The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Furiosa:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 7 Tickets

Theater 2: 18 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $4.17M

Civil War: $5.00M

Dune: Part II: $3.79M

Oppenheimer: $.98M

JW:C4: $2.25M

Avatar 2: $2.24M

Top Gun 2: $3.57M

 

Best between $3.5M-$5M for now

Furiosa: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 15 Tickets
Theater 2: 21 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $4.50M
Civil War: $5.28M
Dune: Part II: $3.75M
Oppenheimer: $1.12M
JW:C4:  $2.48M
Avatar 2: $3.22M
Top Gun 2: $3.14M

 

Decent day. Comps either ticked up or are level. Feeling $4M-$5.5M

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 9 Tickets
Theater 2: 24 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $7.24M
Civil War: $15.37M
Dune: Part II: $3.88M
Oppenheimer: $1.42M
JW:C4:  $4.31M
Avatar 2: $2.91M
Top Gun 2: $3.22M

 

Rather mute start.  Sales will come.

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Garfield: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 5 Tickets 

Theater 2: 2 Tickets

 

IF: $1.53M

KFP4: $1.48M

Trolls 3: $1.73M

TLM: $.43M

 

Looking around $1.5M-$1.75M. Not stellar, but it's kid -driven animated. Thursday isn't a real rush. 

Garfield: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 5 Tickets 

Theater 2: 2 Tickets

 

IF: $.88M

KFP4: $.92M

Trolls 3: $1.73M

TLM: $.38M

 

Not a single day. Pretty bad. Sales will come back, but it's not encouraging.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 9 Tickets 

Theater 2: 1 Tickets

 

IF: $1.70M

KFP4: $1.33M

Trolls 3: $1.28M

TLM: $.44M

 

Damn. Pretty dreadful. Will recover, but another warning

[Porthos]

10 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

There was also a fairly popular TV show in the late 00s

 

That might be a slight negative though. 

 

(again, previewing some thoughts I have about an upcoming project)

((don't have a Doomer Take about said upcoming project by any means, just that I am *very* skeptical about arguments that center around "popularity of TV series" leads to "popularity of movie"))

[AniNate]

I am surprised presales have been so low in the suburban red county theater I've been looking at compared to IF

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC1 Previews(T-3)

Garfield - 6829/352306 97581.35 2284 shows +1101 

Furiosa - 39103/447177 797486.68 2330 shows +4094

 

Really meh increase for both the movies. Could be the impact of Wolverine PS. Let us see how things go tomorrow. 

MTC1 Previews(T-2)

Garfield - 8501/381678 121318.79 2536 shows +1672

Furiosa - 43702/471832 884503.38 2528 shows +4599

 

Meh acceleration for both the movies again. Furious looking finishing in 4.x at this point. Garfield looks like finish like 1.5m minus early shows. 

[Relevation]

53 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

That might be a slight negative though. 

 

(again, previewing some thoughts I have about an upcoming project)

((don't have a Doomer Take about said upcoming project by any means, just that I am *very* skeptical about arguments that center around "popularity of TV series" leads to "popularity of movie"))

Fast forward to June 25 when we’re having this conversation about Horizon

[Rorschach]

On 5/20/2024 at 11:52 PM, Rorschach said:

Furiosa - Monday Night Outlook

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

3 IMAX showings: 41/1,164

2 XD showings: 8/476

6 2D showings: 7/606

Total: 56/2,246 (2.5% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $4.12 mil

 

Friday:

4 IMAX showings: 21/1,552

4 XD showings: 22/952

8 2D showings: 17/808

Total: 60/3,312 (1.8% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $10.26 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 116/5,558 (2.1% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $15 mil

 

 

Garfield - Monday Night Outlook

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

1 3D showing: 1/78

10 2D showings: 28/925
Total: 29/1,003 (2.9% sold)

 

Comp:

IF: $1.27 mil

 

Friday:

2 3D showings: 12/156

13 2D showings: 20/1,274

Total: 32/1,430 (2.2% sold)

 

Comp:

IF: $5.14 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 61/2,433 (2.5% sold)

 

Comp:

IF: $6.76 mil

Furiosa - Tuesday Night Outlook

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

3 IMAX showings: 47/1,164

2 XD showings: 8/476

6 2D showings: 12/606

Total: 67/2,246 (3% sold) [+11]

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $4.24 mil

 

Friday:

4 IMAX showings: 27/1,552

4 XD showings: 36/952

8 2D showings: 22/808

Total: 85/3,312 (2.6% sold) [+25]

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $10.67 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 152/5,558 (2.7% sold) [+36]

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $15.4 mil

 

Holding up okay against the Apes comps. All three projected totals crept up just a bit from yesterday. Crossing my fingers for a big boost tomorrow, though.

 

 

Garfield - Tuesday Night Outlook

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

1 3D showing: 1/78

10 2D showings: 31/925
Total: 32/1,003 (3.2% sold) [+3]

 

Comp:

IF: $1.14 mil

 

Friday:

2 3D showings: 14/156

13 2D showings: 26/1,274

Total: 40/1,430 (2.8% sold) [+8]

 

Comp:

IF: $5.26 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 72/2,433 (2.5% sold) [+11]

 

Comp:

IF: $6.53 mil

 

Bleh.

[Inceptionzq]

Furiosa Denver Thursday

1029/10023 in 9 theaters

0.920	Adjusted GB Frozen T-2	4.326M
0.313	Adjusted Dune Part 2 T-2	3.131M

 

All numbers I'm gonna post are from a few hours ago

[Inceptionzq]

Furiosa Alamo Drafthouse

T-2 Thursday

208 Showings

5361

+5361

28747

ATP:

18.18

1.261	GB Frozen T-2	5.92M
0.361	Dune Part 2 T-2	4.33M

 

T-3 Friday

306 Showings

5526

+5526

42490

ATP:

17.79

1.150	GB Frozen T-3	13.11M
0.303	Dune Part 2 T-3	6.12M

 

T-4 Saturday

313 Showings

4751

+4751

42925

ATP:

16.92

0.835	GB Frozen T-4	14.77M
0.224	Dune Part 2 T-4	6.45M

 

T-5 Sunday

305 Showings

3167

+3167

42121

ATP:

17.04

1.044	GB Frozen T-5	11.72M
0.215	Dune Part 2 T-5	4.64M

[Inceptionzq]

Furiosa Emagine Entertainment

 

T-2 Thursday

137 Showings

560

+560

19633

0.615	GB Frozen T-2	2.89M
0.172	Dune Part 2 T-2	2.06M

 

T-3 Friday

236 Showings

595

+595

33364

0.342	GB Frozen T-3	3.89M
0.114	Dune Part 2 T-3	2.30M

 

T-4 Saturday

247 Showings

496

+496

35084

0.304	GB Frozen T-4	5.37M
0.092	Dune Part 2 T-4	2.66M

 

T-5 Sunday

234 Showings

194

+194

33988

0.296	GB Frozen T-5	3.32M
0.072	Dune Part 2 T-5	1.55M

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/20/2024 at 7:37 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Deadpool & Wolverine Denver Thursday

2406/24018 in 9 theaters

0.828x Thor L&T first 24 hours in like for like theaters

0.628x Doctor Strange MoM first 11.5 hours in like for like theaters

Deadpool & Wolverine Denver Thursday

2805(+399)/24018 in 9 theaters

 

0.933	Adjusted Thor L&T Day 2	27.06M
0.630	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Day 2	22.69M

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/20/2024 at 7:44 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Deadpool & Wolverine Drafthouse

Thursday

Sold		Total	Showings
8467	N/A	37293	259

1.03x Thor L&T 24 hours

0.968x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours

Friday

Sold		Total	Showings
4962	N/A	57517	399

0.884x Thor L&T 24 hours

0.945x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours

Saturday

Sold		Total	Showings
4371	N/A	58074	403

0.912x Thor L&T 24 hours

1.01x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours

Sunday

 

Sold		Total	Showings
1319	N/A	55953	396

0.561x Thor L&T 24 hours

1.004x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours

 

I'll make everything look a little more pretty tomorrow when I actually set up the sheets

Deadpool & Wolverine Alamo Drafthouse

T-65 Thursday

259 Showings

9797

+1330

37323

ATP:

17.10

1.136	Thor L&T Day 2	32.95M
0.806	Doctor Strange MoM Day 2	29.03M

 

T-66 Friday

399 Showings

5887

+925

57567

ATP:

16.96

0.987	Thor L&T Day 2	40.01M
0.665	Doctor Strange MoM Day 2	36.37M

 

T-67 Saturday

403 Showings

5344

+973

58124

ATP:

15.87

1.034	Thor L&T Day 2	43.53M
0.633	Doctor Strange MoM Day 2	36.59M

 

T-68 Sunday

396 Showings

1711

+392

57395

ATP:

15.74

0.684	Thor L&T Day 2	22.22M
0.556	Doctor Strange MoM Day 2	21.62M

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/20/2024 at 7:45 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Deadpool & Wolverine Emagine Entertainment

Thursday

Sold		Total	Showings
2504		31381	204

Friday

Sold		Total	Showings
956		49856	334

Saturday

Sold		Total	Showings
480		50047	331

Sunday

 

Sold		Total	Showings
157		48657	318

Deadpool & Wolverine Emagine Entertainment

T-65 Thursday

205 Showings

2876

+372

31443

 

T-66 Friday

331 Showings

1143

+187

49636

 

T-67 Saturday

327 Showings

636

+156

49752

 

T-68 Sunday

314 Showings

194

+37

48358

[Spidey Freak]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Anyway, if Furiosa opens similarly to Fury Road that would be a win IMO. I don't know why anyone would've expected more, especially being a prequel with an entirely new cast (I also don't think bringing Charlize back would've moved the needle much higher either). Mad Max is probably too weird of a franchise to ever rival the biggest ones.

 

Ppl were saying the same about Dune for decades and now look at it. Mad Max is much more accessible and action-oriented than Dune so it can break out. An origin story for Furiosa without the actress whose performance made the character popular isn't the best choice for expanding the fanbase though.

Edited May 22 by Spidey Freak

[Maaatt]

Yeah not all that surprised by the current kinda lackluster tracking on Furiosa. This movie has always been a big question mark to me. To be honest I was even somewhat surprised when it was greenlit with a big budget without Charlize or a big A-list headliner (I'm not saying Miller should of gone the digital de-aging route, just questioning the wisdom of a big budget R-rated prequal film based around a character from the prior movie but without the same star playing said character). The fact this is getting released 9 years after Fury Road too really is too long a gap in my opinion and is another mark against it breaking out with general audiences. Fury Road is beloved among cinephiles and a certain subset of people (including myself, I loved Fury Road and want this to do well) but im just not sure its all that remembered by the broader general audience, its been so long. And even Fury Road with its pretty unprecedented universal critical acclaim for an action movie, significant level of repeat customers seeing it in theaters, etc. wasn't a truly massive hit. 

 

So yeah the eh final days tracking isn't surprising in my opinion. Those Quorum tracking numbers for Furiosa too have just never been good, granted those don't necessarily mean everything but they did seem to confirm my prior thinking that this movie just may not be all that enticing to general audiences, that it lacks a sufficient hook to get them to theaters (that may not be the case if Fury Road was still fresh in audiences memories.. but again that 9 year gap between films). Perhaps im guilty of confirmation bias but in this instance its confirmation of something I was hoping to be wrong about. I do agree its still too early to write off the movie with general audiences though, even as I agree with those that said this doesn't seem like the kind of walk up friendly franchise like a Bad Boys or a franchise with Monsters/Apes/dinosaurs/etc. 

[Porthos]

21 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	153	23663	24051	388	1.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

27

 

T-24 Comps            SHITTY-ASS COMPS EDITION - DON'T TAKE TOO SERIOUSLY

	%		Sold T-24	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	213.19		182	182		0/73	11083/11265	1.62%		3951	9.82%		13.32m
Shaz 2	152.16		35	255		0/93	15288/15543	1.64%		1663	23.33%		5.17m
TLM	49.11		59	790		0/154	21201/21991	3.59%		6561	5.91%		5.06m
Barbie	38.80		57	1000		0/96	11626/12626	7.92%		12077	3.21%		8.77m
Wonka	334.48		3	116		0/112	19171/19287	0.60%		1975	19.65%		11.71m
Aqua 2	153.97		20	252		0/78	13708/13960	1.81%		2629	14.76%		6.93m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     98/10075  [0.97% sold]
Matinee:    41/2674  [1.53% | 10.57% of all tickets sold]
3D:            25/3852  [0.65% | 6.44% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        169/9686  [1.74% | 43.56% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Obviously had a bump from that strong shared Pixar/Deadpool fandoms! 

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	153	23644	24051	407	1.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

19

 

 

T-23 Comps            SHITTY-ASS COMPS EDITION - DON'T TAKE TOO SERIOUSLY

	%		Sold T-23	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	188.43		34	216		0/73	11049/11265	1.92%		3951	10.30%		11.78m
Shaz 2	154.75		8	263		0/93	15277/15540	1.69%		1663	24.47%		5.26m
TLM	47.94		59	849		0/154	21799/22648	3.75%		6561	6.20%		4.94m
Barbie	37.62		82	1082		0/96	11550/12632	8.57%		12077	3.37%		8.50m
Wonka	310.69		15	131		0/112	19153/19284	0.68%		1975	20.61%		10.87m
Aqua 2	150.18		19	271		0/78	13689/13960	1.94%		2629	15.48%		6.76m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     99/10075  [0.98% sold]
Matinee:    41/2674  [1.53% | 10.07% of all tickets sold]
3D:            25/3852  [0.65% | 6.14% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        172/9686  [1.78% | 42.26% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-66 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	218	28624	31469	2845	9.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

2845

 

Day 1 Comps

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	42.15		6749	6749		0/329	34167/40916	16.49%		21117	13.47%		15.18m
L&T	68.37		4161	4161		0/228	27442/31603	13.17%		16962	16.77%		19.83m
BP2	87.43		3254	3254		0/279	31690/34980	9.30%		16800	16.93%		24.48m
AM3	140.91		2019	2019		0/231	30346/32365	6.40%		10475	27.16%		24.66m
GOTG3	150.37		1892	1892		0/205	27676/29568	6.40%		10750	26.47%		26.31m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:         584/12927  [4.52% sold]
Matinee:     NOT YET COMPILED DUE TO FANDANGO ORNERINESS
3D:               240/6684  [3.59% | 8.44% of all tickets sold]
PLF:            1663/11001  [15.12% | 58.45% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Pretty good, all things considered.  BP2 and onward tell a pretty consistent picture, I think.  Do think the extra month of pre-sales is gonna mess with these comps at least a little, but I know that's a sore spot with some, so just consider that a comment as read by Yours Truly.

 

Wasn't able to pull updated data from one theater, so the numbers might be slightly under (like by about a total of 10 to 20 tickets), but at this level of tickets, eh.  Not even a rounding error.

 

Next up: See how the post-Day 1 pace is before the loooooooong marathon stretch begins.  Probably save any other thoughts I have until I start seeing said pace.

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-65 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	219	28295	31587	3292	10.42%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	118
Total Seats Sold Today	447

 

Day 2 Comps

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	44.47		654	7403		0/329	33513/40916	18.09%		21117	15.59%		16.01m
L&T	69.69		563	4724		0/228	26876/31600	14.95%		16962	19.41%		20.21m
BP2	88.42		469	3723		0/292	32828/36551	10.19%		16800	19.60%		24.76m
AM3	117.53		782	2801		0/231	29564/32365	8.65%		10475	31.43%		20.57m
GOTG3	152.62		265	2157		0/205	27411/29568	7.30%		10750	30.62%		26.71m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        679/12927  [5.25% sold]
Matinee:    NOT YET COMPILED DUE TO FANDANGO ORNERINESS

3D:              285/6802  [4.19% | 8.66% of all tickets sold]
PLF:          1904/11001  [17.31% | 57.84% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Pretty standard Day 2, really.  Best sign, I think, is it nearly matching BP2 (that also had a long pre-sale window starting at T-38).  Wouldn't read much of anything into the AM3 D2 number, as that had a very unusual ticket release pattern.  AM3's D1 started in the late afternoon/early evening my time, which caused something of a domino effect over the next couple of days where the D2 and D3 were slightly stronger than would have normally been.

 

Will go ahead and keep updating daily for a few days before deciding whether or not I'm going to switch over to bi-weekly reports for a while.  All comps will be disappearing in a few days, regardless, so we'd be flying blind at that time anyway.  As always, play it by ear.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Quick and Dirty Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga Sacramento Report [T-3]

760/18457 (4.12% sold) 136 showings.

 

0.38423x RotB at T-3         [3.38m]
0.49934x KoPotA at T-3     [3.30m]
0.58104x BOSS at T-3        [3.34m]
0.87963x Wonka at T-3      [3.08m]
1.39963x Fall Guy at T-3    [4.41m]
0.41015x GxK at T-3           [4.10m]
0.77551x GBFE at T-3        [3.64m]

 

====

 

Yeaaaah, that wasn't fun.  Had to dig deeeeeeeeeep into my Bag o' Tricks tonight to get all three of these beasties done.  But, yeah.  After tusslin' and wrassin and in general getting into a pissing match with Fandango...

 

 

...

 

What's that?  You want thoughts on Furiosa?  Ask me again tomorrow when I have a sense of pace. 😉 

 

Though, obvs, not exactly blasting down the doors here.  Could be late arriving crowd (see The Fall Guy comp), could be shitty comps (put this together at literally the last moment and thus didn't think too hard about what to choose as comps), could be under-performing here.  WHO KNOWS!

 

Find out in a couple of days, I suppose.

 

 

Quick and Dirty Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga Sacramento Report [T-2]

918/19697 (4.66% sold) [+158 tickets] 148 showings.

 

0.36691x RotB at T-2          [3.23m]
0.58360x BOSS at T-2        [3.36m]
0.89736x Wonka at T-2      [3.14m]
0.76309x GBFE at T-2        [3.59m]
0.39948x GxK at T-2          [3.99m]
1.41886x Fall Guy at T-2     [4.47m]
0.48443x KoPotA at T-2     [3.20m]

 

====

 

At least the GxK and Fall Guy comps went (slightly) up?  Yay?

 

Meh.

[vafrow]

.

Edited May 22 by vafrow

[vafrow]

21 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-3, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 11

New Sales: 7

Growth: 175%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.8

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 2/1

Late Afternoon: 4/3

Early Evening: 5/5

Late Evening: 0/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 6/4

3D Regular: 3/6

Dolby: 2/2

3D Dolby: 0/2

 

Comps

0.039x KFP4 for $0.1M

0.122x Wonka for $0.4M

0.579x IF for $1.0M

 

Average: $0.5M

 

Even with a slight jump, this is miles behind a decent total. 

 

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-2, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 18

New Sales: 7

Growth: 64%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.3

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 1/1

Late Afternoon: 3/3

Early Evening: 5/5

Late Evening: 5/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 2/4

3D Regular: 9/6

Dolby: 5/2

3D Dolby: 2/2

 

Comps

0.054x KFP4 for $0.2M

0.151x Wonka for $0.5M

0.947x IF for $1.7M

0.202x Paw Patrol Mighty Pups*  for ???

 

Average: $0.8M

 

The good news is that it's not far off from IF which had strong enough walk ups to be decent. But it's still not great.

 

I threw in what little data I had for Paw Patrol. Canada was the only market with previews. I had to take an estimate of the data as I captured a bigger radius. The hope was that maybe this is underperforming because it's an animated title that's hitting the younger family demo who are waiting for the weekend. But, if Paw Patrol could do well in September, there's really no excuse here.