keysersoze123 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 This is expected. PS will be huge considering how big the last movie was. Big question is how its perceived. That will be the defining factor as to where it ends. Anyway it will be HUGE. Question is how BIG. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: This is expected. PS will be huge considering how big the last movie was. Big question is how its perceived. That will be the defining factor as to where it ends. Anyway it will be HUGE. Question is how BIG. Can the musical factor here play a part in prevent it from being frontload like other big movies with big presale? Or at least soften the drop each week? Edited November 12, 2019 by PKMLover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 23 minutes ago, PKMLover said: Can the musical factor here play a part in prevent it from being frontload like other big movies with big presale? Or at least soften the drop each week? it all depends on reaction. Let us wait for OD and see where the Naver rating is. Keep an eye at https://movie.naver.com/movie/bi/mi/basic.nhn?code=136873 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 People should remember Frozen had 5 days Korean new year to boost its leg during its 3rd week , An advantage that F2 likely won't have. Unless no local korean breakout this year in late December. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 No sign of slowing down yet, should be headed for 204ish today. Just barely above Age of Ultron, which jumped massively on the same time before release (maybe had PDFs release that day?). I think final PS 800k-1.1M or so, which is crazy, but it is after all a sequel to a 10M movie. I’ll keep posting about the PS, but doubt anything too interesting happens from now until we see the Egg. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 3 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: No sign of slowing down yet, should be headed for 204ish today. Just barely above Age of Ultron, which jumped massively on the same time before release (maybe had PDFs release that day?). I think final PS 800k-1.1M or so, which is crazy, but it is after all a sequel to a 10M movie. I’ll keep posting about the PS, but doubt anything too interesting happens from now until we see the Egg. What does this mean? Do you have the presale chart for foreign movie? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 hours ago, PKMLover said: What does this mean? Audience score in SK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 23 hours ago, PKMLover said: Frozen 2 T- 08 presale: 163.496 (+35.164) Frozen 2 T- 07 presale: 216.423 (+52.927) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 (edited) 3 hours ago, PKMLover said: What does this mean? Do you have the presale chart for foreign movie? Egg is the name for an audience rating in SK, like MrGlass said. Also, damn, night was super strong today! 216 finish for a midpoint of 18:00. Going to try to edit in some comparisons, but charts and I don’t always get along on BOT Edit: completely nonfunctional from iPad, but I think I should be able to make it work from a PC in 2 hours Edited November 13, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 (edited) Movie Endgame Infinity War Age of Ultron Frozen 2 Captain Marvel Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets D-13 --- --- --- --- 0.4% 513 13.5% 35,800 --- --- D-12 --- --- --- --- 2.6% 4,286 15.7% 56,983 --- --- D-11 --- --- 34.7% 106,782 10.7% 13,215 23.8% 75,123 7.5% 32,014 D-10 --- --- 50.9% 151,194 45.2% 25,412 53.0% 97,468 12.5% 46,652 D-09 --- --- 82.3% 195,842 52.6% 52,621 53.7% 128,247 27.4% 62,546 D-08 --- --- 82.8% 255,893 60.5% 89,148 52.0% 162,500 25.0% 81,951 D-07 85.4% 425,160 83.1% 312,278 74.6% 202,790 56.3% 216,169 21.5% 99,054 D-06 90.4% 757,581 83.6% 381,412 74.2% 254,789 31.7% 116,083 D-05 92.6% 1,123,944 83.0% 441,715 72.0% 304,101 29.7% 141,873 D-04 92.6% 1,314,585 80.0% 521,066 78.9% 355,901 40.2% 172,546 D-03 94.6% 1,462,388 83.8% 587,489 93.6% 436,244 53.7% 201,417 D-02 96.1% 1,634,283 92.1% 684,782 93.5% 564,163 85.2% 241,762 D-01 96.8% 1,912,215 93.3% 869,316 94.3% 723,132 87.0% 315,043 D-00 97.1% 2,321,735 96.5% 1,156,280 95.9% 935,461 91.6% 441,901 The lowest D-07 to final multiplier here, IW, would take F2 to 800k. I think it'll do at least 2x CM for 880k. Very reasonable imo to follow the path of CM/AOU from here with x4.5 and end up at 970k+ Other, smaller, HW PS in spoiler: Spoiler Movie Civil War Jurassic World 2 SM: Homecoming Ant-Man and Wasp Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets D-13 4.8% 3,001 2.7% 4,085 --- --- --- --- D-12 13.2% 12,074 5.6% 11,064 --- --- --- --- D-11 17.8% 26,612 6.9% 19,430 --- --- --- --- D-10 28.7% 36,353 11.7% 26,727 --- --- --- --- D-09 68.4% 47,764 30.4% 32,446 --- --- --- --- D-08 69.5% 65,652 28.4% 42,774 --- --- --- --- D-07 70.3% 85,648 21.7% 50,417 --- --- --- --- D-06 69.4% 108,114 43.1% 60,752 10.8% 20,959 --- --- D-05 71.8% 157,805 37.5% 78,272 14.2% 31,988 21.0% 36,583 D-04 70.7% 209,254 35.9% 105,020 15.7% 44,252 20.3% 53,857 D-03 80.1% 252,771 49.8% 139,672 --- --- 30.0% 73,136 D-02 95.1% 304,951 76.8% 197,643 53.5% 75,569 65.5% 120,619 D-01 94.3% 434,834 76.2% 312,877 67.1% 128,586 69.2% 152,447 D-00 95.6% 621,285 76.2% 596,941 79.8% 242,444 80.0% 246,552 This is all from @Stewart's sheet, and I think @pepsa helped fill it out. Edited November 13, 2019 by Thanos Legion 3 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 13 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Movie Endgame Infinity War Age of Ultron Frozen 2 Captain Marvel Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets D-13 --- --- --- --- 0.4% 513 13.5% 35,800 --- --- D-12 --- --- --- --- 2.6% 4,286 15.7% 56,983 --- --- D-11 --- --- 34.7% 106,782 10.7% 13,215 23.8% 75,123 7.5% 32,014 D-10 --- --- 50.9% 151,194 45.2% 25,412 53.0% 97,468 12.5% 46,652 D-09 --- --- 82.3% 195,842 52.6% 52,621 53.7% 128,247 27.4% 62,546 D-08 --- --- 82.8% 255,893 60.5% 89,148 52.0% 162,500 25.0% 81,951 D-07 85.4% 425,160 83.1% 312,278 74.6% 202,790 56.3% 216,169 21.5% 99,054 D-06 90.4% 757,581 83.6% 381,412 74.2% 254,789 31.7% 116,083 D-05 92.6% 1,123,944 83.0% 441,715 72.0% 304,101 29.7% 141,873 D-04 92.6% 1,314,585 80.0% 521,066 78.9% 355,901 40.2% 172,546 D-03 94.6% 1,462,388 83.8% 587,489 93.6% 436,244 53.7% 201,417 D-02 96.1% 1,634,283 92.1% 684,782 93.5% 564,163 85.2% 241,762 D-01 96.8% 1,912,215 93.3% 869,316 94.3% 723,132 87.0% 315,043 D-00 97.1% 2,321,735 96.5% 1,156,280 95.9% 935,461 91.6% 441,901 The lowest D-07 to final multiplier here, IW, would take F2 to 800k. I think it'll do at least 2x CM for 880k. Very reasonable imo to follow the path of CM/AOU from here with x4.5 and end up at 970k+ Other, smaller, HW PS in spoiler: Reveal hidden contents Movie Civil War Jurassic World 2 SM: Homecoming Ant-Man and Wasp Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets Share Tickets D-13 4.8% 3,001 2.7% 4,085 --- --- --- --- D-12 13.2% 12,074 5.6% 11,064 --- --- --- --- D-11 17.8% 26,612 6.9% 19,430 --- --- --- --- D-10 28.7% 36,353 11.7% 26,727 --- --- --- --- D-09 68.4% 47,764 30.4% 32,446 --- --- --- --- D-08 69.5% 65,652 28.4% 42,774 --- --- --- --- D-07 70.3% 85,648 21.7% 50,417 --- --- --- --- D-06 69.4% 108,114 43.1% 60,752 10.8% 20,959 --- --- D-05 71.8% 157,805 37.5% 78,272 14.2% 31,988 21.0% 36,583 D-04 70.7% 209,254 35.9% 105,020 15.7% 44,252 20.3% 53,857 D-03 80.1% 252,771 49.8% 139,672 --- --- 30.0% 73,136 D-02 95.1% 304,951 76.8% 197,643 53.5% 75,569 65.5% 120,619 D-01 94.3% 434,834 76.2% 312,877 67.1% 128,586 69.2% 152,447 D-00 95.6% 621,285 76.2% 596,941 79.8% 242,444 80.0% 246,552 This is all from @Stewart's sheet, and I think @pepsa helped fill it out. This is going to be a fun run to follow, it's just such a shame that final year of uni has consumed any life out of me (hence why i've been dead since June). Although I started the sheet, and Pep helped out a lot too, you can't forget that you are responsible for a lot of the data on there too after I died! Looking forward to Frozen's run, as the PS seem to be going absolutely mental. I don't think it'll hit 1m PS, but 900k+ should be doable depending on capacity. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 (edited) Today seems to be headed to low 270s, about the same PS added as yesterday. That’s pretty common at this point, wouldn’t necessarily expect big growth in the daily rate until Monday of release week. Also I want to shake some rust off my daily extrapolations so I can hit the ground running for Frozen. So let’s try: Black Money 50k CGV Divine Move 2 31k CGV Born 1982 18k Terminator 11k ZL2 8.7k WWY 8.2k CGV Won’t try to estimate total from CGV today since I have no data for any of these movies, but of course it’s very roughly 2x. Edited November 14, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
imbruglia Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 CGV Want To See 2019.11.21 Frozen 2 - 15,110 (+3,336) 2019.11.27 Bring Me Home - 1,799 (+660) *local Crawl - 586 (+170) Hustlers - 1,257 (+542) 2019.12.04 A Little Princess - 535 (+115) *local 2019.12.05 KNIVES OUT - 1,508 (+348) Last Christmas - 1,013 (+871) Ford v. Ferrari - 1,750 (+283) 2019.12.18 Cats - 2,944 (+165) --------------------------- 2019 Jumanji- The Next Level - 1,359 (+212) *December Baek Doo San - 539 *local *December Si Dong - 406 *local *December Forbidden Dream - 292 *local *December 2020 Dolittle -1,154 (+181) *Jan Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 956 (+172) *Jan THE KING’S MAN - 2,780 (+228) *Feb Top Gun- Maverick - 1,534 (+39) *June 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 On 11/13/2019 at 10:07 PM, PKMLover said: Frozen 2 T- 07 presale: 216.423 (+52.927) Frozen 2 T- 06 presale: 262.200 (+45.777) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 16, 2019 Share Posted November 16, 2019 (edited) Been tracking the CM/AoU/IW trajectory pretty closely the last 3 days. Today seems headed to 370s, which could make 1M a near thing if it keeps tracking AoU/CM. Edited November 17, 2019 by Thanos Legion 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 16, 2019 Share Posted November 16, 2019 (edited) On 11/14/2019 at 10:13 PM, PKMLover said: Frozen 2 T- 06 presale: 262.200 (+45.777) Frozen 2 T- 05 presale: 312.258 (+50.058) Frozen 2 T- 04 presale: 374.863 (+62.605) Edited November 16, 2019 by PKMLover 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 17, 2019 Share Posted November 17, 2019 (edited) Strong night, seems to be breaking 450. These next days 3 days are where the real fun numbers are. I think 1M is still very real and AoU is pretty much toast at this point. Edit: Wow, near 460. Edited November 17, 2019 by Thanos Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted November 17, 2019 Share Posted November 17, 2019 I know total is hard to figure out with reception and repeatability being what determines that, but what is the opening weekend estimate we're looking at? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 17, 2019 Share Posted November 17, 2019 23 hours ago, PKMLover said: Frozen 2 T- 05 presale: 312.258 (+50.058) Frozen 2 T- 04 presale: 374.863 (+62.605) Frozen 2 T- 03 presale: 458.024 (+83.161) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StarWarsMemer Posted November 17, 2019 Share Posted November 17, 2019 Chances of 150B+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...