VenomXXR

I honestly can't tell if you're serious or trolling at this point. Most people aren't aware of this movie, it's not going to have a bunch of unforeseen walk ups. The comps for other horror movies from this year aren't going to fall apart. You're looking at $10-13m opening weekend and a final total below $40m.

The principle of the matter should go beyond simple rules. That's definitely a spoiler whether it's official or not.

Come on bruh, you can't be that dim....

Just for @Boxofficerules, Black Christmas has sold 12 seats at my theater for tonight. This is about 1/3 of SLOP2, so I'll put my previews estimate at $700k for the film.

I’ll make it a quartet.

Star Wars: TROS -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 6:00pm CST -- 8 Days to Previews Dolby Cinema 07:00pm: 205/205 -- SOLD OUT 10:40pm: 148/205 02:15am: 16/205 IMAX / IMAX 3D 06:00pm: 125/151 09:40pm: 105/151 01:20am: 14/151 Real 3D 06:00pm: 23/125 06:20pm: 4/76 06:25pm: 10/76 06:30pm: 5/76 06:45pm: 10/60 07:00pm: 17/60 07:15pm: 16/60 09:45pm: 0/125 10:05pm: 0/76 10:10pm: 0/76 10:30pm: 2/76 10:40pm: 0/60 10:50pm: 0/60 11:10pm: 0/60 01:45am: 0/76 Digital 06:00pm: 104/147 06:15pm: 46/60 07:30pm: 42/60 07:45pm: 21/44 08:00pm: 19/44 08:15pm: 20/44 08:45pm: 76/125 09:50pm: 56/147 09:55pm: 16/76 10:00pm: 18/76 11:25pm: 2/44 11:40pm: 0/44 11:55pm: 0/44 12:25am: 3/125 1:30am: 6/147 1:40am: 0/76 Fan Event 05:00pm: 100/125 TOTAL 1229 tickets sold out of 3638 seats available (33.78%) Comps to Final Tracked Numbers Captain Marvel = 1440 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday Avengers: Endgame = 3623 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday Toy Story 4 = 822 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday The Lion King = 1570 sold @ 4:00pm - Thursday Joker = 659 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday

Guess we know which is more popular....

China looks to be doing better than I had in my head. Still won't go much about my high end, maybe $210m for those 11.

Hard to say. We got the first trailer for Frozen 2 in February of this year, but the last MCU movie released in November (Thor: Ragnarok) we got the trailer in April of that year. So basically.... February 1st - April 30th? Lol.

Forgot about that. Good catch

Those 11 will add another $180 - $200m before their run ends. The other OS countries will add about half that amount. OS should finish somewhere between $850 - $900m. EDIT: I forgot that some markets still haven't opened. My number is for markets that it's already out in.

Closer to $3m than $30m, like I said.

I expect OS to be 10-15% higher than domestic. I agree that the finale factor and the fact that JJ will make a less cerebral, more crowd friendly film will help a lot to draw in repeat and casual viewers.