The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[DAJK]

HAHAHAHAHA

 

They refunded their ticket. BACK TO ZERO BABY! We’re in for a glorious bomb for the ages folks, this is ridiculous!!!

[screambaby]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

HAHAHAHAHA

 

They refunded their ticket. BACK TO ZERO BABY! We’re in for a glorious bomb for the ages folks, this is ridiculous!!!

Lmao...

[CJohn]

7 minutes ago, DAJK said:

HAHAHAHAHA

 

They refunded their ticket. BACK TO ZERO BABY! We’re in for a glorious bomb for the ages folks, this is ridiculous!!!

People are done with silly CGI superhero nonsense. Absolutely done. Quantumania was the nail in the coffin. Easy money no more. These movies will need to show they have a reason to exist (GotG3 and The Flash will both do well, Aquaman and Marvels will mega tank).

[screambaby]

Just now, CJohn said:

People are done with silly CGI superhero nonsense. Absolutely done. Quantumania was the nail in the coffin.

Something tells me some of it might be people have no clue its even coming out...haven't seen any ads for it here . By comparison I was seeing ads for scream 6 more then a month ahead of time.

[John Marston]

7 minutes ago, CJohn said:

People are done with silly CGI superhero nonsense. Absolutely done. Quantumania was the nail in the coffin. Easy money no more. These movies will need to show they have a reason to exist (GotG3 and The Flash will both do well, Aquaman and Marvels will mega tank).

 

Flash I think is being overpredicted, and it could flop with its 300m+ budget 

[screambaby]

4 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

Flash I think is being overpredicted, and it could flop with its 300m+ budget 

300? Dear God that would have to make like 700 million domestic just to break even

[ky02121]

27 minutes ago, DAJK said:

HAHAHAHAHA

 

They refunded their ticket. BACK TO ZERO BABY! We’re in for a glorious bomb for the ages folks, this is ridiculous!!!

Unreal 

[froztking]

8 hours ago, Firepower said:

Guardians underperfomance would be a confirmation. Or not.

if guardians 3 with good reception fails to cross 850m$ ww then easy money from superhero movies r done ! super hero genre will go to mcu phase 1 era or before that ! with good movies doing 400-500m$ and well set up great movies doing 800m or 1b$ !

[Hiccup23]

DnD (17 days out) is tracking just slightly behind where Shazam! 2 is now 😅  

[ChipDerby]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

HAHAHAHAHA

 

They refunded their ticket. BACK TO ZERO BABY! We’re in for a glorious bomb for the ages folks, this is ridiculous!!!

 

I don't get why this is funny.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/2/2023 at 8:38 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS 

 

JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4

 

T-22

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
27	220	4915	4.5%

 

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Looks very good to me 

 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

FRIDAY NIGHT SHOWINGS 

 

JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4

 

T-10

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
38	721	6677	10.8%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE     T-22

11

 

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-22

501

 

With strong reviews and Shazam faltering, John Wick is poised to overperform big time. 

[interiorgatordecorator]

I know shazam 2 doesn't look particularly appealing, but its still a shame its flopping since the first one was the best dceu movie and better than any phase 3 mcu movie

[Goldenhour36]

Would Snake Eye be a decent comp for Shazam as they are both superhero movies and Snake Eye failed to clear $20M+ and also failed to reach number one by close race?

[DAJK]

18 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:

 

I don't get why this is funny.

Here's what ChatGPT had to say.

 

Generally speaking, it might be considered "funny" by some people if Shazam: Fury of the Gods bombs at the box office because it is a follow-up to the successful 2019 film Shazam!, and there may be significant amusement in seeing a sequel underperform compared to the original. Additionally, there may be some entertainment value for some individuals in seeing a big-budget movie fail, particularly if they hold a negative view towards the film industry, the superhero genre, or the DC Extended Universe franchise.

[GOGODanca]

Variety Is claiming shazam 2 costs the same as the first one 

[Joyous Legion]

9 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

I know shazam 2 doesn't look particularly appealing, but its still a shame its flopping since the first one was the best dceu movie and better than any phase 3 mcu movie

[Tinalera]

John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 and Fri Mar 24 (t-10)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	3	15	305	3154	3459	0.0881
	Fri	3	17	388	3430	3818	0.1016
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	13	88	2811	2899	0.0303
	Fri	4	17	180	3479	3659	0.0491

[Menor the Destroyer]

John Wick 4 Marcus T-9

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 223

Seats Sold: 2725/40530

 

Don't have any great comps this far out, Black Adam was 4212 at T-6 with about 400 shows. I mostly use 2-3 blocked seats per show as a rough approximation, so would like to see Wick at 3800ish on T-6 to be equal to BA. 

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 277

Seats Sold: 3151/53887

 

Nothing at all useful for this. Other than Black Adam, the only movies I have tracked this far out are big sellers like WF, Thor, Avatar 2, and I don't seem to have data for Black Adam's Friday. Considering Friday showtimes are not much higher than Thursday, the real sales for Friday do seem to be ahead of Thursday, which is a good sign for IM. 

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

I know shazam 2 doesn't look particularly appealing, but its still a shame its flopping since the first one was the best dceu movie and better than any phase 3 mcu movie

better than any phase 3 mcu movie is a crazy stretch 

[screambaby]

1 hour ago, ChipDerby said:

 

I don't get why this is funny.

Makes for a more entertaining weekend