druv10 Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 29 minutes ago, pepsa said: We are starting at 19k CGV vs 21k last week, jump won't be as big as last friday but I think it should beat it never the less. Last week it jumped 75% in CGV start from thursday to friday to get a 80% jump. This friday is 58% higher in CGV start than thursday, asuming the same patern we expect a 60% ish jump today? That would be 152k, it still has more PS so I am guessing we will see a bigger saturday jump, as presalles seem to be more back load this weekend. PSM has been steadily increasing. I would fully expect 150K maybe more for Friday with Saturday/Sunday both going over 300K. 150K Friday 350K Saturday 320K Sunday 820K Weekend (+20% from LW) 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 1 minute ago, druv10 said: PSM has been steadily increasing. I would fully expect 150K maybe more for Friday with Saturday/Sunday both going over 300K. 150K Friday 350K Saturday 320K Sunday 820K Weekend (+20% from LW) I fully agree with this, sat ps should be higher than last weeks as well so will be fun to watch if it can suprise us. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 (edited) On 7/5/2023 at 10:06 PM, TalismanRing said: Elemental THUR 11am: 37,578 (-5.65% from Wed) 1pm: 44,646 +18.8% (-7.2%) 3pm: 58,479 +30.98% (-7.5%) 5pm: 70,497 +20.55% (-8.5%) 7pm: 82,840 +17.5% (-7.3%) 9pm: 91,554 +10.51% (-6.42%) 11pm: 94,702 +3.43% (-6.44%) END: 95,062 (-6.5%) Elemental FRIDAY 9am: 50,434 11am: 58,219 (+30.4% from Thur) 1pm: 67,608 (+51.43% ) 3pm: 86,636 (+48.51%) 5pm: 103,674 (+47.06%) 7pm: 120,535 (+45.55%) 9pm: 135,436 (+47.93%) END: 144,766 (+52.28%) Edit: Over last Friday at 9pm - with a 12.36% jump from 7pm - compared to a 10.86% jump from 7-9pm last week. Last week ended with a 5.66% jump. The same jump would give this Friday 143k but it's been running higher all night. A 7% jump gets it to 145k as @pepsa calculated. Edit: END: 144,766 (+52.28%) Edited July 7, 2023 by TalismanRing 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 23 minutes ago, druv10 said: PSM has been steadily increasing. I would fully expect 150K maybe more for Friday with Saturday/Sunday both going over 300K. 150K Friday 350K Saturday 320K Sunday 820K Weekend (+20% from LW) I agree with this too, the more backloaded PS means we might see some huge numbers on sat and sun 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 8 hours ago, TalismanRing said: 47,225 early numbers 50,434 9AM For your record since I didn't see any post. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) So far walkups are up 33% from yesterday which is good since it's still working hours. Last weeks evening business was strong but hopefully today can exceed that and try for 150k given how good walkups have been this week. Last Fridays late numbers for comparison 5pm ~100.5k 7pm 113,719 (+~13.2k) 9pm 126,074 (+12.4k) Finish 133,213 (+7.1k) It's at 67,608 at 1pm so it needs 33k in the next 4 hours to match last week after starting lower. That would only be 28% more that Thursdays 1pm - 5pm period (25.8k) and since it's been running at +33% of Thursday that seems gettable. An increase today is looking good! Edited July 7, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 I am not here tonight so if anyone wants to note down the CGV start for saturday that would be amazing Hopefully it's a very nice suprise and we something like a 55-60k start ^^ Today is looking like a 145k to me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, pepsa said: I am not here tonight so if anyone wants to note down the CGV start for saturday that would be amazing Hopefully it's a very nice suprise and we something like a 55-60k start ^^ Today is looking like a 145k to me. I'm sure someone will note it down later, last week was 57k right? Today kinda shows how barren the landscape is in korean box office when Elemental has nearly a 50% share of admissions on a Friday lol. Indy and Flash flopping has made Elemental's life easier but I feel bad for theatres that were expecting big revenue in these last few weeks. Edit: Last saturday's CGV start was 46k Edited July 7, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 ~145k finish would only be +9% on last week but +77% on two weeks ago which is still higher than every other day's 2-week increase this week (Mon +48%, Tue +51%, Wed +67%, Thu +63%). It seems like last Friday was an anomaly but I'm not sure why. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 18 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: ~145k finish would only be +9% on last week but +77% on two weeks ago which is still higher than every other day's 2-week increase this week (Mon +48%, Tue +51%, Wed +67%, Thu +63%). It seems like last Friday was an anomaly but I'm not sure why. Maybe last Fridays big rise was because of Indy - when WOM didn't kick in for Indy after the first couple of days that interest was directed back to Elemental. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) ELEMENTAL - SAT FORECASTS 00:00 - 178.5k presales (vs. 153.4k last week, +16.3%) 00:24 - 53k CGV start (vs. 46k last week, +15.3%) 01:00 - 128,288 Saturday start (vs. ~110.5k last week, +16.1%) 300k should be easy with these numbers and with the strength of walkups this week 350k could be on the table. Doraemon also opens today and may provide a little bit of competition. Edited July 7, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) Days Daily Admissions Weekly % Total Admissions Wednesday (OD) 48,002 52,039 Thursday (Lowest Day) 41,921 93,960 Friday 64,999 158,959 Saturday 177,851 336,810 Sunday 179,225 516,035 Monday 52,398 568,433 Tuesday 55,730 624,163 Wednesday 60,867 +27% 685,030 Thursday 58,135 +39% 743,165 Friday 81,941 +26% 825,106 Saturday 205,899 +16% 1,031,005 Sunday 210,688 +18% 1,241,693 Monday 65,141 +24% 1,306,834 Tuesday 68,444 +23% 1,375,278 Wednesday (Culture Day) 110,284 +81% 1,485,562 Thursday 73,648 +27% 1,559,210 Friday 133,215 +63% 1,692,574 Saturday 289,894 +41% 1,982,468 Sunday 264,686 +26% 2,247,178 Monday 77,403 +19% 2,324,604 Tuesday 84,365 +23% 2,408,962 Wednesday 101,652 -8% 2,510,614 Thursday 95,037 +29% 2,605,651 Friday 144,583 +9% 2,750,271 Walkups are getting better since presales were below last week by 9.5% yet it beat last Friday's total by 9%!!! 3M milestone will be hit on Saturday. Still no sign of slowing down with presales sitting over 183K!!! Edited July 7, 2023 by druv10 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Great day of sales for MI7 finally. Reviews in work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) https://www.koreanfilm.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Daily.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_DAILY&startYMD=20230708&endYMD=20230708 Looks like previews for MI7 start today, so SK is another country having a 9-day OW for it 😁 Edited July 7, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said: https://www.koreanfilm.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Daily.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_DAILY&startYMD=20230708&endYMD=20230708 Looks like previews for MI7 start today, so SK is another country having a 9-day OW for it 😁 Nah, it isn't uncommon to have multiple days of limited shows in Korea until true Midnight before WED Start. Officially opens on July 12. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) I would think this start should be good for 360-400k sat, 3.5M Sun cume off 1.25 wk. Aladdin had a 1.425 4th wk (jun 10-16) added ~7.4M (5.2x). A 940k 8th wk (Jul 8-14) and added ~2.6M (2.75x). I would guess Elemental adds ~3.2-4x the wk for ~7.5-8.5. May be just 7M if hit hard by MI but should be room for 2 to share the market fine. Edited July 7, 2023 by LegionGPT 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 Is this correct? Is $65 million really a minimum? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, cannastop said: Is this correct? Is $65 million really a minimum? no, possible though Edited July 7, 2023 by JustLurking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, cannastop said: Is this correct? Is $65 million really a minimum? That would be nearly 9m admissions which is definitely possible but certainly not the floor. I wanna know if that first stat is true though, is this really the biggest jump over an OD for a movie in South Korea? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 What is the presales number for MI7 so far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
