code65536 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 The problem is the weekday. The weekdays continue to disappoint (those Monday drops!), while the weekends exceed expectations. I think we're just seeing weekday business shifting to the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 The problem is the weekday. The weekdays continue to disappoint (those Monday drops!), while the weekends exceed expectations. I think we're just seeing weekday business shifting to the weekend...I actually think last weeks set of weekdays were the only disappointing ones THG has had thus far. It's actually been quite solid its other weeks. Plus THG was not the only film having bad drops last week, so it was more of a market thing than THG doing poorly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 Yes.... 1% compared to 0.01%. Hundred times higher possibility now. I hope you're right. But a three multiplier from here out isn't unheard of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 The Hunger Games crossed the 350m mark on its 30th day, making its the 8th fastest movie to the milestone. Of the top 10 fastest to 350m, 8 of them made 400m+. Only exceptions are DH2 and Sith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eldenfirefly Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Go THG! . Wow I remember getting laughed at when i brought up the possibility 2 weeks ago that it might hit 400m. Shows you gotta have faith sometime. It's definitely on track to beat DH2 and ROTK though. Would just be a pity if it just misses 400m now. Epic hold by THG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
code65536 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Well, I very much would love to see it cross $400M (read the trilogy in one weekend last year, went to a midnight screening, etc.), but I'm very wary of getting my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I wonder what Ray from BOM will say THG's trajectory is now, he changes it every week. :lol:2nd weekend: "around $350 million"3rd weekend: "at least $350 million"4th weekend: "over $370 million"5th weekend: "over $390 million" ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Excellent for The Hunger Games, I hope it doesn't fall from estimates. The Friday number actually went up 50k from yesterday's estimates so hopefully that means they underestimated it yesterday and it won't drop like last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I wonder what Ray from BOM will say THG's trajectory is now, he changes it every week. :lol:2nd weekend: "around $350 million"3rd weekend: "at least $350 million"4th weekend: "over $370 million"5th weekend: "over $390 million" ??Those have been my trajectories as well till the 4th weekend. Ray is copying me! :PI'm thinking 385-390M right now, so I expect he will say something similar, maybe over $380M this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I hope you're right. But a three multiplier from here out isn't unheard of.It is technically 4x multiplier. :)And while it isn't unheard of, it is still very rare outside of summer season, especially when a record-breaking opener is just around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 (edited) Those have been my trajectories as well till the 4th weekend. Ray is copying me! :PI'm thinking 385-390M right now, so I expect he will say something similar, maybe over $380M this time.DP Edited April 22, 2012 by blackspider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Those have been my trajectories as well till the 4th weekend. Ray is copying me! :PI'm thinking 385-390M right now, so I expect he will say something similar, maybe over $380M this time.Glad you've finally come around and admit this thing is passing DH2. It took you awhile, and a lot of pointless arguing along the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Does Earth Day soften drops usually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Glad you've finally come around and admit this thing is passing DH2. It took you awhile, and a lot of pointless arguing along the way. It is sad. DH2 was a much better film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 It is sad. DH2 was a much better film. Boo hoo IMO THG was better though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 THG is better. But I'm not a Harry Potter fan anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 It is sad. DH2 was a much better film.That still shouldn't have stopped you from realizing this thing was headed for higher grosses than you were predicting. BO predicting is like sports betting, having a bias is not a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasaway098 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 i remember weeks ago that Fake doesn't even want to believe that THG will make more than DH2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Blackspider...you're right, I've really gotta stop underestimating THG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 It is sad. DH2 was a much better film.I find it funny how THG can outgross the final Harry potter movie yet sell 5% of the books Potter did. So basically I'd say the general audience would disagree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
