Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!

[upriser7]

wow...after all that doom and gloom yesterday about dropping to $16-17M, it ended up at $20M lol

[shruth]

If this weekend is $60m+ and 4 day is $80m+ then totals can see $650m

[Mr Roark]

Is Canada pushing the numbers? 

[JustLurking]

zamn, nice actual bump. near flat from wed is pretty crazy.

[Alex SciChannel]

That's a -2.7% daily drop. I hope Puss in Boots drop is lower. Possibly even an increase if we're lucky. Unfortunately comscore is down for the other studios as reported by Deadline

 

"We hear Comscore is down this AM, preventing others from reporting numbers. Disney didn’t have any problems, clearly."

Edited December 30, 2022 by Alex SciChannel

[JustLurking]

So R1 trend from here takes it to 60M weekend, though considering its trend has been better and this feels more weekend heavy, could definitely be a bit better. Going flat feels plausible.

[Alexdube]

7 minutes ago, upriser7 said:

wow...after all that doom and gloom yesterday about dropping to $16-17M, it ended up at $20M lol

 

considering the trend these last few days

 

[stephanos13]

9 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

FRI: 22.5m

SAT: 16.5m

SUN: 21m

 

that's what i'm thinking

 

Fingers crossed for more but this is great as well.

[IronJimbo]

#3 Worldwide

#2-5 Domestic

 

Not quite #1 and #1 but reality can be a tough pill to swallow. If we got China / Russia / ukraine at 100%, all other markets moved from 80% to 100% (they currently at 80%). Avatar 3 can be the 3 billie maker.

 

Though... a china release for A2 could be cool. The currently pre-release is doing ok but when it gets it full release we'll be golden

[Borobudur]

Avatar is clearly going for 3rd weekend gain! The momentum is building and I am giving a wishful though of $70m 3 days. $1bn headline is helping! 

 

[IronJimbo]

3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

#3 Worldwide

#2-5 Domestic

 

Not quite #1 and #1 but reality can be a tough pill to swallow. If we got China / Russia / ukraine at 100%, all other markets moved from 80% to 100% (they currently at 80%). Avatar 3 can be the 3 billie maker.

 

Though... a china release for A2 could be cool. The currently pre-release is doing ok but when it gets it full release we'll be golden

Though not to be all doom & gloom but I don't feel good about the world rn, I just know by 2024 we'll have more wars and covid-23

[RascarCapat]

17 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

FRI: 22.5m

SAT: 16.5m

SUN: 21m

 

that's what i'm thinking

 

Why such a small friday bump from thursday ? Last week it went up 30%. Shouldn't we expect more then +12.5% ?

[Torontofan]

17 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

Is Canada pushing the numbers? 

I feel like it is 

 

Avatar 1 is an all time grosser there

[Sophia Jane]

Avatar: The Way of Water grossed an estimated $20.0M on Thursday (from 4,202 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $358.0M

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, RascarCapat said:

 

Why such a small friday bump from thursday ? Last week it went up 30%. Shouldn't we expect more then +12.5% ?

Last Thursday was peak snowstorm

[IronJimbo]

3 minutes ago, RascarCapat said:

 

Why such a small friday bump from thursday ? Last week it went up 30%. Shouldn't we expect more then +12.5% ?

you know I think you might be right though, I think R1 comp is out of the window as of now

[XXR & Friends]

3 minutes ago, RascarCapat said:

 

Why such a small friday bump from thursday ? Last week it went up 30%. Shouldn't we expect more then +12.5% ?

More people are off this week than last, so there’s less bump from weekday to weekend. For instance, Rogue One only went up 9% with the same calendar conjugation in 2016.

 

With that being said, I think A2 can get upwards of 15%.

[Alex SciChannel]

Wish for Puss in Boots $5.8M+ actuals. Come on baby I believe in you.

 

 

Edited December 30, 2022 by Alex SciChannel

[Krissykins]

25 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

FRI: 22.5m

SAT: 16.5m

SUN: 21m

 

that's what i'm thinking

I’ll guess $24.8m Friday. A +24% jump

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

you know I think you might be right though, I think R1 comp is out of the window as of now

It’s not that far out the window lol

 

R1 2nd Friday + 36%

A2 2nd Friday + 32%

 

R1 3rd Friday + 9%

A2 3rd Friday + 10-17%