China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[KP1025]

After seeing the new trailer, I think ID2 will be top Hollywood film of the year. 2012 (same director- Roland Emmerich) was the highest grossing movie of the year in China, beating even Transformers 2. If ID2 gets a good release date, I think Transformers 4's gross should be the floor.

[jb007]

14 hours ago, druv10 said:

Fuck you DW, they screwed the pooch with KFP3. It's going to make half of what it should have, fuck you once again.

DWA decision making regarding their movie releases is just terrible.

[Olive]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Olive,

   Update from maoyan/cbooo this morning put mermaid at 260m. So were the numbers yesterday night somewhat overestimated?

Yes, a bit.

Actuals will be out soon

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

20m per day. Close to 900 meaning upper 800s. 

 

 

Too optimistic. As I said from tuesday it will behave like a weekday(but like summer weekday). Plus it will lose screens on VD. There are 3 movies that will take away screens from KFP3. Probably will be single digit BO from 14th onwards. I would say high 800's finish more likely than being at high 800's in next 9 days.

[keysersoze123]

Mermaid looks like a monster. Probably will be close to 250m again today. Another 6 days it will be close to 2B or atleast 1.8B!!!! Macau 3 will gross around 135-140m while MK2 will gross 115-120m.

 

If Mermaid keeps decent amount of shows post next weekend it will easily beat Monster Hunt. I wonder how big a movie can get. Hope it grosses something like 3B.

[Fake]

2PM update: (Yesterday's 2PM figures in brackets)

 

Mermaid: 162.8M (170.1M)

Macau 3: 89.4M (110.3M)

TMK2: 76.8M (111.1M)

KFP3: 16.2M (13.7M)

 

Mermaid is only looking at a 4-5% drop! It could again come close to 250M! 2B is LOCKED.

 

Macau 3 looking at 20% drop and TMK3 30% drop. Former should do 1B but the latter probably won't.

 

KFP3 should have a decent bump today. 900M should happen IMO.

[POTUS 2020]

40 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:

Yes, a bit.

Actuals will be out soon

Oooh. Was black now green olive!

They said you became mod last year. Why not blue?

[Olive]

1 minute ago, No Prisoners said:

Oooh. Was black now green olive!

They said you became mod last year. Why not blue?

Just mod of China forum.

[POTUS 2020]

50 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Too optimistic. As I said from tuesday it will behave like a weekday(but like summer weekday). Plus it will lose screens on VD. There are 3 movies that will take away screens from KFP3. Probably will be single digit BO from 14th onwards. I would say high 800's finish more likely than being at high 800's in next 9 days.

Its 20% ahead of yesterday. Looks like it will bump close to 25m today. Shows increase to 5% tomorrow. Bumble again? Again IDK what will happen with screens next week but if it performs well it should keep enough. I thought Sunday openers are weak and different demo. TMK2 diving fast. This is the only other choice the kiddies have. 

 

Edit. The 3 releases have less than 1m in presales and low show count which will drop. KFP3 has 1.7 shows will go up over 3%

Edited February 9, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

21 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Just mod of China forum.

They should give you red then with a hint of yellow

Edited February 9, 2016 by No Prisoners

[keysersoze123]

24 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Looks like it will bump close to 25m today. Again IDK what will happen with screens next week but if it performs well it should keep enough. I thought Sunday openers are weak and different demo. TMK2 diving fast. This is the only other choice the kiddies have.

 

Edit. The 3 releases have less than 1m in presales and low show count which will drop. KFP3 has 1.7 shows will go up over 3%

 

we will see. But I am skeptical KFP3 keeping good amount of screens with 6 movies taking chunk of screens. Even with TMK2 diving its not gonna disappear after 6 days. KFP3 would be in its 17th day. Since its still 5 days away you will see openers and big holdovers grab a chunk of shows before smaller movies will add them. I would say around 2% is likely. I dont know how it will gross 20m with that amount of screens plus VD will attract different audience. But by 19th its gonna disappear all together. I would say 120m over next 5 days(including today). Another 50m till 19th and post that it will make 10-20m at best. You can do that math on where it will finish.

[Polaroids]

I hope Mermaid outgrosses Monster Hunt. That movie was awful.

[KP1025]

2 minutes ago, Polaroids said:

I hope Mermaid outgrosses Monster Hunt. That movie was awful.

 

Agreed. I'm still surprised it grossed so much. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Olive,

   Update from maoyan/cbooo this morning put mermaid at 260m. So were the numbers yesterday night somewhat overestimated?

about 500 more theaters yet to report. 

 

at the end of cbooo daily box office page, it shows the number of theaters that have reported bo numbers. currently, there should be close to 6400 theaters in total in active in the country.

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, Fake said:

 

 

Macau 3 looking at 20% drop and TMK3 30% drop. Former should do 1B but the latter probably won't.

 

 

Are you saying TMK2 will lose to TMK1 (2014)? Wow...

[TigerPaw]

I watched all 3 movies in Singapore, and I understand why Mermaid is breaking records. EASILY the best movie out of the 3. 
Not going to win any awards, not the critics type of show, but definitely a family movie that is extremely entertaining, Stephen Chow did it again.

It deserves every single cent it is earning right now. MK2 is almost as bad as MK1 =/   Macau 3 is the worst of the trilogy.  

[Fake]

6PM update:

 

Mermaid: 212M

Macau 3: 116.7M

TMK2: 100.6M

KFP3: 19M

 

Yeah..... 250M should happen for Mermaid. Should again stay flat tomorrow.

 

Macau 3 - 140M and TMK2 - 120M. They will drop again tomorrow.

[marveldcfox]

Stephen chow is like the James Cameron of China. 

 

Wish he is acting more often too.

[TigerPaw]

46 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:

Stephen chow is like the James Cameron of China. 

 

Wish he is acting more often too.

Everyone wish, haha, however he has stepped behind the camera... 
The day he steps infront again, I can't imagine what the box office results will be.

[keysersoze123]

8PM

Mermaid - 228.63m

Macau 3 - 127.89m

TMK2 - 110m

KFP3 - 19.33m

 

So things are tapering off. I am assuming pre-sales were heavy for evening time as usual. KFP3 barely moved in past 2 hours.