iceroll Posted October 24, 2013 Author Share Posted October 24, 2013 BD2 did 120m total in those countries but it was the finale. I think the more epic scale and action IMAX scenes for Catching Fire can make up for some of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Revised Latin America predictions: Argentina: 2,365,803 -> 5.5m (BD2: 7.3m) Bolivia: 115,391 -> 500k (BD2: 740k) Brazil: 10,152,708 -> 35m (BD2: 54m) Chile: 950,888 -> 3m (BD2: 4.6m) Colombia: 2,124,148 -> 5m BD2: (6.7m) Ecuador: 504,498 -> 1.5m (BD2: 2.2m) Mexico: 13,913,267 -> 30m (BD2: 29m) Peru: 890,985 -> 3m (BD2: 5.2m) Uruguay: 185,791 -> 500k (BD2: 400k) Venezuela: 1,692,559 -> 4m (BD2: 9.4m) Total Latin America: 32.9m -> 88m Those sound good to me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 I can't see this making more than 25m here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted October 24, 2013 Author Share Posted October 24, 2013 I can't see this making more than 25m here Surprise, surprise 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 (edited) Hehehe Edited October 24, 2013 by Goffe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Only 2 people srsly think that it'll do a billion, really? On many markets result will be 2, or even 3, times better, so ~600 indeed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Only 2 people srsly think that it'll do a billion, really? On many markets result will be 2, or even 3, times better, so ~600 indeed. It could very well do 1B. I personally have it at 950M WW right now. I just want to stay conservative for now. If we happen to get big news on OS numbers, then I'll most def bump it up to 1B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 (edited) It needs about 600M from oversea to hit 1B, which is Harry Potter level. Not impossible, if Francis Lawrence delivers. And it needs to open huge (on IM3 level) everywhere, since movies dedicated to YA trend to be frontloading. Edited October 24, 2013 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Well, if Latin America can actually do 88M, then that's off to a great start at making around 500M WW. That would almost be a fifth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I'm thinking $850m WW at an absolute maximum. That's taking into account slight increase/stable DOM and a HUGE OS increase. Anything $950m+ is honestly a bit unrealistic. DH2 - possibly the most anticipated movie ever - was the only Potter film to get over a billion, with help of 3D (ill acknowledge it was minimal), and 10 years of build up - $1B for CF is not happening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Why not? ALL Potter movies adjust to over 1b and they were in 2D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Why not? ALL Potter movies adjust to over 1b and they were in 2D.THG franchises biggest problem is overseas not increasing enough, and DOM possibly decreasing.Potter was big enough from the get go, even in 2001 $$, to maintain that $1B adjusted benchmark. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wormow Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 Did Jennifer take a percentage off the gross?She should. From HR:The actress is in the final stages of negotiating a rich deal to return for Catching Fire that will pay her somewhere in the $10 million range, according to sources close to the deal. The figure is a combination of salary, bonuses and escalators. Depending on the box-office performance of the film, she could earn much more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XenoZodiac Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 I can't see this hit 1Bn. OS was only $280m for THG. To increase more than double OS is a very unrealistic expectation. I guess this can hit 800m, or even go close to 900m, which is extremely hard already. 1 Bn is far out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XenoZodiac Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 I'm thinking $850m WW at an absolute maximum. That's taking into account slight increase/stable DOM and a HUGE OS increase. Anything $950m+ is honestly a bit unrealistic. DH2 - possibly the most anticipated movie ever - was the only Potter film to get over a billion, with help of 3D (ill acknowledge it was minimal), and 10 years of build up - $1B for CF is not happening. If only HP was more popular in NA. I still almost puke at the fact that all but one Twilight film is on par with all but one HP movie in domestic BO. Btw, DH2 needed no help (not even minimal) to get to 1Bn. You see, it needed to increase less than 50m from DH1 to hit the mark, and it almost did that in Dom BO alone (in 2D $$, it would have done about 330-340m against DH1's 290m) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 $420M OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 I'm not very sure about it, but early trends in Russia suggest an impressive jump in that country over THG. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 If only HP was more popular in NA. I still almost puke at the fact that all but one Twilight film is on par with all but one HP movie in domestic BO. :puke:Btw, DH2 needed no help (not even minimal) to get to 1Bn. You see, it needed to increase less than 50m from DH1 to hit the mark, and it almost did that in Dom BO alone (in 2D $$, it would have done about 330-340m against DH1's 290m)DH2 would have done 355m without 3D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XenoZodiac Posted October 26, 2013 Share Posted October 26, 2013 DH2 would have done 355m without 3D. I wasn't sure, so I deliberately low-balled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted October 27, 2013 Author Share Posted October 27, 2013 I'm not very sure about it, but early trends in Russia suggest an impressive jump in that country over THG. Oh what gives that's indication? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
