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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Weekend Forecast (08/08-09)

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01 (--) ¥675,000,000 ($5.5 million), 0, ¥1,425,000,000 ($11.5 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) NEW

02 (--) ¥480,000,000 ($3.9 million), 0, ¥675,000,000 ($5.4 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) NEW

03 (--) ¥350,000,000 ($2.8 million), 0, ¥575,000,000 ($4.7 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) NEW

04 (02) ¥346,000,000 ($2.8 million), -37%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($13.3 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 2

05 (01) ¥319,000,000 ($2.6 million), -47%, ¥1,350,000,000 ($10.9 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 2

06 (03) ¥208,000,000 ($1.7 million), -34%, ¥3,150,000,000 ($25.5 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 4

07 (04) ¥204,000,000 ($1.6 million), -28%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($31.1 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 5

08 (--) ¥190,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥190,000,000 ($1.5 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) NEW

09 (05) ¥181,000,000 ($1.4 million), -30%, ¥2,550,000,000 ($20.6 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 4

10 (--) ¥160,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.2 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) NEW

One of the biggest weekends, if not the biggest, of the year is here and just in time for Obon Week, too! If the Top 10 earns roughly what I'm projecting, this year's upcoming Obon Week could be the biggest of all-time.

The forecast above puts the Top 10 films above ¥3 billion (¥3.115 billion), which would make it the 8th Biggest Weekend of All-Time, and the biggest August Weekend on record. The Top 10 needs to beat ¥2.963 billion to break the Top 10 Biggest Weekends of All-Time.

*Fingers crossed* this all comes to fruition. After this weekend's openers, there isn't a wide opener until August 29th. Everyone wanted their film released before Obon Week this year.

Biggest All-Time Weekends (Top 10 Films) [1998-]

01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars Episosde III: Revenge of the Sith)

02. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen)

03. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!)

04. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix)

05. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest)

06. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland)

07. ¥3.129 billion - 04/18-19/2015 (#1 Film - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F)

¥3.115 billion - This Weekend's Forecast (#1 Film - Jurassic World)

08. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away)

09. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!)

10. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Arrietty)

11. ¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince)

12. ¥2.917 billion - 07/10-11/2010 (#1 Film - Toy Story 3)

 

Inside Out is still performing well.

:)

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So WOM for Jurassic World is good just like everywhere else?

It's breaking out so looks like it.

I predicted $50-$60m for Japan when I just joined and everyone was lecturing me on how that's not very likely in Japan and how I'm just being wishful. Fast forward to August and here we are, $50m is pretty much locked at this point! :D

Edited by scoobysaurus
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Top 12T1MUK Sa 1200T1MUK Sa 2230T1MUK Su1200T1MUK Su EstT1MUK xMSat Tot AdmsSun Tot AdmsAve Tix PriceSat TotalMSat $ TotalMSun ProjSun $ProjWeek endWeek end $JW27191128097374811600002.3229718537120015754683.775854.7110538.49MI522098101123275411250002.3223460529000014003282.654063.277345.92Naruto192497198219441750002.3216699817400014002341.892441.964773.85Minion145584934219093680002.3211447315776012501431.151971.593402.74Titans6300361269172430002.32838129976013501130.911351.092482.00Kamen172103577815172400002.32830059280012501040.841160.942201.77Monster5700280607782360002.3265099835201250810.661040.841861.50Hero5600272218079350002.3263153812001250790.641020.821801.46IO6418228269401340002.3252956788801300690.561030.831711.38Longest7527212678774250002.3249339580001250620.50730.581341.08Poke6264122509000160002.3228420371201250360.29460.37820.66School5981147887500170002.3234308394401425490.39560.45
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Top 12T1MUK Sa 1200T1MUK Sa 2230T1MUK Su1200T1MUK Su EstT1MUK xMSat Tot AdmsSun Tot AdmsAve Tix PriceSat TotalMSat $ TotalMSun ProjSun $ProjWeek endWeek end $JW27191128097374811600002.3229718537120015754683.775854.7110538.49MI522098101123275411250002.3223460529000014003282.654063.277345.92Naruto192497198219441750002.3216699817400014002341.892441.964773.85Minion145584934219093680002.3211447315776012501431.151971.593402.74Titans6300361269172430002.32838129976013501130.911351.092482.00Kamen172103577815172400002.32830059280012501040.841160.942201.77Monster5700280607782360002.3265099835201250810.661040.841861.50Hero5600272218079350002.3263153812001250790.641020.821801.46IO6418228269401340002.3252956788801300690.561030.831711.38Longest7527212678774250002.3249339580001250620.50730.581341.08Poke6264122509000160002.3228420371201250360.29460.37820.66School5981147887500170002.3234308394401425490.39560.45

 

Yay it keeps on increasing! So what's the highest opening weekend this year?

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Top 12 T1MUK Sa 1200 T1MUK Sa 2230 T1MUK Su1200 T1MUK Su Est T1MUK xM Sat Tot Adms Sun Tot Adms Ave Tix Preço Sat totalm Sat $ totalm Sun Proj Sun $ Proj Week end Fim de semana $ JW 27191 128097 37481160000 2.32 297185 371200 1575 468 3.77 585 4.71 1053 8.49 MI5 22098 101123 27541 125000 2.32 234605 290000 1400 328 2.65 406 3.27 734 5.92 Naruto 19249 71982 19441 75000 2.32 166998 174000 1400 234 1.89 244 1.96 4773.85 Minion 14558 49342 19093 68000 2.32 114473 157760 1250 143 1.15 197 1.59 340 2.74 Titans 6300 36126 9172 43000 2.32 83812 99760 1350 113 0.91 135 1.09 248 2.00 Kamen 17210 35778 15172 40000 2.32 83005 92800 1250 1040.84 116 0.94 220 1.77 Monster 5700 28060 7782 36000 2.32 65099 83520 1250 81 0.66 104 0.84 186 1.50 Hero 5600 27221 8079 35000 2.32 63153 81200 1250 79 0.64 102 0.82 180 1.46 IO 6418 22826 9401 34000 2.32 52956 788801300 69 0.56 103 0.83 171 1.38 Longest 7527 21267 8774 25000 2.32 49339 58000 1250 62 0.50 73 0.58 134 1.08 Poke 6264 12250 9000 16000 2.32 28420 37120 1250 36 0.29 46 0.37 82 0.66 School 5981 14788 7500 17000 2.32 3430839440 1425 49 0.39 56 0.45 

 

many numbers left me confused, as jurassic raised? is a good box office?

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Top 12 T1MUK Sa 1200 T1MUK Sa 2230 T1MUK Su1200 T1MUK Su Est T1MUK xM Sat Tot Adms Sun Tot Adms Ave Tix Preço Sat totalm Sat $ totalm Sun Proj Sun $ Proj Week end Fim de semana $ JW 27191 128097 37481160000 2.32 297185 371200 1575 468 3.77 585 4.71 1053 8.49 MI5 22098 101123 27541 125000 2.32 234605 290000 1400 328 2.65 406 3.27 734 5.92 Naruto 19249 71982 19441 75000 2.32 166998 174000 1400 234 1.89 244 1.96 4773.85 Minion 14558 49342 19093 68000 2.32 114473 157760 1250 143 1.15 197 1.59 340 2.74 Titans 6300 36126 9172 43000 2.32 83812 99760 1350 113 0.91 135 1.09 248 2.00 Kamen 17210 35778 15172 40000 2.32 83005 92800 1250 1040.84 116 0.94 220 1.77 Monster 5700 28060 7782 36000 2.32 65099 83520 1250 81 0.66 104 0.84 186 1.50 Hero 5600 27221 8079 35000 2.32 63153 81200 1250 79 0.64 102 0.82 180 1.46 IO 6418 22826 9401 34000 2.32 52956 788801300 69 0.56 103 0.83 171 1.38 Longest 7527 21267 8774 25000 2.32 49339 58000 1250 62 0.50 73 0.58 134 1.08 Poke 6264 12250 9000 16000 2.32 28420 37120 1250 36 0.29 46 0.37 82 0.66 School 5981 14788 7500 17000 2.32 3430839440 1425 49 0.39 56 0.45 

 

many numbers left me confused, as jurassic raised? is a good box office?

Yes, initial estimates went from $5m to $6m to $7m and now it's at $8.49m.

Edited by kowan
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Yay for Jurassic World! I was wrong, but I did say I wouldn't be surprised if JW topped MI5. And MI5 still opened well too. Finally non-Disney movies rule Japan.

 

I was waaay wrong about IO though. I thought the material was very Japanese-friendly. Maybe it's just too crowded. The Boy and the Beast killed it on OW, and then Minions killed its chance at crazy legs. And then JW broke out.

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Top 12 T1MUK Sa 1200 T1MUK Sa 2230 T1MUK Su1200 T1MUK Su Est T1MUK xM Sat Tot Adms Sun Tot Adms Ave Tix Price Sat TotalM Sat $ TotalM Sun Proj Sun $Proj Week end Week end $
JW 27191 128097 37481 165000 2.32 297185 382800 1575 468 3.77 603 4.86 1071 8.64
MI5 22098 101123 27541 120000 2.32 234605 278400 1400 328 2.65 390 3.14 718 5.79
Naruto 19249 71982 19441 75000 2.32 166998 174000 1400 234 1.89 244 1.96 477 3.85
Minion 14558 49342 19093 68000 2.32 114473 157760 1250 143 1.15 197 1.59 340 2.74
Titans 6300 36126 9172 43000 2.32 83812 99760 1350 113 0.91 135 1.09 248 2.00
Kamen 17210 35778 15172 40000 2.32 83005 92800 1250 104 0.84 116 0.94 220 1.77
Monster 5700 28060 7782 36000 2.32 65099 83520 1250 81 0.66 104 0.84 186 1.50
Hero 5600 27221 8079 35000 2.32 63153 81200 1250 79 0.64 102 0.82 180 1.46
IO 6418 22826 9401 34000 2.32 52956 78880 1300 69 0.56 103 0.83 171 1.38
Longest 7527 21267 8774 25000 2.32 49339 58000 1250 62 0.50 73 0.58 134 1.08
Poke 6264 12250 9000 16000 2.32 28420 37120 1250 36 0.29 46 0.37 82 0.66
School 5981 14788 7500 17000 2.32 34308 39440 1425 49 0.39 56 0.45 105 0.85
                  1765.552654 14.2 2168 17.5 3933 31.72

 

1B weekend is a top 5 all-time I assume. and that's with 3 days of burn off

$60m+ Japan and 1B OS locked. Its widening the gap over MI5, which is performing well, for the 3rd consecutive day +10%,  +27% and today could be +35

Could be Japans first 40B weekend, or all my numbers are way off and a pox befall upon me. :P

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"1B weekend is a top 5 all-time I assume. and that's with 3 days of burn off

$60m+ Japan and 1B OS locked. Its widening the gap over MI5, which is performing well, for the 3rd consecutive day +10%,  +27% and today could be +35

Could be Japans first 40B weekend, or all my numbers are way off and a pox befall upon me"

 

great , jurassic is the king of the world.

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