A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Given how Hollywood movies has been underperfoming internationally this year (so far), now I think 500m seems too hard. Somewhere in the 400m range seems more realistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Given how Hollywood movies has been underperfoming internationally this year (so far), now I think 500m seems too hard. Somewhere in the 400m range seems more realistic. Not all have underperformed. Obviously IM3 soared, FF6 got almost 550M OS, Despicable Me 2 got 477M, Monsters 462M. There have been dissapointments, but there have been some nice gains as well. I think CF can get to 500M seeing some of these movies get there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Can't see it doubles the first movie without 3D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Can't see it doubles the first movie without 3D. I have faith it can do it. Experts think it can as well. We'll get a better feel closer to November (or even checking out early ticket sales Oct. 1st). But this is a great start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Even that 550m FF6 number is kinda disappointing to me ... originally thought 700m was possible. Seems 700m os in summer for a 2D movie is still undoable for now. 2D movies do can get to 700m+ in winter with holiday legs though. Beside IM3, only FF6 did more than 500m this year to date. That's not good. It has been analyzed that this year international box office for Hollywood films overally are running about 15~20% behind previous two years, about on par with 2010 or slightly better. Still, MU and DM2 both should have done 500m+ by 2010 standard (Shrek 4 and TS3). The remaining 500m+ os candiates this year only have Thor 2, CF and Hobbit 2. Except Hobbit, the other two are no lock frankly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 New Predict: 475M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Even that 550m FF6 number is kinda disappointing to me ... originally thought 700m was possible. Seems 700m os in summer for a 2D movie is still undoable for now. 2D movies do can get to 700m+ in winter with holiday legs though. Beside IM3, only FF6 did more than 500m this year to date. That's not good. It has been analyzed that this year international box office for Hollywood films overally are running about 15~20% behind previous two years, about on par with 2010 or slightly better. Still, MU and DM2 both should have done 500m+ by 2010 standard (Shrek 4 and TS3). The remaining 500m+ os candiates this year only have Thor 2, CF and Hobbit 2. Except Hobbit, the other two are no lock frankly. I was fine with 550M for FF6 personally, though I don't know what the experts thought it was going to do. Perhaps the flip side to not many movies making 500M OS will be that maybe people are saving their money for the big movies come Fall? Just a theory. The one summer movie that was the biggest dissapointment for me OS wise was MoS. I thought Superman being a huge icon figure would have brought in way more than 370M. I think Thor2, CF, and Hobbit could all make 500M this Fall OS. Hobbit being the most likely, then Thor2 from the Avengers effect and it being 3D, and then CF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 Upgrading to 500M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 can't see 500m. Think this is being overpredicted. It won't see massive increases in every country Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marlon Brando Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 http://variety.com/2013/biz/news/hunger-games-catching-fire-heading-for-950-million-analyst-projects-1200610959/ Some pretty big predictions from analysts. If CF stays flat domestically from THG that would mean 450m OS. Same analysts predicted 1.2B for MOS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 LOL You really think those analysts are better at predicting than members of our forums? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 LOL You really think those analysts are better at predicting than members of our forums? No, that's not what I'm saying. It those articles, along with my own feelings, that this OS could really break out. Lionsgate put a lot of effort in marketing for this film vs the first one. Europe will bring big numbers (specifically Britain, France, and possibly Portugal). Brazil it's said to be big there. The only ones up for debate and probably won't be huge numbers are Japan and possibly China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marlon Brando Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 No, that's not what I'm saying. It those articles, along with my own feelings, that this OS could really break out. Lionsgate put a lot of effort in marketing for this film vs the first one. Europe will bring big numbers (specifically Britain, France, and possibly Portugal). Brazil it's said to be big there. The only ones up for debate and probably won't be huge numbers are Japan and possibly China. Those analysts usually overpredict. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 Those analysts usually overpredict. True, but I still have faith that it can reach that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted September 15, 2013 Share Posted September 15, 2013 I'm saying 450-475m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted September 21, 2013 Author Share Posted September 21, 2013 (edited) Goffe: 385m The Joker: 390m Ent: 390m JCS: 400m+ Jam90: 420m Halba: 420m Olive: 450m Marlon Brando: 450mGodzilla: 450m Tower: 450m Juby 460m Leyla: 460m The Stingray: 465m Robertron: 468m Peludo: 475m Neo: 475m Sonic: 475m Dexter of Suburbia: 475m Wally:500m The Futurist: 500mFiredeep: 520m Heretic: 530m Iceroll: 550m k1stpierre: 550m Dan355: 550m Adje: 560m Sims: 580m Noctis: 610m Alisson23: 680m fmpro: 1.2b (lol) Edited September 21, 2013 by Ice Minions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted September 21, 2013 Author Share Posted September 21, 2013 Let me know if I`ve missed you or didn`t update your prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Strange..My forecasts aren't there...I expect $475m OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxx93 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 510m OS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Changing my prediction from 680M to 600M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
