StarSaber Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 (edited) Why are people predicting under 70mil for Brave? 24.5 Friday probably means at least 26-28 Sat and 21-22 Sun.It is late June, it will not increase that much on Saturday.Edit: I think 70mil is possible, but if it hits it, it barely does so. Edited June 23, 2012 by TheLombax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 It'll decrease today, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonytr87 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 It is late June, it will not increase that much on Saturday.Kids movies still increase by one or two million in the middle of summer. It would have to drop on Sat to make under 70mil for the weekend, and I don't see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Kids movies still increase by one or two million in the middle of summer. It would have to drop on Sat to make under 70mil for the weekend, and I don't see that happening.No, not all of them do. WallE went down by 4% and of course Cars 2 and TS3 (9%) did as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarSaber Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Kids movies still increase by one or two million in the middle of summer. It would have to drop on Sat to make under 70mil for the weekend, and I don't see that happening.Both Ratatouille and Wall-E didn't change too much on Saturday from Friday and were released in late June. If Brave preforms like Ratatouille it will barely make it over 70m. The things Brave has going for it though is a slightly earlier release than both movies and what I would imagine as a slightly more "kid-friendly" idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonytr87 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 No, not all of them do. WallE went down by 4% and of course Cars 2 and TS3 (9%) did as well.I don't remember that but I'll take your word for it. Strange. I might be thinking of those that were released in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Brave-24.5m 24.4m (Notfabio says there's a slight uptick from yesterday's matinees but I don't think evening shows will be as strong) 19.8m (-18.9%) 68.7m weekend Abe- 6.25m 5.2m (-16.8%) (Notfabio says today is down from midnight-less Friday, should be a hefty drop overall) 3.95m (-24%) 15.4m weekend. I was anticipating a 10m bomb about a month ago. This is better but still pretty yucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Brave is one week earlier than Rat. And at most, it will increase 2-3%, but with a monster opening day, it should drop by 2-3%. Summer films don't always have increases on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I don't remember that but I'll take your word for it. Strange. I might be thinking of those that were released in May.Yes, exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TylerDurden365 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 (edited) I honestly think Brave is going to see a decent bump today (like 15-20) more in line with what Up and Nemo did. WallE never resonated with family audiences in the way that those films did. But I admit that it could be more in line with Rat and WallE. Just think this has more of a family audience while those played more to the older animation fans.EDIT: And now I have to recind that because you are all right, the movement towards June makes it less likely to happen. Still, it should manage to get to 70+. Edited June 23, 2012 by TylerDurden365 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Cars 2: http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=cars2.htmWallE: http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=wall-e.htmTS3: http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=toystory3.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I honestly think Brave is going to see a decent bump today (like 15-20) more in line with what Up and Nemo did. WallE never resonated with family audiences in the way that those films did. But I admit that it could be more in line with Rat and WallE. Just think this has more of a family audience while those played more to the older animation fans.There is 0 chance a film opening this late in June is going to have a 15% bump on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Brave is one week earlier than Rat. And at most, it will increase 2-3%, but with a monster opening day, it should drop by 2-3%. Summer films don't always have increases on Saturday.I'm not sure Brave has sold that many more tickets than Ratatouille though. It's certainly not a "monster OD" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted June 23, 2012 Founder / Operator Share Posted June 23, 2012 Cars 2: http://boxofficemojo...ly&id=cars2.htmWallE: http://boxofficemojo...y&id=wall-e.htmTS3: http://boxofficemojo...d=toystory3.htmIn Brave's defense, two of those were sequels and Wall-E had a huge fanboy interest driving its opening day. I could see Brave holding a little better than them today -- but I definitely agree with the point you're getting at. That Friday was a big number. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TylerDurden365 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 See my edit. I admit that I missed the opening dates when considering that originally. Poor job on my part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 In Brave's defense, two of those were sequels and Wall-E had a huge fanboy interest driving its opening day. I could see Brave holding a little better than them today -- but I definitely agree with the point you're getting at. That Friday was a big number.Definitely agree that the sequels play a huge part in the decline, but except for RAT, no Pixar film has increased on it's first Saturday that has opened this late in June. WallE is the barometer for BRAVE imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 If I had to guess, I'd say:24.523.719.0 67.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 If it opens as well as Up did (69m) then that's a big win for the studio. Cars 2's poor response doesn't seem to hurt interest in original Pixar fare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superduperm Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 My gut is saying that Brave will stay flat today. The WOM is a lot better than the critic ratings from what I can tell. And I think this is more family friendly than Wall-E. Also, it's not a sequel.That said, it's the middle of summer so anything can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I think Pixar is immune to one bad film. They are a trusted brand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
