IndustriousAngel Posted April 25, 2015 Author Share Posted April 25, 2015 Friday numbers are in and the trend for the weekend looks a bit mor sensible now - still very good for A2-AoU: #1: A2 - 800k admissions #2: FF7 - 175k #3/4/5: Nanny, PBMC2, RaN with 50k each 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted April 26, 2015 Author Share Posted April 26, 2015 Final weekend trend and A2 keeps on falling - but still the best opening for a MCU movie! Seems very frontloaded, though, since all other releases went up with the last estimates. #1: A2 - 675k admissions #2: FF7 - 190k #3: PBMC2 - 75k #4: Nanny - 70k #5: RaN - 55k 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 900k to 675k. That must be among the biggest over estimations ever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 900k to 675k. That must be among the biggest over estimations ever. Ouchhh. Lets just hope actuals will be over 500k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 26, 2015 Share Posted April 26, 2015 Ouchhh. Lets just hope actuals will be over 500k I doubt it will drop anymore as its already sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted April 26, 2015 Author Share Posted April 26, 2015 I doubt it will drop anymore as its already sunday. I think so, too. The over-estimates might be because of extremely inflated previews on Wednesday and Avengers double-features. Plus, weather is turning rather grey which is always good for admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted April 28, 2015 Share Posted April 28, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron boycotted by hundreds of German cinemas http://www.theguardian.com/film/2015/apr/27/avengers-age-of-ultron-boycotted-by-hundreds-of-german-cinemas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KATCH-2D2 Posted April 28, 2015 Share Posted April 28, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron boycotted by hundreds of German cinemas http://www.theguardian.com/film/2015/apr/27/avengers-age-of-ultron-boycotted-by-hundreds-of-german-cinemas So I take it that the boycotting happened before the OW? Then AOU could have opened higher. Damn Disney for being greedy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShouldIBeHere Posted April 28, 2015 Share Posted April 28, 2015 A lot of these 150-200 screens would probably not have screened, AoU, though, as I have read on some reports about the boycott. It isn't influencing the BO numbers in any extreme way, I am sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted April 28, 2015 Author Share Posted April 28, 2015 (edited) This really concerns only small-town theaters, so people who absolutely wanted to see AoU and lived in a small town just had to drive to a bigger town in the vicinity - no big deal, I guess the overall effect was <5%. edit: A bigger problem might be the complete lack of any 2D shows ... while AoU seems to have the highest ticket prices since the Hobbit films, it's very probable that this policy leads to some people avoiding the movie completely (it's only anecdotical evidence, but me and my ladyfriend refuse to pay that 3D charge, and my son has shown no interest in AoU either, we'll watch Ex Machina instead tomorrow) Edited April 28, 2015 by IndustriousAngel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted April 28, 2015 Author Share Posted April 28, 2015 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total drop week 1 Avengers 2 709.614 500 1.419 709.614 - 1 2 Fast & Furious 7 200.642 660 304 3.618.276 -47 4 3 Paul Blart Mall Cop 2 84.520 589 143 621.063 -19 3 4 Der Nanny 64.730 595 109 1.404.650 -28 5 5 Shaun the Sheep 63.142 740 85 1.484.001 +4 6 6 Run All Night 51.612 413 125 161.797 -40 2 7 Home 34.142 559 61 559.541 +3 5 8 Halbe Brüder 31.988 411 78 191.110 -36 3 9 Ex Machina 25.702 92 279 46.684 - 1 10 Big Eyes 22.434 133 169 39.454 - 1 11 Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 2 18.194 366 50 205.287 -23 4 12 Cinderella 17.398 335 52 1.009.307 -19 7 13 Honig im Kopf 15.050 383 39 6.782.823 -12 18 14 Gespensterjäger 11.446 400 29 144.797 +11 4 15 Fünf Freunde 4 10.392 140 74 943.020 -1 13 16 Elser - Er hätte die Welt verändert 10.315 165 63 82.742 -35 3 17 Une heure de tranquillité 10.070 200 50 51.877 -44 2 18 Kingsman - The Secret Service 8.392 198 42 750.796 -50 7 19 Insurgent 7.876 191 41 546.089 -45 6 20 La famille Bélier 7.612 187 41 312.742 -15 8 Very good opening for A2, despite the boycot from smaller cinemas. Depending on WOM and weather, 3mil total might be in play (but I'd rather bet on 2.5mil). Also a good opening for "Ex Machina" which might see a slight expansion next weekend; "Big Eyes" otoh is a complete flop - as is BEMH2 which keeps on dropping and will probably finish with one third of the admissions of part 1. Family stuff did well as expected, Shaun is still going strong and Home is making up a bit for the floppy opening. Next weekend: "The longest Ride" brings (finally!) some stuff for female audiences and might surprise (no, I don't really think so); "Gunman" is starting without much noise - the biggest opener should be "Legend of the Neverbeast" - the Tinkerbell movies are not really hits but always get some business, an opening in the 150-200k range seems possible (depending on weather as always) and accordingly, "Home" and "Shaun" will drop. A2 will stay on top, of course! - the question is just, how hard will it fall? A1 had a super-nice drop of only about 25% in WE2 - I'd guess we'll see rather something like 40% for A2 but of course I'm keeping my fingers crossed for something better! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted April 30, 2015 Author Share Posted April 30, 2015 while not all bad, weather looks movie-friendly for the weekend - a bit rainy and not very warm for most of Germany and Austria. I'm hoping for a really good trend with very soft drops tomorrow! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 1, 2015 Author Share Posted May 1, 2015 .. aaand here's the first trend from insidekino - drrrrumroll: #1: A2 - 500k admissions (-30%, sweeet) #2: The Longest Ride - 160k (I suspect that includes the Lady's night previews and so on) #3: FF7 - 150k (-25%) #4: Tinkerbell-Neverbeast - 125k (seems very low for it, I guess actuals will be higher) 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Hope it won't go down like last weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Hope it won't go down like last weekend Pray for grey skies and rain. Really, how much the weather affects box office Europe is always so surprising. Heatwave or blizzard in the US it hardly makes a difference unless it's a record breaking in nature. But some rain or sun in Europe changes everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 Weather seems to be cinematic, since the 2nd trend is higher for everything: #1: A2 - 550k (-25%) #2: FF7 - 175k (-15%) #3/4: The Longest Ride / TB-Neverbeast with 175k each #5: PBMC2 - 100k (+20% ... wow) #6: Shaun - 85k (+35% ... insane) Gunman will open to about 75k, nobody expected much anyway. But the story this (long) weekend are the family movies - especially Shaun going up that much with the latest Tinkerbell adventure opening, this should be the same age group and TB is doing exactly as predicted - really a surprise. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 final weekend trend looks even a bit better, for A2 and FF7 (575k and 200k) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 5, 2015 Author Share Posted May 5, 2015 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total drop week 1 Avengers 2 578.384 500 1.157 1.479.865 -18 2 2 Fast & Furious 7 198.092 625 317 3.859.798 -1 5 3 Tinkerbell / Neverbeast 171.770 433 397 186.085 - 1 4 The Longest Ride 163.376 375 436 185,034 - 1 5 Paul Blart Mall Cop 2 124.069 584 212 528.517 +47 4 6 Shaun the Sheep 91.672 733 125 1.585.263 +45 7 7 Der Nanny 81.283 555 146 1.503.109 +26 6 8 Run All Night 51.869 430 121 226.466 +0 3 9 The Gunman 49.990 325 154 74.397 - 1 10 Home 45.980 508 91 610.238 +35 6 11 A Little Chaos 35.403 78 454 38.593 - 1 12 Ex Machina 31.407 112 280 89.917 +22 2 13 Halbe Brüder 31.116 291 107 229.365 -3 4 14 Big Eyes 22.014 135 163 71.701 -2 2 15 Honig im Kopf 21.548 360 60 6.810.863 +43 19 16 Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 2 19.806 367 54 235.543 +9 5 17 Cinderella 18.324 284 65 1.030.878 +5 8 18 Gespensterjäger 15.710 335 47 162.394 +37 5 19 Elser - Er hätte die Welt verändert 15.182 190 80 104.786 +47 4 20 Fünf Freunde 4 13.079 128 102 959.194 +26 14 Very nice holds and increases all around, overall an extremely strong weekend with virtually no losers (except maybe opener "The Gunman" but nobody expected anything here in the first way). While this was a holiday weekend and we should expect step drops next week, A2 is firmly on track to 2,5mil admissions - 3mil however seem hard. Next weekend: Obviously distributors shied away from the coming weekend; nothing really interesting will be opening - Ferrell comedy "Get Hard" won't be more of a success than his previous outings; maybe "The Babadook" can surprise a little bit since horror fans must be starving by now. And "The Water Diviner" has ok reviews and Crowe, but with its foreign theme I doubt if it can reach 50k. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 8, 2015 Author Share Posted May 8, 2015 First trend for the weekend on insidekino.de, and it's back to workday business: #1: A2 - 300k admissions (-50%) #2: The Longest Ride - 100k (-40%) #3/4: FF7 and TB-NB with 80k each (-60% FF7, -55%TB) as mentioned, those drops are coming from a very strong holiday weekend so everything within expectations. A2 ahead of A1 by about 300k. Best opener with about 50k: The Babadook, pleasant surprise. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 9, 2015 Author Share Posted May 9, 2015 ugh ... if the 2nd trend holds true, this is shaping up to become one ugly ugly weekend #1: A2 - 210k (-65%) #2: The Longest Ride - 100k (-40%) #3: FF7 - 70k (-65%) #4: TB-NB - 50k (-70%) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...