Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 7:29 AM, Korra Legion said: CGV start is 105k. Forecasting CGV end of ~190k for Fri of 410k (380-440) KOBIS of 1.12M, meaning ~ 915k for sat and onward. Expecting growth to ~1.2M by EOD. Sat forecast (obv this is much rougher than fri): 305k cgv start 450k CGV end 990k day Sat morning forecast: CGV start 246k forecast CGV end 385k forecast day 840 (800-890) forecast 00:20 KOBIS 1M forecast sun CGV start 246k forecast sun CGV end 380k forecast sun day 825k forecast 5day 2.73M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: Sat morning forecast: CGV start 246k forecast CGV end 385k forecast day 840 (800-890) forecast 00:20 KOBIS 1M forecast sun CGV start 246k forecast sun CGV end 380k forecast sun day 825k forecast 5day 2.73M This took too long to type I should just take a screenshot of the sheet… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: Sat morning forecast: CGV start 246k forecast CGV end 385k forecast day 840 (800-890) forecast 00:20 KOBIS 1M forecast sun CGV start 246k forecast sun CGV end 380k forecast sun day 825k forecast 5day 2.73M The legs will finally reveal itself? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: The legs will finally reveal itself? Day 6-12 should be pretty good with the plf demand rolling back and 13-19 will benefit strongly from holidays. I would not consider strong holds during either as “legs revealing itself” per se. Let’s wait for January. Edited December 16, 2022 by Korra Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, Korra Legion said: Day 6-12 should be pretty good with the demand rolling back and 13-19 will benefit strongly from holidays. I would not consider strong holds during either as “legs revealing itself” per se. Let’s wait for January. Would say depends on how strong the holds will be at this point. 1.23M kobis with only 246k cgv feels kind of ridicolous to me. Frozen II felt like the best comp but even that had a kobis ps:sat cgv of 3.3 here, A2 sits at 5 which is kinda stupid. Means A LOT of this already rolled over onto next week before the weekend even begins. At this point I wouldn't be shocked if by the time sunday ends this is still sitting at like 800k+ kobis. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, JustLurking said: Would say depends on how strong the holds will be at this point. 1.23M kobis with only 246k cgv feels kind of ridicolous to me. Frozen II felt like the best comp but even that had a kobis ps:sat cgv of 3.3 here, A2 sits at 5 which is kinda stupid. Means A LOT of this already rolled over onto next week before the weekend even begins. At this point I wouldn't be shocked if by the time sunday ends this is still sitting at like 800k+ kobis. Yeah eod sun KOBIS I guess maybe 750k or so. It would signal a monster gross except the PSm’s are so shitty and will likely remain thst way as long as KOBIS is elevated like this. Edited December 16, 2022 by Korra Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 (edited) Is kind weird for the huge presale increase,is even up 400k before the release but only 246k this Sat,I can’t understand how this trend happened,is not a normal thing in SK market and especailly for the blockbuster like Avatar Edited December 16, 2022 by Bruce 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: Yeah eod sun KOBIS I guess maybe 750k or so. It would signal a monster gross except the PSm’s are so shitty and will likely remain thst way as long as KOBIS is elevated like this. Wonder how next week trend looks like at this point. If EOD sunday is ~800k or so, I could see the weekdays being fairly similar to what thur looked like this week, which would just be weird as fuck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 not familiar with the SK market or its terminology, those are good signs right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: not familiar with the SK market or its terminology, those are good signs right? It’s a mixed bag. Each day the presales for that day come in shockingly low… which implies there are a shocking amount distributed among future days. Choose which part of that to focus on I guess 😛 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: not familiar with the SK market or its terminology, those are good signs right? I don’t know if is great but is really weird,how could a movie with 1.2m presale but only 246k for the opening sunday?even TGM and Frozen 2 won’t have the situation,this movie will have really really long run here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: It’s a mixed bag. Each day the presales for that day come in shockingly low… which implies there are a shocking amount distributed among future days. Choose which part of that to focus on I guess 😛 It's fine IMO, if anything because in spite of how absurdly backloaded presales are it's still opening to a fairly respectable 2.7M admissions. NWH legged out to 7.5M admissions off this, so an early thought would be that A2 should end no less than 8.5-9+ if things keep trending like this as I would expect it to start outpacing it fairly regularly after OWs more or less match by sunday. But idk, feels so weird to see such backloaded presales that I might just be off entirely here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nero Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, JustLurking said: It's fine IMO, if anything because in spite of how absurdly backloaded presales are it's still opening to a fairly respectable 2.7M admissions. NWH legged out to 7.5M admissions off this, so an early thought would be that A2 should end no less than 8.5-9+ if things keep trending like this as I would expect it to start outpacing it fairly regularly after OWs more or less match by sunday. But idk, feels so weird to see such backloaded presales that I might just be off entirely here. How much Spidey made? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 I am feeling about 9 but agree it’s hard to say with the unique pattern 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Nero said: How much Spidey made? Spidey was 62M or so. If A2 goes 9+ since higher ATP is making up for worse ER it will be, idk, 75-80+ just eyeballing it. Though it feels way too early to project here, I could see both higher and lower atm cause this trend is just really weird and kind of unprecedented here (atleast as far as I remember seeing for big blockbusters). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 I don't believe the movie will get strong leg here in SK. There is no pop song in the movie! Korean won't accept it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wotad Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 8 hours ago, Korra Legion said: It’s a mixed bag. Each day the presales for that day come in shockingly low… which implies there are a shocking amount distributed among future days. Choose which part of that to focus on I guess 😛 I wonder if the lack of Imax/3D is hurting Avatar? Maybe people are waiting for those screens so its having weird performances in places. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 15 hours ago, Korra Legion said: forecast day 840 (800-890) Midday update (16:20): 790k (765-820) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 56 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: Midday update (16:20): 790k (765-820) Is the pre-sale still looking good for sun and next week... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: Is the pre-sale still looking good for sun and next week... Nothing has changed regarding that situation vs 16 hrs ago. Proceeding as expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
