South Korea Box Office

[FlashMaster659]

Endgame now at 1.5M!

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

 

1.5 million has been crossed

 

http://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findRealTicketList.do?loadEnd

[Sam]

On 4/18/2019 at 7:13 PM, VenomXXR said:

Break out your party hats! Endgame has officially passed Infinity War's total presales!

 

1,156,388

 

On 4/18/2019 at 7:13 PM, FlashMaster659 said:

IW has been beaten!

 

On 4/18/2019 at 7:14 PM, VenomXXR said:

 

So have you....

muahahaha

 

1 hour ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Endgame now at 1.5M!

 

1 hour ago, VenomXXR said:

 

1.5 million has been crossed

 

http://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findRealTicketList.do?loadEnd

This is quite an interesting development. 

 

Flashmaster keeping that Avenging spirit.

[pepsa]

My guess for today would be 1643k after today.

Than I should hit 1910k tomorrow and end up with 2.3m in the end? 2x IW when it got released. 

 

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, pepsa said:

My guess for today would be 1643k after today.

Than I should hit 1910k tomorrow and end up with 2.3m in the end? 2x IW when it got released. 

 

Only doing 10k an hour at the moment. It should pickup this evening (as it usually does on Sundays) but I'm a little skeptical of 1643k at the moment  

 

I'd go with 1630k, then 1870k and then 2.2m. Not set on doing usual massive business on last day since there's just so many seats already sold. However I think 2m, maybe is 2.1m is looking >95% likely at this point. 

[pepsa]

38 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Only doing 10k an hour at the moment. It should pickup this evening (as it usually does on Sundays) but I'm a little skeptical of 1643k at the moment  

 

I'd go with 1630k, then 1870k and then 2.2m. Not set on doing usual massive business on last day since there's just so many seats already sold. However I think 2m, maybe is 2.1m is looking >95% likely at this point. 

I can see what you are comming from! Yesterday these hours were the slowest of the day. So my guess was:

1555k by 6pm

1569k by 7pm

1586k by 8pm

1603k by 9pm

1617k by 10pm

1628k by 11pm

1637k by 12pm

 

And somewhere I have to get that extra 6k 😛

That would mean (if we take my 1637k) => 175k Today/ with your number 168k/ with my hopefull number 181k.

IW had 97k on sunday then 185k on monday and ended with 291k on it's last day. 

 

So I woud not suggest the 90% jump that IW had on Monday.

267k from 181k would be a 47.5% jump from Sunday (taking in to account that weekend is slower in ps's and that it will be 2nd last day) tot: 1910k

Your number (totaly verry realistic) 168k => 248k (47.5% again)/ (1878k)

Spoiler

Just noticed we used the same jump on Monday only i used a bigger starting number 😛 

My number when doing it hourly 175k => 258k/1895k.

 

Now we come to the last day. I would assume we both think it won't decreasse from monday and over IW's last day should also be locked so anything over 300k is game. 

3 numbers again with 300k last day:

Yours: 2178k

My modest one: 2195k

My optimistic: 2210k

 

So I would say over 2.2m is 85% likely. What I actualy think it will increase in it's last day: + 38% - 45% from tuesday.

Yours:  2220k -  2238k

Mine1: 2251k -  2269k

Mine2: 2278k -  2297k

 

So yeah for it's range is 2.2m to 2.3m with 80% that it lands between those 2. So maybe 2.3m is a little optimistic but definitly doable 😛

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, Sam said:

 

 

 

 

This is quite an interesting development. 

 

Flashmaster keeping that Avenging spirit.

@FlashMaster659 1 : 2 @VenomXXR 

[pepsa]

@feasby007 You are right, it will probably end around 1630k. So 2.2m total would be my guess now. 

 

EDIT a bit over 1630k

Edited April 21, 2019 by pepsa

[druv10]

It just hit 1.6M presales.

[pepsa]

1634k at 00.00 am

 

A jump of 172k today, a good jump hoping for 250k tomorrow. 

It still has a chance at doubling IW  altought a slim chance. 

Edited April 21, 2019 by pepsa

[Stewart]

2 hours ago, pepsa said:

1634k at 00.00 am

 

A jump of 172k today, a good jump hoping for 250k tomorrow. 

It still has a chance at doubling IW  altought a slim chance. 

Looks like it almost split the difference between us  

 

I almost was going to say 1625k, which would've averaged with yours perfectly, but decided against it. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

 

1.7 million crossed

Edited April 22, 2019 by VenomXXR

[pepsa]

It's at 1.777k atm.Yesterday this was the midpoint (5pm)

If it is the same for today we would be looking at an insane 286k increase and 1922k at MN today.

 

If we hit 1922k today 2.3m is back on the menu boys and pretty likely !!!! 

Spoiler

We might even go a bit over 1922k today with the run rate it's having so early on!

For people who love watching milestones: 6.12 pm it should break that. Might be off by 5min - 10min this is in South korean time btw.

Edited April 22, 2019 by pepsa

[Olive]

let's go, 2 x IW

[Wotad]

Whats the max this does in SK? 

[pepsa]

22 minutes ago, Wotad said:

Whats the max this does in SK? 

THe absolute max it does is 15m I think (so this is the number it won't get but might get in 0.5% of the cases if everything lines up perfectly realisticly I expect something around 12.9m.

[pepsa]

So at the hour mark it was at 1795.1k, last hour the presise number was 1776.7k so it added around 18.4k.

The fun thing is now that I have an hourly run rate I can use this as my base: 

 

Yesterday between 6pm - 7pm it did 10.5k (not my projected 14k, apperrently in SK ps's have a higher ramp up in the evening then in China)

Today between 5pm-6pm 18.4k, it won't go below that for the next hours so the baseline is => 1905.5k today 100% it will be above this.

Yesterday it did 7.52 times 6pm - 7pm rate over the course of 6pm - 12pm window.

 

Using the 18.4k 5pm - 6pm we get  138.4k in the next 6 hours => 1933.5k and 299.5k increase for today. 

This is my last and final prediction for today.

 

[Fish&chips]

Avengers: Endgame presales edges out Wreck it Ralph 2, to become the 10th most attended film of the year. 

 

2019 Top 10 most attended films

01. 16,261,729  Extreme Job

02.   5,755,438 Captain Marvel

03.   3,378,086 Money

04.   2,811,180 Mal Mo E

05.   2,533,525 Innocent Witness

06.   2,398,519 Svaha: The Sixth Finger 

07.   1,951,889 Alita: Battle Angel

08.   1,901,684 The Dude in me

09.   1,826,714 Hit-and-run squad

10.   1,809,390 Avengers: Endgame (Presales) 

 

 

Edited April 22, 2019 by Fish&chips

[pepsa]

Just now, Fish&chips said:

Avengers: Endgame presales edges out Wreck it Ralph 2, to become the 10th most attended film of the year. 

 

2019 Top 10 most attend films

01. 16,261,729  Extreme Job

02.   5,755,438 Captain Marvel

03.   3,378,086 Money

04.   2,811,180 Mal Mo E

05.   2,533,525 Innocent Witness

06.   2,398,519 Svaha: The Sixth Finger 

07.   1,951,889 Alita: Battle Angel

08.   1,901,684 The Dude in me

09.   1,826,714 Hit-and-run squad

10.   1,809,390 Avengers: Endgame (Presales) 

 

 

And it's comming for that number 7th spot tomorrow (nr 8th today at midnight).

[druv10]

5 minutes ago, Fish&chips said:

Avengers: Endgame presales edges out Wreck it Ralph 2, to become the 10th most attended film of the year. 

 

2019 Top 10 most attended films

01. 16,261,729  Extreme Job

02.   5,755,438 Captain Marvel

03.   3,378,086 Money

04.   2,811,180 Mal Mo E

05.   2,533,525 Innocent Witness

06.   2,398,519 Svaha: The Sixth Finger 

07.   1,951,889 Alita: Battle Angel

08.   1,901,684 The Dude in me

09.   1,826,714 Hit-and-run squad

10.   1,809,390 Avengers: Endgame (Presales) 

 

 

CM has had great late push, it's going to make 5.8M+. Endgame effect is real in SK!!!