BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Aristis]

31 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Can TGM come close to 3.5m? 

It was at 3,136M admissions last Sunday (after adding around 100k the 7 days before that) so I think it should still be able to get at least close. 

[Taruseth]

6 hours ago, Aristis said:

With this being the first WE in (what seems to be) ages having bad weather in most parts of Germany again, I really hope there'll be some good business. Would be great if in the end Minions could be much closer to 4M than 3M 👀

Minions should get to 3.75m

 

3 hours ago, Borobudur said:

Can TGM come close to 3.5m? 

I'd expect it to hit 3.5m.

 

Haven't really done a potential future run for either of these movies in quite a while. Might have to look into what weekends are to come and what movies will open to get a rough idea where they could be headed.

[Aristis]

1st Trend

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 140k (-15%) 805k

#2 Minions2 120k (+15%) 3,285M

#3 Crawdads (90k i.P.) 

#4 Bullet Train 65k (-12%) 365k

#5 TG:M 50k (-11%) 3,215M

#6 DC:SP 50k (+22%) 380k

#7 T:L&T 47,5k (-12%) 1,75M

#8 Bibi&Tina 47,5k (+40%) 480k

[Aristis]

On 8/12/2022 at 12:15 PM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 35k (-39%) 

#2 Minions2 21,5k (-28%)

#3 Bullet Train 13,5k (-46%) 

#4 Nope 11k

#5 Thor4 11,5k (-28%) 

Thursday

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 31k (-11%) 

#2 Minions2 30k (+40%)

#3 Crawdads 16k

#4 Bullet Train 14k (+4%) 

#5 TG:M 11k (?) 

Edited August 26, 2022 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

worse weather, more admissions - I like

Bullet Train seems to have generated a little WOM but from a much too low level, will be running out of screens very soon.

still only 2 releases >100k, so a typical summer weekend ...

If those numbers hold, Guglhupfgeschwader still leading the franchise (Leberkäsejunkie had 134k admissions on WE#3, Kaiserschmarrndrama 118k)

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday update more optimistic overall but there's still only 2 releases 100k; family business much stronger than expected!

[Aristis]

3rd Trend

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 150k (-9%) 815k

#2 Minions2 145k (+39%) 3,310M

#3 Crawdads (92,5k i.P.) 

#4 Bullet Train 75k (+1%) 375k

#5 TG:M 65k (+16%) 3,230M

#6 DC:SP 60k (+46%) 390k

#7 T:L&T 50k (-7%) 1,75M

#8 Bibi&Tina 50k (+47%) 480k

 

It's always fascinating what a little rain does in germany. 

[Taruseth]

3 hours ago, Aristis said:

3rd Trend

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 150k (-9%) 815k

#2 Minions2 145k (+39%) 3,310M

#3 Crawdads (92,5k i.P.) 

#4 Bullet Train 75k (+1%) 375k

#5 TG:M 65k (+16%) 3,230M

#6 DC:SP 60k (+46%) 390k

#7 T:L&T 50k (-7%) 1,75M

#8 Bibi&Tina 50k (+47%) 480k

 

It's always fascinating what a little rain does in germany. 

Looks quite nice overall.

 

Must all be from the south and east, in Lower Saxony east of Bremen there wasn't a drop of rain, but it was colder and cloudier that probably was enough for a little boost.

 

Next weekend probably will look bad again and then hopefully the summer is over and we get some nice fall rain.

[Borobudur]

11 hours ago, Aristis said:

3rd Trend

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 150k (-9%) 815k

#2 Minions2 145k (+39%) 3,310M

#3 Crawdads (92,5k i.P.) 

#4 Bullet Train 75k (+1%) 375k

#5 TG:M 65k (+16%) 3,230M

#6 DC:SP 60k (+46%) 390k

#7 T:L&T 50k (-7%) 1,75M

#8 Bibi&Tina 50k (+47%) 480k

 

It's always fascinating what a little rain does in germany. 

And Minion beat TGM.....

[WayneBorg]

Can Minions 2 reach 4M admissions total in Germany by end of run or is it going to be very hard?

Also how many admits did DM3 end up with here? Thanks!

[IndustriousAngel]

32 minutes ago, WayneBorg said:

Can Minions 2 reach 4M admissions total in Germany by end of run or is it going to be very hard?

Also how many admits did DM3 end up with here? Thanks!

DM3 had 4,7mil admissions total. And 4mil will probably be hard for Minions2 but not yet impossible. as we've seen, weather is playing an important role, especially for family releases.

[altglascontainer]

Monday-Trend

Guglhupfgeschwader 165T

Minions 2 145T

Cawdads 100T (incl. Previews)

Bullet Train 80T

Top Gun Maverick 70T

Super-Pets 60T

Thor 4 55T

Bibi & Tina 52,5T

[Sophia Jane]

Is Minions beating Top Gun Already?

[altglascontainer]

29 minutes ago, Bruce said:

Is Minions beating Top Gun Already?

 

Yep, but just this weekend.

Edited August 22, 2022 by altglascontainer

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top16 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Guglhupfgeschwader	163.681	678	241	837.131	7.550.240	-0	3
2	Minions 2	145.152	751	193	3.311.762	29.132.419	+39	8
3	Where the Crawdads Sing	82.834	383	216	100.843	993.982	-	1
4	Bullet Train	80.168	613	131	382.456	3.807.688	+9	3
5	Top Gun 2	72.630	555	131	3.238.588	33.150.156	+29	13
6	DC League of Super-Pets	60.976	601	101	391.476	2.940.097	+49	4
7	Thor 4	55.036	401	137	1.758.695	18.211.792	+3	7
8	Bibi & Tina	53.626	642	84	485.371	3.541.102	+57	5
9	Qu'est-ce qu'on … 3	47.492	573	83	535.033	4.789.713	+10	5
10	Mein Lotta-Leben	40.590	435	93	43.491	320.231	-	1
11	Nope	38.192	435	88	135.676	1.265.001	-22	2
12	Der junge Häuptling Winnetou	34.656	534	65	79.738	577.630	+54	2
13	Jagdsaison	27.532	400	69	47.527	415.090	-	1
14	Jurassic World 3	25.578	346	74	2.096.766	23.211.192	-7	11
15	Elvis	12.351	260	48	539.849	5.501.773	-24	9
16	The Black Phone	10.190	176	58	289.810	2.660.793	+7	9

While there was no "blockbuster", it's not every summer weekend Germany has 16 releases >10k admissions, so overall quite a satisfying weekend with a wide gamut of releases. Family movies were the ones profiting most from the rainier weather but everything had nice holds or increases, look at Top Gun! Guglhupfgeschwader continues with a strong 3rd weekend and still has good chances at becoming the biggest seller of the series so far. And the Minions really make up for the slow opening … let's see what multiplier they can get in the end! The only slight disappointment were the openers, I was hoping for a bit more from the Crawdads and much more from Jagdsaison.

Austria had a really fine summer weekend with 5 releases >10k admissions, topped by Guglhupf which is already at 200k total after 3 weeks! The Crawdads were only #6 here (with similar numbers) while Jagdsaison opened stronger than in Germany which is extremely rare for a non-Bavarian German comedy!

 

Next weekend: We should see a new #1 as domestic comedy Die Känguru-Verschwörung (sequel to the 2020 bestseller adaption Känguru-Chroniken) is opening; since its major market will be northern Germany - as opposed to Guglhupfgeschwader which is blockbustery in the South - both comedies should be able to coexist just fine. Also opening: After Ever Happy - probably a pretty frontloaded release but good for a nice OW. With no big family releases, Minions should stay big, and so we might - if weather permits - see 4 releases >100k! (it's allowed to dream …)

[IndustriousAngel]

First weekend estimates from insidekino have After Ever Happy winning the weekend with about 200k (incl. previews), in line with parts 2 and 3, while Känguru is probably #2 with 110k - much lower than the first one.

[Aristis]

On 8/19/2022 at 9:11 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 31k (-11%) 

#2 Minions2 30k (+40%)

#3 Crawdads 16k

#4 Bullet Train 14k (+4%) 

#5 TG:M 11k (?) 

Thursday

 

#1 After Ever Happy 35k

#2 Känguru 2 18k (1st one had 35k) 

#3 Guglhupfgeschwader 15k (-52%) 

#4 Crawdads 11k (-31%) 

#5 Minions2 9,15k (-70%)

[el sid]

The second trend:

#1 After Ever Happy 185k

#2 Die Känguru-Verschwörung 100k
#3 Guglhupfgeschwader 75k

#4 Minion 2 70k

#5 Crawdads 55k

#6 Bullet Train 47.5k
#7 Top Gun 2 42.5k

...

Beast 20k

The Invitation 10k
Tad Stones 3 6k

That's way lower than expected for these smaller new releases, maybe WOM will help at least Beast.
 

[IndustriousAngel]

and here I was dreaming about 4 releases >100k ... Germany BO rarely fails to disappoint 🙁

[Borobudur]

41 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

and here I was dreaming about 4 releases >100k ... Germany BO rarely fails to disappoint 🙁

Why the sharp drop?