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Weekday Thread June 24-27. Inside Out 2 $11.2m, Bad Boys $1.6m Thursday

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3 minutes ago, Jiffy said:

This would be 2nd best 2nd Monday outside Holidays / December after Barbie, right?

looks like it, outside of December and/or Memorial Day

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/day/2nd-monday

 

1 Dec 26, 2022 Avatar: The Way of Water $32,270,430 4,202 $7,680 $293,290,336
2 Dec 26, 2016 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story $32,085,637 4,157 $7,718 $318,119,079
3 Dec 28, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $31,362,029 4,134 $7,586 $571,420,943
4 Dec 25, 2017 Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi $27,459,557 4,232 $6,489 $395,627,411
5 Dec 27, 2021 Spider-Man: No Way Home $24,770,593 4,336 $5,713 $495,184,575
6 May 31, 2004 Shrek 2 $23,408,002 4,223 $5,543 $260,313,719
7 Dec 28, 2009 Avatar $19,418,139 3,456 $5,619 $232,129,323
8 Jan 1, 2018 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $16,222,389 3,765 $4,309 $185,224,946
9 May 31, 1999 Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace $15,504,435 3,023 $5,129 $207,099,058
10 Dec 30, 2019 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $15,302,130 4,406 $3,473 $377,488,536
11 Jul 31, 2023 Barbie $15,007,589 4,337 $3,460 $366,422,042
12 May 30, 2005 Star Wars Ep. III: Revenge of the Sith $14,841,083 3,663 $4,052 $270,489,794
13 Dec 26, 2011 Mission: Impossible—Ghost Protocol $14,562,154 3,448 $4,223 $76,555,244
14 Jan 2, 2017 Sing $14,394,090 4,029 $3,573 $180,891,910
15 May 28, 2007 Shrek the Third $13,970,020 4,172 $3,349 $217,348,470
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Top Gun Maverick dropped 57% its 2nd Sunday to Monday after having an amazing Sunday hold. 

 

Date Rank Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
May 26, 2022 P $19,300,000     0     $19,300,000  
May 27, 2022 1 $52,012,661     4,735 $10,985   $52,012,661 1
May 28, 2022 1 $38,017,701 -27%   4,735 $8,029   $90,030,362 2
May 29, 2022 1 $36,677,097 -4%   4,735 $7,746   $126,707,459 3
May 30, 2022 1 $33,807,521 -8%   4,735 $7,140   $160,514,980 4
May 31, 2022 1 $15,800,746 -53%   4,735 $3,337   $176,315,726 5
Jun 1, 2022 1 $14,821,417 -6%   4,735 $3,130   $191,137,143 6
Jun 2, 2022 1 $14,466,868 -2%   4,735 $3,055   $205,604,011 7
Jun 3, 2022 1 $25,006,817 +73% -52% 4,751 $5,263   $230,610,828 8
Jun 4, 2022 1 $36,008,145 +44% -5% 4,751 $7,579   $266,618,973 9
Jun 5, 2022 1 $29,022,049 -19% -21% 4,751 $6,109   $295,641,022 10
Jun 6, 2022 1 $12,402,196 -57% -63% 4,751 $2,610   $308,043,218 11
Edited by JimmyB
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First week of the Olympics in 2016 a lot of holdovers did have pretty rough drops, so I wouldn't say they have zero impact. Also, IMAX and AMC are investing in live coverage this year so that will at least take some showtimes away from Deadpool and other movies. 

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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There's another thing to keep in mind guys. On its second Tuesday, Barbie only increased by 2%. Unless something shocking happens, Inside Out 2 should increase by at least between 20%-30%. That should still keep it ahead of Barbie's pace and even more so if it does $65M (compared to Barbie's $53M) for it's third weekend. 

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30 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

I think the NHL's Stanley Cup Finals Game 7 deflated Monday just a bit. I expect a very impressive recovery today and through the rest of the week. NBA is over. NHL is over. MLB is in the dog days now. Sport will no longer interfere with summer runs for IO2 or any other coming release. 

I mean Stanley Cup finals are not a big factor in US...they hardly get like 3-4M viewers. G6 had like 4M viewers...even a G7 likely would have had around 5-6M viewers which is not that huge

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1 minute ago, Madhuvan said:

Told you all 600m is best case scenario. It's doing excellent but it will fall more with AQP3 incoming.

no. I think $650m is more the worst case. You don't realize how far along Inside Out 2 is, and how bad the legs would have to be for it to fail to reach $600m.

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3 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

Told you all 600m is best case scenario. It's doing excellent but it will fall more with AQP3 incoming.

I would not say this number means $600m is the cap.

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4 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

Told you all 600m is best case scenario. It's doing excellent but it will fall more with AQP3 incoming.

 

I'm sorry, but this movie is going to do much higher than $600M. Even if Despicable Me 4 is going to supply it with some competition next week, it literally has the rest of the summer to itself (Twisters and Deadpool and Wolverine are not direct competition) and when you have a film that's playing like an all-audience tentpole, the drops aren't going to be large. 

 

The bottom would have to really fall out for IO2 to barely reach $600M domestically. Maybe not $700M, but definitely somewhere between $650M-$675M.

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I'm sure that initial spillover demand from opening weekend was also a factor in last week's blazing hot weekday numbers. That effect is significantly diminished this Monday IMO. nothing unusual for big breakouts. 

 

$60-65M wknd

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1 hour ago, upriser7 said:

I mean Stanley Cup finals are not a big factor in US...they hardly get like 3-4M viewers. G6 had like 4M viewers...even a G7 likely would have had around 5-6M viewers which is not that huge

It's not nothing. Factoring in the decisive game of College World Series as well and that's likely closer to 8M total. Also, I imagine all of Canada was watching that Game 7... Are they factored into those viewership numbers because they're part of the DOM gross as well.

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54 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Typical BOT 🤣🤦‍♂️ first normal day and the over excites crowd begins to panic and the overly negatives begin to gloat.... 

Keep it up fam. 

Hear, hear. Couldn't agree more.

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