The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Krissykins]

24 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Aww, sad to see Talk To Me with a $3.1m prediction and only 1,900 locations. A24 not putting enough effort into marketing or the release unfortunately, despite the rave reviews. 

[Shawn Robbins]

Those Barbie numbers were published prematurely and are supposed to be higher (though maybe not as crazy high as some expect from the backloaded Monday result). Should be up soon.

 

Also, we aren't starting a new thread fresh but rather split from a previous point to help with SEO.

[Ezen Baklattan]

1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Aww, sad to see Talk To Me with a $3.1m prediction and only 1,900 locations. A24 not putting enough effort into marketing or the release unfortunately, despite the rave reviews. 

I feel like a lot of EA tracking is pointing towards $1M previews so I'd be shocked id it's that low.

[Shawn Robbins]

27 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

@Shawn the 60M low end for Barbie is so conservative, its like something out of the 1950s

That was an old range from before Monday numbers were out, should be 75-90.

[Rocketracoon]

Strays tickets are available now but no blue beetle yet 

[Shawn Robbins]

test

[Shawn Robbins]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I remember last year BO.com being very conservative on Maverick 2nd weekend(57m) and after its crazy 2nd weekend, predicted the same for 3rd weekend and there it fell short due to some silly Dino porn movie. 

😉

[Brainbug]

6 minutes ago, Shawn said:

😉

 

[vafrow]

Barbie, 2nd weekend showtime allocation, southern Ontario

 

I did a quick showtime count for southern Ontario region out of the primary chain.

 

This Friday has a show count of 547.

 

That compares to last Friday of 578.

 

Anecdotally, I expected that the Haunted Mansion screen would come from the extra allocations that MI7 was getting, or maybe dropping Indy, but for my local, they managed to combine ATSV with Insidious, and when turtles drop next week, theyre dropping that combo altogether.

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
107	147	18849	0.78%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

27

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-16

EA Wednesday = 217 sold (+23)

~$600k EA 

 

(0.105x) of Fast X

~$780k THUR Previews

 

~$1.3M total previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
107	161	18849	0.88%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-15

EA Wednesday = 239 sold (+22)

~$600k EA 

 

(0.113x) of Fast X

~$847k THUR Previews

 

~$1.44M total previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/25/2023 at 6:38 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The First Slam Dunk

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
25	34	3518	0.96%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.104x) of Boogeyman

~$114k THUR Previews

 

(0.194x) of Ruby Gillman

~$141k THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $127k

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The First Slam Dunk

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
25	54	3518	1.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.134x) of Boogeyman

~$147k THUR Previews

 

(0.251x) of Ruby Gillman

~$182k THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $164k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/25/2023 at 6:44 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
34	248	5752	4.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

33

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.758x) of Boogeyman

~$834k THUR Previews

 

(1.170x) of The Blackening 

~$877k THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $855k 

 

MTC1 has two Wednesday EA showings, that should push comp avg to $1M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
36	339	5948	5.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

91

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.841x) of Boogeyman

~$925k THUR Previews

 

(1.367x) of The Blackening 

~$1.02M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $970k 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/25/2023 at 6:49 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
203	753	36938	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	519	1756	29.6%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

27

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-7

*Without EA

 

(1.197x) of Elemental

~$2.87M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(0.442x) of RoTB

~$3.89M TUE Previews W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.38M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.38M+

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
203	846	36938	2.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

93

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	532	1756	30.3%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

13

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-6

*Without EA

 

(1.235x) of Elemental

~$2.96M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(0.464x) of RoTB

~$4.09M TUE Previews W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.52M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.52M+

 

Another day of increase

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/25/2023 at 6:33 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
127	2722	24184	11.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

356

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.583x) of TLM

~$6.00M THUR Previews

 

Adjusted down ~$5M

 

Haunted mansion is a pretty popular ride at Disney world, so this is going to overindex by quite a bit...

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
181	3112	33428	9.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

390

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

54

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.584x) of TLM

~$6.01M THUR Previews

 

Adjusted down ~$5.01M

[Shawn Robbins]

New thread up. Please see first post as this is a work-in-progress that will have some of July's posts moved to the front of this topic so we can have Barbie and Oppenheimer's run front and center for the Google search crawlers.

[TheFlatLannister]

1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
181	3112	33428	9.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

390

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

54

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.584x) of TLM

~$6.01M THUR Previews

 

Adjusted down ~$5.01M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

THE MEG 2: THE TRENCH

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
151	169	26294	0.64%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

63

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-8

 

(0.134x) of Mi7

~$940k THUR Previews

 

(0.099x) of Fast X

~$744k THUR Previews

 

(0.106x) of RoTB

~$929k THUR Previews

 

Comp AVG: $871k

 

AMC Disney springs is still not up so that's a big chunk of data missing

[CJohn]

21 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

THE MEG 2: THE TRENCH

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
151	169	26294	0.64%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

63

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-8

 

(0.134x) of Mi7

~$940k THUR Previews

 

(0.099x) of Fast X

~$744k THUR Previews

 

(0.106x) of RoTB

~$929k THUR Previews

 

Comp AVG: $871k

 

AMC Disney springs is still not up so that's a big chunk of data missing

Absolute disaster incoming.

[ringedmortality]

37 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Adjusted down ~$5.01M

 

That'd guarantee 30M, wouldn't it?

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

 

That'd guarantee 30M, wouldn't it?

Orlando will over index big time due to AMC Disney. 

[Brainbug]

8 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Absolute disaster incoming.

 

Dont worry, Walkups will save it.

 

After all, THE MEG 2 is the main event of the summer.