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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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This doesnt add up. The total gross should then be lower, percentage drop bigger, 109 was down but kinezo was flat but one of em had a 3d bump. I demand a recount! Is april fools day on the 28th in japan? Actuals havent come out until monday afternoon ny time in the past. This is fishy all around.No worries its GW. Its going to get seats back. It'll soar.

Edited by mfantin65
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Monday 1430. Toho......6919..11905 +70%Kinezo...1363....2968 +120%109........1528....3263 +115%These numbers doubled during SB, increased 140% last week for totalToho 24-30k. 1.6-2m the other 2 chains suggest higherCheer up people tomorrows number will be better than sunday. 70k+/ 5m+

Edited by mfantin65
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Meh it's a respectable drop against competition. Not going to be disappointed by frozen grossing $0.5M less than expected this past weekend. 

All those new releases will drop harder than frozen from here on out they won't have much of an affect in the long run. 

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Still not sure what happened this weekend but with both Kinezo and 109 up more that toho, the tohox should work for today. and be low if anything

 

1.9m  monday

120.9m  total

 

projection

16-19m midweek

Edited by mfantin65
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According to the Motion Picture Producers Association of Japan, it was 20.00B. I also suspect that the Spirited Away numbers are missing a week.

Howl's is inconsistent. The English version shows 20b in 2004 and 19.6b in 2005. In Japanese, it's not mentioned in 2004 and in 2005 is listed as 19.6b (this would be consistent with Eiren practice, if a film makes over 1b the next year, they list it for that year).I gather though that the ~170m tickets sold in 2004 count for January-December, and that includes possibly as much as 8b of Howl's (not 100% on that) despite not being listed for 2004.2005 English http://www.eiren.org/boxoffice_e/2005.html2004 Japanese http://www.eiren.org/toukei/img/eiren_kosyu/data_2004.pdf2005 Japanese http://www.eiren.org/toukei/img/eiren_kosyu/data_2005.pdfOverall box office http://www.eiren.org/statistics_e/index.html Edited by lab276
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Path to 300

There has been a lot of talk about whether or not Frozen could "catch up" to SA. Summer vs. spring is not a fair comparison. I found that one week of summer equals two weeks of non summer for the box office in general or for an individual movie as the midweek can be triple. E=mc2. Light is constant but mass varies. We cant compare energies/BO with the same constant/week time and different masses/moviegoers. Its like filling 2 pools, one with a fire hose for 7 weeks while the other gets a fire hose for 2 weeks and a garden hose for 5 and saying one cant catch up. The next two weeks evens the score with GW and both will have garden hoses going forward. Week 8- SA compared to week 10-Frozen will create an apple to apple comparison. Both will have finished their summer/SB/holiday periods with similar ticket sales/burn off. Both will face little competition for people/seats/screens for the next several weeks. Then FR enters summer and Obon, SA enters December and New Years. It will be easy to track the strides side by side on the path to 300.

 

This projection is with 15% average drops (5-20% drops applied randomly) after GW which has yet to materialize in the run. At 10% or less and a 100% hold here or there and it climbs to 300m+.

Spirited Away numbers have been converted to current exchange rate.

 

#   Howl's MC  Spirited Away Frozen
WE Week TOT   WE   Week TOT   MW WE   Week   TOT
1 13.988  13.998 13.998 7.531 9.731   9.731
2 11.680  20.400 44.430  11.300  8.550  19.800 29.535
3 9.832  21.400 65.878   10.000  10.000 10.000   13.400  8.569  22.000 51.579
4  9.165  15.400 81.210 9.500 32.000 42.000   15.300  8.200 23.500 75.100
5 8.100  15.800 97.000 8.700 29.500 71.500    7.800  8.200 16.000 90.600
6  7.400  15.000  112.000 9.200  34.500  106.000    5.900 8.300  14.000  104.800
7 6.866  13.700  125.703 8.700  24.500  130.500 6.500  7.700 14.000  119.000
8 6.171  20.100  145.795 8.800  16.200  146.700   18.000 10.400 28.400 147.400 POP! HMC Passed
9  3.367 8.800  154.556 6.700  22.200  167.100 11.500  7.500  19.000  166.400 Summer/GW Over
10 2.323 5.300  159.840 6.800  15.100  181.200  5.800  6.800  12.600  179.400 

11 2.464 3.500  163.425 6.400  13.100  194.300  5.200  6.100 11.300  189.700
12 1.817 2.800  166.170 5.000 12.500  205.800  4.500  5.500  10.000  199.800
13 1.812 4.000  170.218 4.300  11.000  216.800 3.700  4.400 8.100  207.900 Oct/June
14 1.219 2.300  172.561 3.900 6.500  223.300 3.300  3.800 7.100  215.000

15 1.090 1.500  174.104 2.600 4.400  227.700 2.800  3.200 6.000  221.000

16   2.600 4.700  232.400 2.600 3.000 5.600  226.600

17   3.200 5.900  238.300  2.300  2.700 5.000  231.600 Nov/July

18   2.900  5.900  244.200 2.000  2.400 4.400  236.000

19   1.900  3.900  248.100 4.000  2.300 6.300  242.300 Summer FR

20   1.800  3.200  251.300  3.600  2.100 5.700  248.000 

21   2.500 3.800  255.100 3.200  1.800 5.000  253.000 December SA

22   1.500 3.200 258.200  2.800  1.600 4.400  257.400

23 1.100 2.100 260.300  3.500 2.500 6.000  263.400 Obon FR

Extended Run   190.000 Extended Run  294.000 Extended Run   300.000+ !!??

Edited by mfantin65
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How do pre sales look? any word on seats/screens?

On Toho online ticket sales site (http://www.tohotheater.jp/theater/find.html) there a big number of sold out (in one cinema 8 sold out or near out of 10 shows - http://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/034/TNPI2000J01.do -). it seems to me that have been added a new shows from monday.

Edited by edroger
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Weekend predictions: mfantin..............9.82. sellouts baby selloutsKingslayer.........9.3Boxx93...............9.3Omni..................9.1chuck.................9.0Spizzer...............9.0Ball Lightning....8.9edroger..............8.800.128Tong Kosong.....8.8DamieRoc..........8.675.309Queen Elsa........8.6Catlover.............8.6Incardine............8.5Rsyu...................8.3rhfqkddl45.........8.2eren Jaeger.......8.2Labas.................8.1Japan forum......8.0Olive. .................7.5Corpse...............7.0 said 6.5-7.5Anyone else?

Olive wins! Gotto be bittersweet hey olive?$7.56m if this number holds up. Odd weekend numbers. Quieted the thread down that's for sure.people acting like their goldfish died. Well ponyo did get passed on the weekly :)Hoping for 40/75k+ toho for $5m holiday tuesday to spice this shitshow up so a bit!
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On Toho online ticket sales site (http://www.tohotheater.jp/theater/find.html) there a big number of sold out (in one cinema 8 sold out or near out of 10 shows - http://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/034/TNPI2000J01.do -). it seems to me that have been'0 added a new shows from monday.

Yes, and Frozen has got  a lot of big screens back this weekend. Things will be fun again

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