The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Tinalera]

41 minutes ago, vafrow said:

 

I only do updates from my phone, but, I've had people reach out to me to offer a script that can do the pulls automatically. I don't have a PC that I can install stuff like that though.

 

You might want to look into that to ease the burden. But, I'm not a techy, so no idea how it works.

I might have to-I do have the PC. Ill see how things play out, but may do the reach out for scripts.

[keysersoze123]

My concern is around how low allocation is at MTC1. With low ATP and under 1200 shows, its not doing more than 5m and that requires 60%+ for seats to fill up. Obviously it will add shows but how much we have to see. We will not see big boost until release week. 

 

So MTC1 will under index for this but how much we have to see. 

[vafrow]

27 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:

 

Around 2008, for about 5 years or so we were seeing them. They did well, and I can't imagine they cost a lot to produce. So we've had about a 10 year break. We'll definitely start seeing more in the coming years.

 

Concerts became such a hot commodity post pandemic. I think it's one of those things that people really wanted to make up for lost time.

 

It's escalated prices so much though, that it's creating this opportunity. I've gone to a few concerts post pandemic. And it really is crazy what's now the price point.

 

It's going to be interesting to see what people's experiences are like for TET and Renaissance. It's not going to be the same as a concert experience, but if audiences feel like it's a close enough proxy, they'll have the appetite to try others.

 

I also wonder if the demand will expand beyond the female skewing artists.

 

Blink 182 made headlines when they announced their tour as a bunch of old guys like me wanted to relive their youth. Tickets were impossible to get, similar to TSwift, as it's a demo with money.

 

Does this crowd want to watch it on a big screen? I'm not sure.

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

My concern is around how low allocation is at MTC1. With low ATP and under 1200 shows, its not doing more than 5m and that requires 60%+ for seats to fill up. Obviously it will add shows but how much we have to see. We will not see big boost until release week. 

 

So MTC1 will under index for this but how much we have to see. 

 

Here's my problem with 5m as a target.

 

Remember when I brought up M3GAN a couple of days ago? I pointed out that as of the first day of sales FNAF was already at the T-1.5 or so stage compared to M3GAN.  What I didn't mention, mostly coz long post was already long, was that M3GAN utterly exploded on T-0 and sold nearly 1000 tickets locally that day (and did over half of its total volume).

 

T-0 [FINAL] for M3GAN:  1769/7305 (24.22% sold) [+957 tickets at stop of tracking]

 

Locally, after three days of pre-sales, FNAF is already at 59% of M3GAN's final.  M3GAN did 2.7m in previews. Hell, FNAF is already at 21.8% of the final total of Indy 5 which utterly limped to the finish line.  This is with 3+ weeks of pre-sales still left to go.

 

To put all of this a different way, this still could run into the capacity issues you are, quite rightly IMO, worried about.  At the same time... What else is out there to keep it from getting screens?

 

The Era Tours? That'll be entering its third weekend and while the legs are still an open question it doesn't look like the 800 pound gorilla some thought it might be.

Killers of the Flower Moon?  Okay, yeah, fair enough.  Still, while its run time will hog up screens it doesn't appear to be such a dominating film as to crowd out other films.

 

Is there really anything else out there that will seriously take away screens by that time if it looks like FNAF warrants them?  I can see maybe Exorcist as Halloween theming.  But by then Saw X, Paw Patrol, and The Creator will all be entering weekend number five and even Exorcist will be entering weekend number four.

 

I guess I don't see capacity being an issue if theaters are given a reason to start giving FNAF screens.  So then it comes down to: Will FNAF actually give theaters a reason to start giving it more screens?

 

 

(but I ain't putting many chips on the "no" marker right now, that's for sure)

Edited October 4, 2023 by Porthos

[Bob Train]

Capacity is why FNAF is unlikely to be as cartoonishly frontloaded as the last 2 Halloween movies. Demand will be pushed forwards. It's not gonna have crazy legs or anything, but is should comfortably clear a 2x multiplier.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
T-3	22	80	0	39	230	16,341	1.41%
T-2	25	101	0	48	278	18,794	1.48%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.477x	=	$1.48m
Strays					1.479x	=	$1.63m
A Haunting In Venice					1.503x	=	$1.80m
Talk To Me					3.089x	=	$3.85m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					3.861x	=	$2.90m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.007x	=	$5.04m
The Nun II					1.305x	=	$4.05m
The Creator					0.891x	=	$1.43m
Saw X					1.203x	=	$2.41m

 

Comp average: $2.73m. Unfortunately not the jump I was expecting today so lost ground on most comps.

 

Reckon it needs to follow Nun pace to get to Deadline's range, right now maybe it falls short but still time to turn it around.

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
T-3	22	80	0	39	230	16,341	1.41%
T-2	25	101	0	48	278	18,794	1.48%
T-1	25	107	0	66	344	19,512	1.76%
MTC1	8	31	0		158	6,037	2.62%
MTC2	4	29	0		44	5,265	0.84%
MTC3	3	17	0		105	3,510	2.99%
Other	10	30	0		37	4,700	0.79%

 

Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.447x	=	$1.38m
Strays					1.638x	=	$1.80m
A Haunting In Venice					1.404x	=	$1.68m
Talk To Me					2.709x	=	$3.37m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					3.373x	=	$2.53m
Insidious: The Red Door					0.891x	=	$4.46m
The Nun II					1.082x	=	$3.35m
The Creator					1.036x	=	$1.40m
Saw X					0.880x	=	$1.76m

 

Comp average: $2.42m. Few things to point out here.

 

1) I have upgraded my sheets to include a breakdown between major chains plus the rest. Should be able to do this for each track fairly easily going forward. Still need a bit of time to crack the new daily amounts per chain but will take a bit longer with how I have everything set up currently. Honestly quite eye opening already which you will see when I post each update today.

2) EA is playing havoc with a few of these comps as it normally does at T-1.

3) Really not that great growth today. Obviously reviews do not impact horror as much but with how it's shaping it will surely not help tomorrow.

4) Saw had a really good T-1 here before collapsing plus I took those numbers later than normal so I would not look too much at that comp today.

 

For now I am under $3m, more like $2.5m. Good jump tomorrow can change that but I am not convinced following the last few days.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-14	20	163	0	76	11,655	28,984	40.21%
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-12	20	163	0	73	11,793	28,984	40.69%
T-11	20	164	0	118	11,911	29,080	40.96%
T-10	20	166	0	87	11,998	29,294	40.96%

 

T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.214x	=	$25.61m	$38.41m
Oppenheimer				2.464x	=	$25.87m	$38.81m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.978x	=	$28.64m	$42.96m
T-10 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				19.075x	=	$20.98m	$31.47m

 

*+50%

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-12	20	163	0	73	11,793	28,984	40.69%
T-11	20	164	0	118	11,911	29,080	40.96%
T-10	20	166	0	87	11,998	29,294	40.96%
T-9	24	185	0	355**	12,353	31,189	39.61%
MTC1	7	67	0		6,975	11,518	60.56%
MTC2	4	41	0		1,943	6,420	30.26%
MTC3	3	34	0		2,201	6,396	34.41%
Other	10	43	0		1,234	6,855	18.00%
T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.249x	=	$26.36m	$39.54m
Oppenheimer				2.537x	=	$26.64m	$39.96m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				4.096x	=	$29.49m	$44.23m
T-9 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				19.241x	=	$21.17m	$31.75m

 

*+50%

 

**one of the smaller chains here (B&B) only just released their showings today for me to track, which is why the TC and showings are showing a material uptick. Now I think they were available to purchase (and therefore sold) a few weeks ago when pre-sales started probably direct from their website and not sold today, therefore inaccurately inflating the amount today, but can't confirm. Either way, not a huge deal in the grand scheme. For those interested, excluding that chain the amount sold today was 106, so still a decent day and remains a step above the growth seen before the recent bump.

[Porthos]

One last thing to add about the whole FNAF discussion.

 

If it gets dog-shit level reviews, or hell even mediocre reviews, that'll quite likely take a kneecap to its appeal among the GA.  It being ticketed for D+D might suggest that Universal isn't all that convinced of its quality.

 

But studios have misjudged films in the past and they'll misjudge them in the future.  And, hell, maybe FNAF can be a LTBC where it gets meh reviews but they're still good enough to satisfy "schlock, but still fun" itch that a decent segment of the GA has.

 

Still, that is also a concern and is one of the biggest, if not the biggest if one isn't all too concerned about screen capacity, ones still out there.  Probably the biggest concern I'd have about it at this stage, at least.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-20	21	82	0	116	842	15,266	5.52%
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
T-17	21	82	0	70	1,118	15,266	7.32%
T-16	21	82	0	162	1,280	15,266	8.38%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.557x	=	$16.35m
Barbie					0.886x	=	$19.68m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.340x	=	$20.59m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.520x	=	$10.95m
Sound of Freedom					1.441x	=	$7.50m
Asteroid City					19.104x	=	$21.01m

 

Another mega day. Reminder not to take too much into these numbers, I would look to other trackers on this one for more accurate reading 🙂

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
T-17	21	82	0	70	1,118	15,266	7.32%
T-16	21	82	0	162	1,280	15,266	8.38%
T-15	21	82	0	70	1,350	15,266	8.84%
MTC1	8	32	0		574	5,897	9.73%
MTC2	4	18	0		275	3,132	8.78%
MTC3	3	18	0		368	3,798	9.69%
Other	6	14	0		133	2,439	5.45%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.577x	=	$16.56m
Barbie					0.871x	=	$19.34m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.364x	=	$20.81m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.554x	=	$11.19m
Sound of Freedom					1.408x	=	$7.32m
Asteroid City					19.014x	=	$20.92m

[Curiouser and Curiouser]

1 minute ago, Hilts said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
T-17	21	82	0	70	1,118	15,266	7.32%
T-16	21	82	0	162	1,280	15,266	8.38%
T-15	21	82	0	70	1,350	15,266	8.84%
MTC1	8	32	0		574	5,897	9.73%
MTC2	4	18	0		275	3,132	8.78%
MTC3	3	18	0		368	3,798	9.69%
Other	6	14	0		133	2,439	5.45%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.577x	=	$16.56m
Barbie					0.871x	=	$19.34m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.364x	=	$20.81m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.554x	=	$11.19m
Sound of Freedom					1.408x	=	$7.32m
Asteroid City					19.014x	=	$20.92m

Are these from the region this story is set? Admittedly, I'm most intrigued by this film and the projections do seem kind of all over the place. Wondering what to infer from some tracing that is a third of oppenheimer and this area where it is overperforming? Sorry if this is annoying! i'm new. 

[Boxofficerules]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

One last thing to add about the whole FNAF discussion.

 

If it gets dog-shit level reviews, or hell even mediocre reviews, that'll quite likely take a kneecap to its appeal among the GA.  It being ticketed for D+D might suggest that Universal isn't all that convinced of its quality.

 

But studios have misjudged films in the past and they'll misjudge them in the future.  And, hell, maybe FNAF can be a LTBC where it gets meh reviews but they're still good enough to satisfy "schlock, but still fun" itch that a decent segment of the GA has.

 

Still, that is also a concern and is one of the biggest, if not the biggest if one isn't all too concerned about screen capacity, ones still out there.  Probably the biggest concern I'd have about it at this stage, at least.

Hasn't it already been shown to press?

[Hilts]

On 10/3/2023 at 10:14 PM, Hilts said:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-25	15	61	0	195	195	10,575	1.84%
T-24	16	64	0	156	351	10,818	3.24%
T-23	16	64	0	123	474	10,818	4.38%

 

Comps
Asteroid City					14.813x	=	$16.29m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.866x	=	$16.42m
Barbie					0.509x	=	$11.30m
Haunted Mansion					6.156x	=	$19.08m
Oppenheimer					0.748x	=	$7.85m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.765x	=	$5.50m
The Exorcist: Believer					10.533x
Killers of the Flower Moon					0.961x

 

Still doing really well improving on all, bear in mind though that besides TET I have not tracked anything really front-loaded in pre-sales.

 

I had to include EA on the Barbie comp otherwise it was getting out of hand.

 

We are presuming that this will run out of steam later in the run and have not great walk-ups so will lose a lot of ground it has gained so far, but who knows when/if that will be at this point. But definitely exceeded expectations so far I would say even though we kind of expected it hot out of the gate.

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-25	15	61	0	195	195	10,575	1.84%
T-24	16	64	0	156	351	10,818	3.24%
T-23	16	64	0	123	474	10,818	4.38%
T-22	16	67	0	103	577	11,157	5.17%

 

MTC1	7	21	0		268	2,213	12.11%
MTC2	4	21	0		118	3,504	3.37%
MTC3	3	20	0		147	4,277	3.44%
Other	2	5	0		44	1,163	3.78%

 

Comps
Asteroid City					14.425x	=	$15.87m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.943x	=	$17.10m
Barbie					0.571x	=	$12.68m
Haunted Mansion					7.213x	=	$22.36m
Oppenheimer					0.878x	=	$9.22m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.880x	=	$6.33m
The Exorcist: Believer					12.822x
Killers of the Flower Moon					0.897x

 

Another strong day increasing on most comps inc Barbie+EA.

 

Can confirm what @keysersoze123 is seeing though, MTC1 with really low show count but selling well here. Feel like maybe they missed a trick here by not expanding sooner.

Edited October 4, 2023 by Hilts

[Hilts]

12 minutes ago, Curiouser and Curiouser said:

Are these from the region this story is set? Admittedly, I'm most intrigued by this film and the projections do seem kind of all over the place. Wondering what to infer from some tracing that is a third of oppenheimer and this area where it is overperforming? Sorry if this is annoying! i'm new. 

 

Welcome! Yes exactly, I should probably put a disclaimer on this particular track as it will definitely massively over-perform in the region given the setting. For this movie I'd definitely pay more attention to the other trackers here as this will not be beating Oppenheimer or doing $15m in previews (as much as I would like) 🙂 we are still a couple weeks out and with the long run time and lack of direct comps it's still difficult to nail down. But my guess is somewhere down the middle.

 

I may add some ad-hoc adjusted comps at some point to get this to a more realistic level. Or I might just stop posting this one and just track on the side to avoid confusion. Depends how much time I have available!

[Hilts]

On 10/2/2023 at 9:52 PM, Hilts said:

 

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé							OK
Thursday - showings starting 7pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-60	17	57	0	225	225	12,529	1.80%

 

We are at T-60 (!) so I don't have any relevant comps, and I haven't been keeping track of how many hours each have been on sale on Day 1.

 

I have referenced my initial day 1 track for TET above (which by the way feels like a lifetime ago ha).

 

Renaissance has ~60% of the showings and ~75% total seats at the same point. You can see by the sold amount that there is just no comparison.

 

FWIW, this has had a very similar start to FNAF in terms of amount sold and seat/showing allocations, take that as you will.

 

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé							OK
Thursday - showings starting 7pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-60	17	57	0	225	225	12,529	1.80%
T-59	17	56	0	78	303	12,333	2.46%
T-58	17	57	0	36	339	12,432	2.73%

 

MTC1	7	18	0		245	3,812	6.43%
MTC2	4	21	0		24	3,975	0.60%
MTC3	3	14	0		40	3,518	1.14%
Other	3	4	0		30	1,127	2.66%

 

Day 1 Comp
Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour					0.055x

 

Similar story to FNAF, early signs of MTC1 overindex and lower than usual show count. Plenty of time to change that though.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2122

2657

79.86%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2054

2741

74.94%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10734	46	22056	48.67%	13	146

 

2.032	Thor L&T T-10	58.93M
1.353	Doctor Strange MoM T-10	48.72M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2124

2657

79.94%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2060

2741

75.16%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10779	45	22056	48.87%	13	146

 

1.975	Thor L&T T-9	57.27M
1.307	Doctor Strange MoM T-9	47.05M

[keysersoze123]

25 minutes ago, Hilts said:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-25	15	61	0	195	195	10,575	1.84%
T-24	16	64	0	156	351	10,818	3.24%
T-23	16	64	0	123	474	10,818	4.38%
T-22	16	67	0	103	577	11,157	5.17%

 

MTC1	7	21	0		268	2,213	12.11%
MTC2	4	21	0		118	3,504	3.37%
MTC3	3	20	0		147	4,277	3.44%
Other	2	5	0		44	1,163	3.78%

 

Comps
Asteroid City					14.425x	=	$15.87m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.943x	=	$17.10m
Barbie					0.571x	=	$12.68m
Haunted Mansion					7.213x	=	$22.36m
Oppenheimer					0.878x	=	$9.22m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.880x	=	$6.33m
The Exorcist: Believer					12.822x
Killers of the Flower Moon					0.897x

 

Another strong day increasing on most comps inc Barbie+EA.

 

Can confirm what @keysersoze123 is seeing though, over-indexing at MTC1 with really low show count. Feel like maybe they missed a trick here by not expanding sooner.

MTC1 is actually under indexing big time for this despite it have a nice pace. It needs major increase in shows before I can see bigger previews like what you or @Porthos are seeing. We may have to wait until closer to release before that happens. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-10 Friday

109 Showings

10743

+63

16930

ATP:

22.35

0.843	Thor L&T Thurs T-10	24.45M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Thurs T-10	36.47M
0.625	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-10	22.50M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-10	33.44M

 

T-11 Saturday

198 Showings

14432

+114

29108

ATP:

22.08

1.358	Thor L&T Fri T-11	55.07M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Fri T-11	82.61M
0.939	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-11	51.40M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-11	77.47M

 

T-12 Sunday

171 Showings

11497

+15

24965

ATP:

21.94

1.140	Thor L&T Sat T-12	48.02M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Sat T-12	73.59M
0.712	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-12	41.18M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-12	63.69M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-9 Friday

109 Showings

10831

+88

16930

ATP:

22.35

0.828	Thor L&T Thurs T-9	24.00M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Thurs T-9	35.79M
0.610	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-9	21.97M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-9	32.65M

 

T-10 Saturday

199 Showings

14560

+128

29167

ATP:

22.07

1.316	Thor L&T Fri T-10	53.37M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Fri T-10	80.03M
0.911	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-10	49.84M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-10	75.08M

 

T-11 Sunday

173 Showings

11777

+280

25261

ATP:

21.94

1.128	Thor L&T Sat T-11	47.51M
	Adjusted Thor L&T Sat T-11	72.79M
0.706	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-11	40.82M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-11	63.10M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-10 Friday

131 Showings

10032

+157

20220

 

T-11 Saturday

237 Showings

6968

+145

37303

 

T-12 Sunday

229 Showings

4290

+151

36012

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-9 Friday

131 Showings

10156

+124

20232

 

T-10 Saturday

237 Showings

7110

+142

37315

 

T-11 Sunday

229 Showings

4344

+54

35908

[Curiouser and Curiouser]

9 minutes ago, Hilts said:

 

Welcome! Yes exactly, I should probably put a disclaimer on this particular track as it will definitely massively over-perform in the region given the setting. For this movie I'd definitely pay more attention to the other trackers here as this will not be beating Oppenheimer or doing $15m in previews (as much as I would like) 🙂 we are still a couple weeks out and with the long run time and lack of direct comps it's still difficult to nail down. But my guess is somewhere down the middle.

 

I may add some ad-hoc adjusted comps at some point to get this to a more realistic level. Or I might just stop posting this one and just track on the side to avoid confusion. Depends how much time I have available!

Wonderful, thank you for responding! So By down the middle you mean more than 24 but obviously less than Oppenheimer? 
 

also, I’m glad people in the area are excited to see the movie. That’s very cool.

[Eric is Quiet]

Quorum Updates

Five Nights at Freddy's T-23: 41.27% Awareness

Freelance T-23: 29.19%

Trolls Band Together T-44: 41.27%

Madame Web T-133: 21.93%

 

The Exorcist: Believer T-2: 53.61% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 91% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 41% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

 

Priscilla T-30: 24.32% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 35% chance of 10M

 

Journey to Bethlehem T-37: 16.39% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

 

The Marvels T-37: 47.51% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 44% chance of 50M, 39% chance of 60M, 22% chance of 90M, 17% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 75% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 90M, 25% chance of 100M

 

Renaissance T-58: 16.52% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 25% chance of 10M

 

Silent Night T-58: 23.91% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M

Low Awareness: 33% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M