

The Blackening T-107: 12.83%, 5.3

 

Creed III T-2: 59.35% Awareness, 6.24 Interest

Final Awareness: 75% chance of 30M, 50% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 25% chance of 60M

Final Interest: 89% chance of 30M, 74% chance of 40M, 58% chance of 50M, 53% chance of 60M

 

Operation Fortune: Ruse de Guerre T-2: 25.07% Awareness, 4.99 Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 19% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 50% chance of 5M, 25% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 25% chance of 5M, 8% chance of 10M

 

Champions T-9: 25.58% Awareness, 5.27 Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 54% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 50% chance of 5M, 25% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 60% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

 

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-30: 39.4% Awareness, 5.17 Interest

Final Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 53% chance of 20M, 41% chance of 30M

Final Interest: 54% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M, 16% chance of 30M

Known IP Awareness: 67% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 30M

Known IP Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 40M

[TheFlatLannister]

 

18 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Lightly scrolling through some of Tampa/Orlando showings for Demon slayer...and yeah it's going bonkers 

GREATER ORLANDO/TAMPA REGION 

 

FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS 

 

DEMON SLAYER 

 

T-1

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
64	2346	8060	29.1%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Performing like a CBM here 

 

Walkups will probably be weak considering anime isn't very GA friendly and is  heavily fan driven. 

[Porthos]

26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Initial show counts at MTC1 is not that big. its smaller than what Shazam got 🙂 That said sales are way stronger. When did the presales start? 

 

About 6am PST:

 

 

[noobmaster69]

https://fandomwire.com/amidst-james-gunn-firing-him-after-shazam-2-rumors-zachary-levi-open-to-playing-other-superheroes-even-if-its-marvel-it-would-come-down-to-the-script-and-director/

Quote

Levi Even Stated that the visual effects are much better than the last time owing to a fifty million dollar increase in budget.

So Shazam 2 budget 150M? It needs a higher box office than Shazam 1 to cover the cost.

Edited March 2, 2023 by noobmaster69

[Joyous Legion]

Zachary Levi open to marvel? My dude already played Fandral, rip in peace  

Edited March 2, 2023 by Favorite Fearless Legion

[TheFlatLannister]

47 minutes ago, noobmaster69 said:

https://fandomwire.com/amidst-james-gunn-firing-him-after-shazam-2-rumors-zachary-levi-open-to-playing-other-superheroes-even-if-its-marvel-it-would-come-down-to-the-script-and-director/

 

So Shazam 2 budget 150M? It needs a higher box office than Shazam 1 to cover the cost.

[TigerPaw]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Already at (nearly) 2x Shazam 2's first day of pre-sales locally. 👍

 

(also already past Scream VI's first day of pre-sales)

 

[Just finished setting up sheets (thanks for the reminder, BTW)]

Hoping JW4 does well... A little sick of CGI fest and really hope real stunts, real action gets more appreciation.

 

Obviously it won't reach the success of Top Gun 2 last year, but still hope it breaks out.

[Inceptionzq]

Demon Slayer Megaplex Friday(46 showings) 

988/6477

 

Demon Slayer Drafthouse Friday(69 showings)

2603/6461

 

Don't have any good comps for this, but it seems solid.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/28/2023 at 8:12 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

AMC FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-16

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
15	99	2759	3.5%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
13	1

 

 

 

CINEMARK FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-16

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	16	1780	0.89%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
0	0

 

Cinemark is just completely dead. AMC numbers are being carried by Disney Springs showings. I might start tracking Regal in Orlando, since Cinemark is so stagnant 

AMC FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-15

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
16	108	2869	3.7%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
9	1

 

 

 

CINEMARK FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

SHAZAM!

 

T-15

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	18	1780	1.0%

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY	NEW SHOWINGS ADDED
2	0

[keysersoze123]

On 2/28/2023 at 5:15 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Demon Slayer definitely hitting double digits even if its frontloaded. Presales for friday is uber strong. 

 

Demon Slayer Friday MTC1 - 39338/261043 577077.72 1765 shows

 

 

Demon Slayer Friday

MTC1 - 48014/282236 701538.04 1930 shows

MTC2 - 41027/190964 502647.37 1537 shows

 

Solid day for sure. I think it will be 60Kish(at MTC1) by the time presales end up. Thinking it can do enough to hit 5-6m OD. Plus its doing well almost everywhere. 

[keysersoze123]

Creed III 3/1 Early Shows final

MTC1 - 28865/91807 540874.05 369 shows

MTC2 - 13318/40831 203983.75 205 shows

 

Previews MTC1 - 38069/300513 642646.45 1668 shows

Previews MTC1(earlier this afternoon) - 19051/208269 259230.73 1461 shows

 

MTC1 Friday - 69889/797754 1137973.01 4205 shows

MTC2 Friday(as of this morning) - 36267/500411 466433.96 3153 shows

 

Thinking about 1.5m for today and another 300K through imax shows. Previews are subdued due to early shows but with good walkups should look at 4m. Friday sales look rock solid as well. 

 

[keysersoze123]

John Wick 4 MTC1 previews - 15701/409130 291987.19 2008 shows

 

Definitely a solid start though nothing crazy. Let us hope after reactions next week it amps up even more. Still feeling good about at least 50m OW. 

[Boxofficerules]

Anything for 65?

[Porthos]

On 2/28/2023 at 11:23 PM, Porthos said:

 

Scream VI Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	77	8897	9747	850	8.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

42

 

T-9 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Morbius	91.79		68	926		0/141	19381/20307	4.56%		3477	24.45%		5.23m
Sonic 2	119.21		65	713		0/92	12224/12937	5.51%		3951	21.51%		7.45m
Nope	167.98		36	506		0/86	13185/13691	3.70%		3822	22.24%		10.75m
BA	71.31		71	1192		0/152	21769/22961	5.19%		4494	18.91%		5.42m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Scream VI's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      152/2515  [6.04% sold]
Matinee:     55/691  [7.96% | 6.47% of all tickets sold]
3D:         383/3154  [12.14% | 45.06% of all tickets sold]

 

Scream VI Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	77	8855	9747	892	9.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

42

 

T-8 Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Morbius	90.37		61	987		0/144	19867/20854	4.73%		3477	25.65%		5.15m
Sonic 2	109.45		102	815		0/92	12122/12937	6.30%		3951	22.58%		6.84m
Nope	160.72		49	555		0/86	13136/13691	4.05%		3822	23.34%		10.29m
BA	70.02		82	1274		0/152	21685/22959	5.55%		4494	19.85%		5.32m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Scream VI's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     155/2515  [6.16% sold]
Matinee:    56/691  [8.10% | 6.28% of all tickets sold]
3D:            397/3154  [12.59% | 44.51% of all tickets sold]