Olive Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Hard to figure out all these different number, but let's see if I have this straight. Frozen did about 3 million on Friday, but Friday was some kind of discounted day with ticket prices discounted 40%? Saturday is showing an increase in admissions from Friday, but those are full price tickets, so wouldn't Saturday be significantly more than 3m? Finally, it sounds like Sunday is even stronger than Saturdays in Japan, if that's the case then I can't see frozen under 10m for the 3 days, and it sounds like it could be more, unless I'm misreading things. 3M is just a guess.Could be 2-2.5M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 3M is just a guess.Could be 2-2.5M. It would almost have to be. 3m with the discounted prices would translate to a Saturday of 5 million with the same number of admissions at full price, which would mean over 10m for 2 days with a stronger Sunday. With 2-2.5 it seems like the 2 day would be closer to the 8m+ I'm seeing tossed around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Okay, mfantin. Corpse's projection for Frozen's total gross is between 70 and 80. Though I think it's conservative, despite Spring legs being weaker than summer ones according to him. Now, I'd really like to eat my hat this time, as Skyfall is my target. But of corse, if Frozen can't pass the 100M mark (damn you, weak yen!!!), I hope it falls 100K under MU (is it the turning point?). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Man. Japan is going to be a nail biter. It's not just the WW total that's in play, but also the OS total. It probably needs to get to $95 million to get the top animated spot OS. Though probably only $70m to get to #2 on that list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 They're tossing around DH2 comparisons in the Japan thread now... but let's keep predictions in check until after the weekend numbers lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickvD Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Man. Japan is going to be a nail biter. It's not just the WW total that's in play, but also the OS total. It probably needs to get to $95 million to get the top animated spot OS. Though probably only $70m to get to #2 on that list. Top animation overseas is at this point the only one I care about. That damn Ice Age movie needs to go down. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Okay, mfantin.Corpse's projection for Frozen's total gross is between 70 and 80. Though I think it's conservative, despite Spring legs being weaker than summer ones according to him.Now, I'd really like to eat my hat this time, as Skyfall is my target. But of corse, if Frozen can't pass the 100M mark (damn you, weak yen!!!), I hope it falls 100K under MU (is it the turning point?).Corpse will be dead wrong. Pun intended! Our over under is 90m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 I wonder if sing-alongs do well in Japan... or, if there haven't been many precedents, if musicals in general do well enough to think a sing-along would do well... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 I wonder if sing-alongs do well in Japan... or, if there haven't been many precedents, if musicals in general do well enough to think a sing-along would do well... Les miserables was the most recent hollywood musical film I think, and it grossed $62m (2nd highest OS market after UK) For phantom of the opera Japan was it's highest grossing OS market ($35m) and being the home of Karaoke you'd think Sing-along would do well there. However it remains to be seen whether such a format would work in theatres, since it failed miserably in south korea (musicals and karaoke are big here too) In any case if it is released it'll only be late on in their run I think & extending of legs is the most likely benefit we'll see if any. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Corpse will be dead wrong. Pun intended! Our over under is 90m. Corpse is on the conservative side. I think 100M is a done deal especially with this kind of opening with holidays boosting Frozen during the latter part of it's run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 109サイト上映25分前贩売数：20140316 （14:20 集计）贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名*8099 14453 *54 アナと雪の女王 【吹替】*6591 14218 *54 映画ドラえもん ２０１４*1326 *4232 *24 プリキュアオールスターズ ＮｅｗＳｔａｇｅ３*1021 *1457 **8 アナと雪の女王 【字幕】**993 *3377 *29 银の匙 Ｓｉｌｖｅｒ Ｓｐｏｏｎ One of the major chains in Japan. Yesterday at this time: 7241 Today 9120 admissions The capacity is over 50% ...amazing ~ 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 So is it looking at around 10M OW? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 TOHOサイト上映25分前贩売数：20140316 （14:30 集计）贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名30272 55205 202 映画ドラえもん 新・のび太の大魔境～ペコと５人の探検队～29431 52792 144 アナと雪の女王（日本语吹替版）*8967 26369 118 映画 プリキュアオールスターズ ＮｅｗＳｔａｇｅ３ 永远のともだち*6496 19640 *80 アナと雪の女王（字幕版） TOHO , the biggest chain. Yesterday at this time : 29035 Today 38186 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 So is it looking at around 10M OW? I think so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Those look like some major increases! More than the 12% Sunday increase that MU had, I think it should come in over expectations again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 It is 25.9% higher at the first theater and 31.5% higher at the second theater Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Awesome!! Keep bring in those updates labas!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 TOHOサイト上映25分前贩売数：20140316 （14:30 集计）贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名30272 55205 202 映画ドラえもん 新・のび太の大魔境～ペコと５人の探検队～29431 52792 144 アナと雪の女王（日本语吹替版）*8967 26369 118 映画 プリキュアオールスターズ ＮｅｗＳｔａｇｅ３ 永远のともだち*6496 19640 *80 アナと雪の女王（字幕版） TOHO , the biggest chain. Yesterday at this time : 29035 Today 38186 Each day is better than the previous one Even Japan can't avoid this Frozen effect, the word-of-mouth we saw in the rest of the world came into effect in this country as well I don't know if it can reach $100m, but if it can pass its Korean gross it would be great, and Japan can do it given the size of this market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABAS Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 KINEZOサイト上映25分前贩売数：20140316 （14:25 集计）贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名*4830 12522 *38 アナと雪の女王 （日本语吹替版）*4619 12653 *51 プリキュアオールスターズＮｅｗＳｔａｇｅ３永远のともだち*4155 11268 *45 映画ドラえもん新・のび太の大魔境*1002 *2667 *13 アナと雪の女王 （３Ｄ・字幕版）**851 *2629 *12 アナと雪の女王 （字幕版） The third biggest chain in Japan. Yesterday: 4902 Today 6683 admissions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 KINEZOサイト上映25分前贩売数：20140316 （14:25 集计）贩売数 座席数 回数 作品名*4830 12522 *38 アナと雪の女王 （日本语吹替版）*4619 12653 *51 プリキュアオールスターズＮｅｗＳｔａｇｅ３永远のともだち*4155 11268 *45 映画ドラえもん新・のび太の大魔境*1002 *2667 *13 アナと雪の女王 （３Ｄ・字幕版）**851 *2629 *12 アナと雪の女王 （字幕版） The third biggest chain in Japan. Yesterday: 4902 Today 6683 admissions even better! 36.3% increase Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
