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Krissykins

Weekend Thread Sept 20th-22nd

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25 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

That Australia opening is quite impressive. It's double Trolls 3 and Elemental, and only 200K less than Kung Fu Panda 4. Australia typically correlates well with the US, so maybe it really is going to turn out fine after all. Good on it.

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3 minutes ago, Speedorito said:

Inside Out 2 threepeated over A Quiet Place: Day One and now Beetlejuice Beetlejuice threepeats over Transformers One.

 

Moral of the story is don’t put the word “One” in your title if you actually want to open number one.

You forgot the part that Paramount should not release a movie with "One in the title.

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14 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

The legs for OS are pretty good , -33% vs LW. Possibly 150M OS , 400M WW are locked. The only issue is Dune 2 will stay the king of Warner in US.

Huh? How is that possible? Dune Part Two is at 282m DOM. Beetlejuice is already ahead of it day-to-day (226 compared to 204). Unless Beetlejuice collapses it should end around 295-305m

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30 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Variety says there is still hope in theory.

 

 

As I've said numerous times before, the big problem facing this movie is that only the most diehard franchise fans are even giving this a chance. Staying power requires casuals, and they'll all be distracted by Wild Robot next weekend before Joker 2 wipes out what little impact this is making on pop culture. And combine that with the pathetic $14M overseas number, and:

star trek GIF

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9 minutes ago, Speedorito said:

Inside Out 2 threepeated over A Quiet Place: Day One and now Beetlejuice Beetlejuice threepeats over Transformers One.

 

Moral of the story is don’t put the word “One” in your title if you actually want to open number one.

Best thing about this? Tashi Duncan opened to #1.

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5 minutes ago, AnthonyJPHer said:

Huh? How is that possible? Dune Part Two is at 282m DOM. Beetlejuice is already ahead of it day-to-day (226 compared to 204). Unless Beetlejuice collapses it should end around 295-305m

 

Don't think it's necessarily impossible that it still overtakes it, but its legs so far haven't been as good as Dune's. Beetlejuice had a much bigger opening weekend but a 35% advantage has now dipped to 11%. Following the pattern of IT Chapter 1 would put it at right around Dune 2's total.

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18 minutes ago, Eric Prime said:

That Australia opening is quite impressive. It's double Trolls 3 and Elemental, and only 200K less than Kung Fu Panda 4. Australia typically correlates well with the US, so maybe it really is going to turn out fine after all. Good on it.

And the legs will be really good , clearly this BO for this movie will be a marathon , probably 21-22M Total for China+Australia.

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$300M domestically for Beetlejuice Beetlejuice will probably happen if it can have a solid hold against The Wild Robot next weekend. Still, a worldwide total between $400M-$450M is good for this movie. 

 

Hopefully Transformers One can hold somewhat well next weekend (despite direct competition), but it missing #1 this weekend and having a pretty poor international opening does not give me much confidence. A very unfortunate miss for a very good movie that deserved much better. 

 

Also, I know the industry is waiting for October to deliver in terms of tentpoles and big movies, but if Joker 2 doesn't vastly improve in its pre-sales soon, we're gonna be in for a rough few weeks. 

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Bad Guys had a similar opening in China and managed to leg out to almost $50 million, Wild Robot looking like it might be able to do the same thing.

 

Here's hoping that movie has the kind of domestic performance I was banking on when impulsively creating a club thread in March. Would go a long way towards making up for the current TFOne and Joker anxieties.

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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1 minute ago, miketheavenger said:

I don't think they'll care enough. Maybe there'll be some double features with Moana 2 which would probably be enough to get it over.

Well it technically passed Jurassic World's original release run of $652,270,625 (and IO2 hasn't been re-released so it's a fair fight). $653,406,625 is with some re-release tacked on.

 

Top 10 original release DOM

 

1. Force Awakens - $936.6M

2. Endgame - $858.4M

3. NWH - $805M

4. Avatar - $749M

5. TG2 - $718M

6. BP - $700M

7. Avatar 2 - $684M

8. IW - $678M

9. IO2 - $652.9M

10. JW - $652.3M

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So paramount barely marketed the movie, put it in September instead of a month that’s actually good for animated movies, opened it right before a critically acclaimed dreamworks movie, immensely fucked up the first trailer, completely destroyed all interested in the Latin American market by hiring a pedophile and a talentless singer, and pushed the release date for half of the world back anywhere from 2 weeks to a month, and it failed?
 

Honestly the worst part about TFOne bombing is that Paramount isn’t gonna realise any of this is their fault, and’ll just blame the movie itself, fire Josh Cooley just like they did Travis Knight and Caple Jr, dash any hopes of a sequel and continue praying at the alter Micheal Bay slop. 

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