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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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20 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-0

  Sales     Seats     Shows  
  1699   31220   178

TC = 27

Comps 

2.67x IF T-0 = $4.8m

0.50x Dune 2 T-0 = $5.0m

1.70x Furiosa T-0 = $6.0m

---

Just posting every T-0 comp I have here. Wouldn't read into them a ton 

Indiana Lite

Bad Boys: Ride or Die Fri T-0

  Sales     Seats     Shows  
  2030   23839   124

TC = 10

Comps 

2.01x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $13.9m

1.75x Furiosa Sat T-0 = $14.6m

0.95x Kingdom Apes Sat T-0 = $18.9m

1.15x Kingdom Apes Fri T-0 = $19.7m

---

~3x true Thursday seems right

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1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews(T-7) - 31883/626935 596891.81 3227 shows +6864

Friday - 36189/1037440 634541.05 5335 shows +10326

This is as of yesterday night. +2 days and few hours plus of data. Its definitely starting to amp up now big time just as I expected.  

I think TLM is the good comp , i found comparaison :

 

Previews(T-8) - 49414/915600 854249.60 5587 shows +3241

Friday - 53073/1038430 878058.33 5729 shows +5012

Previews(T-7) -  52726/916969 913146.02 5592 shows  +3312

Friday - 58139/1039121 961781.89 5731 shows +5066

 

IO2 is behind this but the pace this last two days is around the same.

Also the two movies have special sundays and good hold.

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12 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

I think TLM is the good comp , i found comparaison :

 

Previews(T-8) - 49414/915600 854249.60 5587 shows +3241

Friday - 53073/1038430 878058.33 5729 shows +5012

Previews(T-7) -  52726/916969 913146.02 5592 shows  +3312

Friday - 58139/1039121 961781.89 5731 shows +5066

 

IO2 is behind this but the pace this last two days is around the same.

Also the two movies have special sundays and good hold.


so is the top one IO2 and the bottom one TLM? I can’t tell

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Posted (edited)
32 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

I think TLM is the good comp , i found comparaison :

 

Previews(T-8) - 49414/915600 854249.60 5587 shows +3241

Friday - 53073/1038430 878058.33 5729 shows +5012

Previews(T-7) -  52726/916969 913146.02 5592 shows  +3312

Friday - 58139/1039121 961781.89 5731 shows +5066

 

IO2 is behind this but the pace this last two days is around the same.

Also the two movies have special sundays and good hold.

Io2 pace is ahead at the point. More like 4/6k for previews/Friday 

Edited by keysersoze123
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1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Io2 pace is ahead at the point. More like 4/6k for previews/Friday 

So it's even better . If the pace continue to accelerate i think 10 is happening and maybe the 100M Mark for OW

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Posted (edited)

I think 100m is 100% a possibility at this point. I haven’t done an Inside Out 2 update yet (which I will soon), but sales have been very consistent. At the very least we can put sub 80m to bed.

Edited by AnthonyJPHer
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Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, AnthonyJPHer said:

As an Iowan myself, yeah, it really isn’t. There’s a reason I didn’t track this release. 

Yeah, I don't expect to use it too much as a comp in the future. At the very least, I figured it'd be a decent reference for future films aiming for similar demos. 

Edited by Rorschach
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Posted (edited)
19 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-47

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

520

1344

102453

1.3%

*numbers taken as of 9:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

First few hours

(0.694x) of Ghostbusters $3.26M 

(1.047x) of Quiet place day one $???

(0.664x) of Dune 2 $6.18M

(0.876x) of Apes $4.38M
Comps AVG: $4.61M 

 

With a long presales window, this is actually pretty good? Nothing crazy, but still much better than even I anticipated. 

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-46

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

548

1449

107948

1.3%

*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

105

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

28

 

COMPS

Day 2

(0.691x) of Ghostbusters $3.25M 

(0.980x) of Quiet place day one $???

(0.538x) of Dune 2 $5.00M

(0.912x) of Apes $4.56M
Comps AVG: $4.27M 

 

Going to be the last update for a while. Looks like lots of folks that wanted tickets bought on day one. Probably won't see an acceleration until final 7 days. 

Edited by TheFlatLannister
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Inside Out 2

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS

 

PREVIOUS UPDATE: 787 tickets sold

NEW UPDATE: 1,112 tickets sold 

GROWTH: 41.2% growth (it sold 325 tickets since last update)

 

Amazing growth for Thursday, it’s really ramping up now, and if it keeps up this acceleration, I think 100m is very much in the discussion at this point. I can see previews being more than 8m at this point. 
 

FRIDAY

 

PREVIOUS UPDATE: 1,286 tickets sold

NEW UPDATE: 1,637 tickets sold 

GROWTH: 27.3% growth (it sold 351 tickets since last update) 

 

Strong growth for Friday. Not as good as Thursday’s growth but still good strong growth overall. Friday did sell more tickets though. I’m bullish at this point for this movie, so I think, like I mentioned before, 100m is a huge possibility. I won’t update until Wednesday night or Thursday morning but if walkups are strong and reviews are solid, things are looking bright for this movie

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Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 1770/65791 38592.20 290 shows

Previews(7/18) - 5606/527628 109348.32 2573 shows

 

Meh start for a big budget CGI blockbuster. Then again this is not something that should start its presales so early. But I dont like the release date at all for obvious reasons. This should have opened last month.  

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11 hours ago, Eric Burnett said:

I mean you say that, but you've been overpredicting preview numbers like crazy over the past couple weeks. Just saying...


I mean you say that but he UNDER predicted here 🤷🏼‍♂️… i for one appreciate Charlies near real time info on opening nights & weekends. I would think everyone here knows this isn’t a guarantee of what a number will be, its a ballpark figure.. and he explained where his thinking was coming from based on the data he has. Thats all we can hope for from everyone who is doing any kind of tracking imo. And i think Charlies long track record speaks for itself.. unless we’re thinking he needs to have psychic ability. 

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48 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 1770/65791 38592.20 290 shows

Previews(7/18) - 5606/527628 109348.32 2573 shows

 

Meh start for a big budget CGI blockbuster. Then again this is not something that should start its presales so early. But I dont like the release date at all for obvious reasons. This should have opened last month.  

not really seeing breakout signs tbh. It's still very far out so maybe something closer to release date 

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