blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 That's 31% drop for THG. Will THG's weekend drop decrease every week?Next weekend, I can see it holding better than this weekend because it has IMAX back that weekend and a pretty weak slate of openers compared to this weekend. The next weekend will be much more interesting with The Avengers. I don't think it will be that much of a factor but it will effect it somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goosenman Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Are they not issuing numbers for Titanic this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 WIDE (1000+)# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.1 Think Like a Man $33,000,000 -- 2,015 -- $16,377 $33,000,000 1 Sony / Screen Gems2 The Lucky One (2012) $22,805,000 -- 3,155 -- $7,228 $22,805,000 1 Warner Bros.3 The Hunger Games $14,500,000 -31% 3,752 -164 $3,865 $356,900,460 5 Lionsgate4 Chimpanzee $10,205,000 -- 1,563 -- $6,529 $10,205,000 1 Disneynature5 The Three Stooges $9,200,000 -46% 3,482 5 $2,642 $29,355,446 2 Fox6 The Cabin in the Woods $7,750,000 -47% 2,811 0 $2,757 $26,980,172 2 Lionsgate7 American Reunion $5,231,925 -50% 3,033 -170 $1,725 $48,275,685 3 Universal8 21 Jump Street $4,600,000 -30% 2,427 -308 $1,895 $127,066,181 6 Sony / Columbia9 Mirror Mirror $4,114,000 -40% 2,938 -268 $1,400 $55,205,753 4 Relativity Media10 Wrath of the Titans $3,825,000 -45% 2,502 -600 $1,529 $77,135,543 4 Warner Bros.11 Lockout $3,094,000 -50% 2,335 27 $1,325 $11,063,032 2 Open Road12 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $1,701,725 -44% 1,583 -529 $1,075 $206,954,990 8 Universal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Can THG make $22 mio more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Can THG make $22 mio more?Of course..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 Can THG make $22 mio more?I just made 14.5 mill this weekend. Why would it not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
code65536 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 THG could be their first 400M film in history. A little push could have if necessary. It's also their first 150M film in history. First 200M. First 250M. First 300M. First 350M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MasterDodsen Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Can THG make $22 mio more?Uhh... yeah... duh!The real question you should be asking is can THG make 43.1M more. It'll be close, but I wouldn't mortgage the farm on that bet just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I just made 14.5 mill this weekend. Why would it not? I just don`t want to be disappinted. I`m scared of TA effect. My goal is to have THG and TA crush Shriekapoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chenguonk Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 So THG almost catches up with HP7.2 now, wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
code65536 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 So... 14.9 Nikki, down to 14.5 Lionsgate... which, given past performance, means 14.2 actual... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Yea, but this time, they are legit talks, because they are coming from me, the biggest anti-THG loonie out there. I'm just saying a 30% drop this weekend is unheard of and this does legitimize the possibility that it could happen. I am projecting this for THG's run right now.... Week 5: 18.4M (-30%), 360.8M cume Week 6: 12.5M (-32%), 373.3M cume Week 7: 5M (-60%), 378.3M cume 35-40% drops after that will take it to 386-387M. Add to that around 1.5M boost from discount theaters. 390M is a reasonable target from here, and it will require nothing short of a re-release down the road to reach 400M. BTW, love what you did there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 So... 14.9 Nikki, down to 14.5 Lionsgate... which, given past performance, means 14.2 actual... Just for once, I want the actuals to stay the same. Or even go up a little. Just a change of pace would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
code65536 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 390M is a reasonable target from here, and it will require nothing short of a re-release down the road to reach 400M.Sadly, I agree. My calculations yesterday came to pretty much the same conclusion. I don't think the 14.9 14.5 14.2 really changes the prospects as much as people are hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Week 7: 5M (-60%), 378.3M cumeI doubt TA will hurt it that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I am projecting this for THG's run right now....Week 5: 18.4M (-30%), 360.8M cumeWeek 6: 12.5M (-32%), 373.3M cumeWeek 7: 5M (-60%), 378.3M cume35-40% drops after that will take it to 386-387M. Add to that around 1.5M boost from discount theaters. 390M is a reasonable target from here, and it will require nothing short of a re-release down the road to reach 400M.BTW, love what you did there. 60% drop for The Avengers opening? C'mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 I'm not saying it will make 400, I'm just saying that the possibility is a lot greater now that it was 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I'm not saying it will make 400, I'm just saying that the possibility is a lot greater now that it was 2 weeks ago.Fake still refuses to join us and drink the THG kool-aid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I doubt TA will hurt it that much.Plus there will also be the loss of IMAX. If it were not showing in IMAX next weekend, I would have predicted 11M for week 6 (-40%) and then 5M for week 7 (-55%). End result would have stayed the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I'm not saying it will make 400, I'm just saying that the possibility is a lot greater now that it was 2 weeks ago.Yes.... 1% compared to 0.01%. Hundred times higher possibility now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
