Weekday Thread | WED NUM - Spidey $6.4M TF7 $4.3M TLM $3.0M

[Austin]

41 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Also unless something surprisingly explodes in July or August, it feels pretty safe to say that Guardians has won the summer crown worldwide. 

Mission impossible 7 just got a China release confirmed so it definitely could challenge GotG3.

[Willowra]

2 hours ago, Youngstar said:

 

Spidy 4 will probably be 2025

Or SV3 will delay to 2025

[Mulder]

1 minute ago, Austin said:

Mission impossible 7 just got a China release confirmed so it definitely could challenge GotG3.

Yeah MI7 is the only thing left in the summer slate that could overtake GoTG 3. Depends on how much it grows or just stays stable. 

[WorkingonaName]

1. Barbie: $1B

2. MI: $900M

3. GOTG: $850M

4. Fast X: $700M

5. Spidy: $700M

6. How do you live: $600M

7. Meg: $600M

8. TLM: $550M

9. Oppy: $500M

10. Flash: $500M

11. Indy: $500M

12. Transformers: $400M

 

Edited June 13, 2023 by WorkingonaName

[Willowra]

2 hours ago, Youngstar said:

Unless Kang Dynasty or Shang-Chi 2 get a new director, that seems impossible.

Feb SC2

July Eternals 2

Nov Hulk movie

Feb 2027 Armor Wars

[Bob Train]

Barbie, MI7, and Aquaman 2 will make a billion imo

 

Barbie - multi-generational global appeal, iconic character, memes

 

MI7 - many decades of franchise good will, post TGM TC bump

 

Aquaman 2 - Aquaman made a billion, water movie = global appeal

[Maggie]

3 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Barbie, MI7, and Aquaman 2 will make a billion imo

 

Barbie - multi-generational global appeal, iconic character, memes

 

MI7 - many decades of franchise good will, post TGM TC bump

 

Aquaman 2 - Aquaman made a billion, water movie = global appeal

None will make a B

[Bob Train]

2 minutes ago, Maggie said:

None will make a B

Okay

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

12 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

1. Barbie: $1B

2. MI: $900M

3. GOTG: $850M

4. Fast X: $700M

5. Spidy: $700M

6. How do you live: $600M

7. Meg: $600M

8. TLM: $550M

9. Oppy: $500M

10. Flash: $500M

11. Indy: $500M

12. Transformers: $400M

 

600m for How Do You Live is crazy. I love Miyazaki's movies but they've never been big hits outside of Japan. Maybe China will show up and post a 9-fig dollar haul but the lack of advertising and clear distribution in western countries will hurt it, even if it's as good as Spirited Away.

[CJohn]

4 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

I was 16 when the first Avatar opened. I will be 38 if part 5 stays in 2031. What the fuck.

[Krissykins]

Boogeyman with the best week to week hold in the top 10. -25%. 
 

Excellent week to week holds for Little Mermaid and GOTG 3 too. 

(My hot take: I can’t wait to see Barbie, it looks amazing. But I can’t see it getting to $300m worldwide, never mind $1bn)

[Maggie]

2 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

(My hot take: I can’t wait to see Barbie, it looks amazing. But I can’t see it getting to $300m worldwide, never mind $1bn)

Oh, i can definitely see it making 500M WW. With all those WW premieres, i think WB are treating the film as a blockbuster  and they know they have something special.

Edited June 13, 2023 by Maggie

[Mulder]

500-600 max sounds about right for Barbie. It's not making a billion.

[ringedmortality]

It'd be kind of depressing if Guardians wins the year WW with it not even hitting 850

[Mulder]

Just now, ringedmortality said:

It'd be kind of depressing if Guardians wins the year WW with it not even hitting 850

Mario's winning the year WW though. Guardians would just win the summer WW.

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

Just now, ringedmortality said:

It'd be kind of depressing if Guardians wins the year WW with it not even hitting 850

[Ledmonkey96]

4 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

-61% for Spidey is a much better drop than Wonder Woman's -67% on the exact same date from 2017.

 

I'm curious now if fewer schools were off in mid-June 2017 versus 2023 since Wonder Woman's second weekend was very strong while its weekdays have been losing to Spidey. I'd have thought both of them releasing on the same calendar day would make it a good apples to apples comparison but now I'm not sure.

It's possible, the increase of remote learning means inclement weather days aren't as big of a thing

[ringedmortality]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

 

2 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Mario's winning the year WW though. Guardians would just win the summer WW.

 

Yeah that's what I meant

[Krissykins]

20 minutes ago, Maggie said:

Oh, i can definitely see it making 500M WW. With all those WW premieres, i think WB are treating the film as a blockbuster  and they know they have something special.

I think WB do that a lot and rarely have an insane hit on their hands.

 

American comedies don’t often translate well overseas. I could see it performing like Bridesmaids, The Heat international. While they did really well, it’s not big enough for $400m+ worldwide. 

[WorkingonaName]

Barbie is a global brand, it should play fairly well overseas,