BO Germany/Austria: Inside Out 2 #1 with best 2024 OW

[IndustriousAngel]

First estimates for Germany's weekend on insidekino.de:

 

#1: ID2 - 525k admissions (below my expectations)

#2: IA5 - 400k (+40%, at last some relief)

#3: MBY - 225k (+50% !!! seems like a real crowdpleaser)

#4: Smaragdgrün - 90k (-20%, not a good sign)

#5: ToniErdmann - 75k (wow, surprise opening for the arthouse dramedy!)

 

Street Dance: New York opened below my expectations, too - estimate is 45k for the weekend.

 

Overall, after many dreadful weekends, an overall good one!

[Aristis]

If that Trend holds - and IA5 reaches 400k admissions over the weekend - it could have about 1.475k (According to MarkG). In this case 2M is assured. Maybe even 2.5M is possible but we should wait for actuals.

And if MbY reaches the predicted mark, too, it could reach 1.475M as IA5 does. Maybe 2M admissions in play?

 

At last there's a silver lining now

[James]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

First estimates for Germany's weekend on insidekino.de:

 

#1: ID2 - 525k admissions (below my expectations)

#2: IA5 - 400k (+40%, at last some relief)

#3: MBY - 225k (+50% !!! seems like a real crowdpleaser)

#4: Smaragdgrün - 90k (-20%, not a good sign)

#5: ToniErdmann - 75k (wow, surprise opening for the arthouse dramedy!)

 

Street Dance: New York opened below my expectations, too - estimate is 45k for the weekend.

 

Overall, after many dreadful weekends, an overall good one!

Wow, MBY is so huge in Germany.

[Rthmessiah]

17 hours ago, James said:

Wow, MBY is so huge in Germany.

already at 1/2 that admit figure with 2 days 2 go,

[IndustriousAngel]

3 hours ago, Rth said:

already at 1/2 that admit figure with 2 days 2 go,

well, Germany does count Thursday towards its weekend ... which makes sense somehow since it's the traditiobal opening day, but makes comparison hard (here in Austria, they count the three-day-weekend)

 

2nd trend looks less strong btw:

#1: ID2 - 450k admissions (WAY below my expectations)

#2: IA5 - 400k (+40%, at last some relief)

#3: MBY - 200k (+30%)

#4: Smaragdgrün - 75k (-35%, ouch)

#5: ToniErdmann - 75k

[Fullbuster]

Wow at IA5 End of the Euro Cup effect?

[Aristis]

Bad for Independence Day and Smaragdgrün... Great for the rest of the Top 5.

For the rest: CI drops about 6% (65k) and Conjuring about 10% (45k). With about 600k C2 should be already a third above C1 (453k) and it's still playing - great for that movie.

 

Hopefully Holiday will bring back the light to German Box Office (espescially the start of Pets could be promising and - hopefully - won't be another disappointment)

[Aristis]

3rd Trend:

ID4 up at 475k.

 

Down: IA5 375 (+31%), MbY 175k (+15%).

 

The rest stays about the same.

Edited July 17, 2016 by Aristis

[HH84]

The estimates look a little better for ID4 2:

 

ID4 2 - 515k incl. previews

IA5  - 377,5k
MBY - 192,5k
Smaragdgrün - 85k

Toni Erdmann - 77,5k incl. previews
CI - 67,5k
C2 - 47,5k
 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Independence Day 2	463.664	744	623	514.546	5.731.700	-	1
2	Ice Age 5	377.884	826	457	1.455.287	12.001.640	+32	3
3	Me Before You	192.385	688	280	1.450.401	11.455.954	+27	4
4	Smaragdgrün	84.083	503	167	290.648	2.249.102	-25	2
5	Toni Erdmann	71.958	96	750	80.639	757.601	-	1
6	Central Intelligence	67.691	388	174	755.007	6.072.071	-2	5
7	Conjuring 2	46.263	420	110	609.039	5.443.874	-8	5
8	Mullewapp	38.117	522	73	41.647	274.800	-	1
9	Streetdance - New York	34.891	292	119	41.085	307.988	-	1
10	La Vache	16.815	125	135	29.916	198.541	-	1
11	Our Kind of Traitor	12.567	194	65	64.097	475.223	-26	2
12	Alice 2	10.994	266	41	795.222	7.452.820	-18	8
13	Angry Birds	9.322	327	29	1.411.229	10.507.426	+1	10
14	Warcraft	9.260	203	46	1.224.353	13.880.855	-36	8
15	Vor der Morgenröte	8.817	166	53	167.780	1.268.037	+19	7
16	Lou Andreas-Salomé	7.402	67	110	36.409	271.027	+5	3
17	Money Monster	6.085	97	63	439.374	3.626.960	-2	8
18	Le gout des merveilles	5.357	57	94	568.713	4.151.125	+55	19
19	Bastille Day	5.282	151	35	106.289	773.036	-31	4
20	The Meddler	4.923	113	44	20.039	122.169	-	1

 

A good weekend even if ID2 couldn't deliver. Otoh, domestic dramedy Toni Erdmann did better than expected. A lot of increases across the chart, with french longrunner LGDM on #18 setting ist sights towards 600k total! IA5 had a healthy increase, too - 1,45mil admissions total after week 3 are still a disappointment, but at least it'll cross 2mil now (probably 2,5mil in the end). Warcraft's hard drop against many increases indicates that it has reached the end of its run, however 1,2mil total are already better than expected.

 

Next weekend: BFG and ST3 are the wide openers - the third Trek movie should open to #1 and hopefully do about what ID2 did this weekend. BFG is hard to estimate, no real rush factor here and IA5 seems popular with the kids so I guess it will go largely unnoticed despite some good reviews. Concerning totals - the open air season has started and we might see some longrunners back in the charts.

[Aristis]

Finally Zootopia left the TOP20 after 19 weeks. Amazing result!

[Aristis]

InsideKino

2 Min

STAR WARS - DAS ERWACHEN DER MACHT hat mit 9.000.047

 

Star Wars crossed 9M admissions! 2nd to do so this decade!

[Giesi]

2 hours ago, Aristis said:

InsideKino

2 Min

STAR WARS - DAS ERWACHEN DER MACHT hat mit 9.000.047

 

Star Wars crossed 9M admissions! 2nd to do so this decade!

Do you think TFA can overtake Intouchables with some forthcoming re-releases?

[titanic2187]

5 hours ago, Aristis said:

InsideKino

2 Min

STAR WARS - DAS ERWACHEN DER MACHT hat mit 9.000.047

 

Star Wars crossed 9M admissions! 2nd to do so this decade!

what? TFA coming back?

[Aristis]

4 hours ago, Giesi said:

Do you think TFA can overtake Intouchables with some forthcoming re-releases?

For now that would be 140k admissions.

 

It seems the first Hobbit made 80k with its two Double-Feature re-releases, the second made more than 90k in one.

I try to calculate that with the difference between the numbers in the Rekordejagd and the yearly chart:

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBORekordejagd12.htm   (6.560.480)

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/D2012.htm   (6.642.047)

I really don't know if that works though. Is there a way to find out exact numbers of admissions for re-releases?

 

But if it's right with such double features alone it could work (especially if you think of the plenty of SW movies that will be made - I read that Disney could publish one each year as long as thea are successfull, which would be many occasions to get 140k admissions more)

 

And if it comes to a real re-release: SW Ep1 made 917.454 admissions in its 2012 3D re-release. But is it probable that such a re-release will occur soon? TFA is already 3D and for TPM it needed 13 years to get a re-release (while I don't think Disney will wait that long )

 

I think if Intouchables doesn't get a re-release (who knows...) it's more probable than not that SW will rank first (or at least in front of Intouchables). When? Maybe with Ep8, maybe in 10 years.

Edited July 20, 2016 by Aristis

[MinaTakla]

Am curious about what Pets and Suicide Squad will do here.

I went to insidekino website and saw they are predicting 5m viewers for Pets (strangely they predicted only 4 for Ice Age which sounds weird) so I don't know how their predictions are on point usually. I also couldn't find what they are predicting for Squad..

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Am curious about what Pets and Suicide Squad will do here.

I went to insidekino website and saw they are predicting 5m viewers for Pets (strangely they predicted only 4 for Ice Age which sounds weird) so I don't know how their predictions are on point usually. I also couldn't find what they are predicting for Squad..

 

Mark is one of the experts on DE BO. he has been doing it like for ever.

 

if Suicide Squad behaves like SH movie it wont do well. But like Deadpool if it behaves like an action movie then there is bigger potential. But let us wait for reviews before judging its potential OS.

[Aristis]

1st Trend:

Better than predicted weather influences the weekend.

 

Star Trek 375k

IA5 275k (-27%, would be a good hold, especially as a family movie)

ID 225k (-52% without, -56% with previews)

MbY 110k (-43%)

BFG 80k

 

1st ST: 422k (688 cinemas)

2nd ST: 447k (627)

3rd: 375k (557)/ down 11% from the first and 16% from the second

Edited July 22, 2016 by Aristis

[Giesi]

Wow, that's horrible for BFG, I can't wait for Spielberg's comeback with Ready Player One and Indy 5! 

[IndustriousAngel]

That's rather poor for ST3 ... seems releasing it that close to ID2 was bad for both.

Never felt any buzz for BFG, just good reviews and that's not enough for a family film (Road Dahl was never an easy sell here, either)

IA5 seems to have found its stride, not a blockbuster like prior entries but a steady seller. If it were not for "Pets" opening next weekend, I'd say even 3mil total were still in play.

 

As witnessed by MBY's steep drop, the weekend seems depressed overall, so hopefully next week's drops will be softer!

Edited July 22, 2016 by IndustriousAngel