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South Korea Box Office

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8 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

How much presale for a movie to ensure that it will be successful and make lots of money?

I mean, a lot varies depending on expectations, PS:OW ratio, and OW:total legs. The case of F2 is a complicated one since the only HW sequels to movies as big as the first have been Avengers entries, and those are front loaded fan affairs with huge PSs, whereas Frozen 1 was more of a great leggy run based on reception.    

 

I'm hoping F2 can pull at least 10M, but that will for sure require good reception. The road there would involve better PS:OW ratio and legs than Avengers style megahits, so it can get by with lower PS. 

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F2 will make lots of money in Korea. That is given. Already looking at PS its behaving like a hyped sequel. I doubt it will behave anything like the 1st movie(which was flat 1st 4 weeks or so). That said it should hit the frontloadedness of Marvel mega blockbuster either.

 

I think hitting 1st movie gross requires into the unknown becoming another Let it go. Only time will tell if that will happen.

Edited by keysersoze123
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12 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

EI1rng5U0AA2PDz?format=jpg&name=medium

 

2019.11.08 PM 5:50

KST Melon 실검 Frozen

 

Into The Unknown (Korean version) by Taeyeon top 1 Melon chart.

It's not melon chart, it's melon trending keyword. In melon currently, that song ranking is 42.

 

Here is melon chart :

https://www.melon.com/chart/index.htm

Edited by RJ 95
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23 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

What are we looking at @Thanos Legion?

I’m hesitant to say much since, in addition to being a week and a half out, presale started quite early compared to usual high PS movies (I.e. MCU) and there are no real comparisons in terms of being a HW family movie sequel with a predecessor nearly the size of Frozen. At least F2 may be a good comp for Aladdin sequel 😛    
 

But the short story is that presale are very, very, VERY strong right now. Will be 120k minimum for D-09, above e.g. CM D-06 and FFH D-03. Low 60s% of IW PS at same point, and of course IW PS were crazy.     
 

From here final PS should beat every Hollywood movie but Avengers, 600k+ being pretty conservative. IMO that should lead to 3.5M+ weekend and 10M+ finish, as long as reception is good. 

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7 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I’m hesitant to say much since, in addition to being a week and a half out, presale started quite early compared to usual high PS movies (I.e. MCU) and there are no real comparisons in terms of being a HW family movie sequel with a predecessor nearly the size of Frozen. At least F2 may be a good comp for Aladdin sequel 😛    
 

But the short story is that presale are very, very, VERY strong right now. Will be 120k minimum for D-09, above e.g. CM D-06 and FFH D-03. Low 60s% of IW PS at same point, and of course IW PS were crazy.     
 

From here final PS should beat every Hollywood movie but Avengers, 600k+ being pretty conservative. IMO that should lead to 3.5M+ weekend and 10M+ finish, as long as reception is good. 

I did not look much at the PS in South Korea but now it is around 120k, and you said it would be 600k+ near the release date.... that is quite a huge jump.... So PS will jump up very much near the release date? 

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16 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

I did not look much at the PS in South Korea but now it is around 120k, and you said it would be 600k+ near the release date.... that is quite a huge jump.... So PS will jump up very much near the release date? 

That’s actually pretty conservative, as I said. Final day sees big sales, I think D-01 at 420 would make D-0 600+ very likely. 120->420 is just x3.5. x3.5 in 8 days needs just +20% per day.   
 

It’s hard to say just how this will behave for the next  days, it even the notoriously frontloaded PS run for CM saw x5 from D-09 to D-01.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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