BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

btw, in Austria, NWH was - again - stronger than in Germany, while Matrix was flopping worse.

 

starting today, closing hour is 22:00 in Austria which also effects movies, paractically halving the number of evening shows. Let's see how this pans out; since many have taken one or two weeks off, there might be afternoon shows to counteract the decline in the evening.

[Aristis]

11 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Could you see an end at 4M ?

I wouldn't rule the possibility out but a lower number might be more probable. Depends on the next days I guess. 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top10 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Spider-Man 3	360.134	622	579	1.689.178	17.381.021	-56	2
2	Matrix 4	105.392	643	164	142.990	1.465.260	-	1
3	House of Gucci	35.893	612	59	564.357	5.672.458	-61	4
4	Encanto	29.194	483	60	353.740	2.706.422	-44	5
5	Clifford theBig Red Dog	22.355	519	43	178.039	1.264.794	-49	4
6	A Boy Called Christmas	10.760	487	22	160.626	1.106.728	-45	6
7	No Time To Doe	8.490	331	26	5.951.513	64.582.637	-51	13
8	Lauras Stern	8.449	590	14	74.805	523.323	-63	3
9	West Side Story	6.838	383	18	68.131	647.166	-60	3
10	Die Schule der magischen Tiere	5.610	389	14	1.448.555	10.025.874	-58	11

Extremely poor weekend, not even family releases managed to score …

Next weekend: With New Year's day on Sat, another depressed weekend coming up, but weekdays should be pretty good! Probably because of the weekday alignment, not a single big opener in sight, so this week's Top3 should stay on top,

[Aristis]

So, looking at 2010 when the holiday pattern was the same as this year, movies should have big increases - and MarkG expects a big increase for NWH atm. But knowing that last WE was very atypical he says we should still be cautious.

He predicts for now NWH 504k +40% 2,68M (total after Sunday) and 3,75M possible end result - but that could be very optimistic... 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Looks like 850k 2nd week. 3.5M full run mostly.

[john2000]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looks like 850k 2nd week. 3.5M full run mostly.

how much compared to iw ?

[LPLC]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looks like 850k 2nd week. 3.5M full run mostly.

2x FFH, amazing !

[Aristis]

14 minutes ago, john2000 said:

how much compared to iw ?

IW had around 3,5M too (3,457M). 

https://www.insidekino.de/SP/SPOTH/SPMarvel.htm

[Aristis]

1st Trend (the WE could again differ from the one in 2010, so the Trend might be off again...) 

 

NWH 450k (+25%) 2,63M

Matrix 100k (-5%/-30%) 360k

Gucci 70k (+94%) 710k

Clifford 55k (+150%) 285k

Encanto 50k (+72%) 457,5k

 

NTTD only needs 15k more after Sunday to reach 6M

[IndustriousAngel]

Happy New Year everyone following this thread!

[el sid]

The Monday update (worse than the first trend but better than the second trend):

#1 NWH 390k/2.575M total admissions - now #2 of 2021
#2 Matrix 80k/342.5k
#3 House of Gucci 67.5k/707.5k
#4 Clifford 47.5k/277.5k
#5 Encanto 42.5k/450k
...
Die Schule der magischen Tiere 20k/1.485M
NTTD 17.5k/5.985M

Edited January 3, 2022 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top10 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Spider-Man 3	390.857	630	620	2.573.885	26.140.564	+9	3
2	Matrix 4	81.234	645	126	342.300	3.446.706	-23	2
3	House of Gucci	67.988	615	111	707.058	7.058.903	+89	5
4	Clifford The Big Red Dog	46.999	540	87	277.054	1.957.681	+110	5
5	Encanto	43.240	483	90	450.111	3.396.922	+48	6
6	Die Schule der magischen Tiere	19.198	386	50	1.486.431	10.284.911	+242	12
7	No Time To Die	16.705	335	50	5.985.260	64.920.706	+97	14
8	Lauras Stern	15.331	583	26	110.513	766.100	+81	4
9	Contra	13.017	345	38	660.083	5.830.821	+166	10
10	West Side Story	11.746	340	35	94.870	896.313	+72	4

Ok weekend with a dominating Spider-Man (slight chance at 4mil total) and good rebounds, and don't forget weekdays are stronger than usual during the holidays. 007 is now very close to 6mil total, excellent! Healthy increases for family fare, too. The only bummer are The Matrix Resurrections which dropped from an already deflated OW … Austria's weekend was very similar but a little lower for almost everything, btw. - probably the effect of having to close at 10pm.

Next weekend: The King's Man will be the biggest opener but looking at presales there's no chance at #1, and The 355 is selling even less.

Edited January 4, 2022 by IndustriousAngel

[MG10]

5 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Germany's Top10 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Spider-Man 3	390.857	630	620	2.573.885	26.140.564	+9	3
2	Matrix 4	81.234	645	126	342.300	3.446.706	-23	2
3	House of Gucci	67.988	615	111	707.058	7.058.903	+89	5
4	Clifford The Big Red Dog	46.999	540	87	277.054	1.957.681	+110	5
5	Encanto	43.240	483	90	450.111	3.396.922	+48	6
6	Die Schule der magischen Tiere	19.198	386	50	1.486.431	10.284.911	+242	12
7	No Time To Die	16.705	335	50	5.985.260	64.920.706	+97	14
8	Lauras Stern	15.331	583	26	110.513	766.100	+81	4
9	Contra	13.017	345	38	660.083	5.830.821	+166	10
10	West Side Story	11.746	340	35	94.870	896.313	+72	4

Ok weekend with a dominating Spider-Man (slight chance at 4mil total) and good rebounds, and don't forget weekdays are stronger than usual during the holidays. 007 is now very close to 6mil total, excellent! Healthy increases for family fare, too. The only bummer are The Matrix Resurrections which dropped from an already deflated OW … Austria's weekend was very similar but a little lower for almost everything, btw. - probably the effect of having to close at 10pm.

Next weekend: The King's Man will be the biggest opener but looking at presales there's no chance at #1, and The 355 is selling even less.

 

Damn, at the moment Spider Man has sold fewer tickets than in Italy or in Spain. I remember that in Germany movies usually have much better legs, but are you sure it can go from 2.5M to 4M? Because in Italy it's currently at 2.7M and we aren't certain it will pass the 3M... 

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, MG10 said:

 

Damn, at the moment Spider Man has sold fewer tickets than in Italy or in Spain. I remember that in Germany movies usually have much better legs, but are you sure it can go from 2.5M to 4M? Because in Italy it's currently at 2.7M and we aren't certain it will pass the 3M... 

MarkG expects 3,8M atm. So even though I don't know about 4M it could still come quite close. 

[IndustriousAngel]

14 hours ago, MG10 said:

but are you sure it can go from 2.5M to 4M?

I wrote about a "slight" chance so no, I'm not sure at all, but I'm sure it wil land somewhere north of 3,5mil. Much depends on the Covid situation, of course, but atm it's really the only blockbuster in town, no big competition anywhere.

[el sid]

I can't give you actual numbers but from reports in the forum of insidekino.de it seem that this day (partly a legal holiday) worked well for almost all films, even including The King's Man.

[IndustriousAngel]

early estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's weekend:

#1: Spider-Man 3 - 325k admissions

#2: The King's Man - 125k (don't know about previews, we didn't have any)

#3: Gucci - 58k

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday update higher for all releases, good!

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Saturday update higher for all releases, good!

The 350k predicted atm would be only a 10% drop. It could be quite close to 3,2M on Sunday. If that happens 3,8M (and around $43,5M) should be safe.

[LPLC]

3. Trend:
Spider-Man - No Way Home (360T), The King's Man - The Beginning (135T), House of Gucci (70T), Clifford, der große rote Hund (67,5T), Matrix Resurrections (65T), Die Schule der magischen Tiere (27,5T), The 355 (25T), Kesisme - Iyi ki Varsin Eren (22,5T).

 

Idk why but 8% drop this weekend for NWH after a holiday weekend. Thank you Germany