a2k Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 1.75-1.80x is a healthy multiplier for AIW considering the sheer size of ow. A lot of CBMs that open less than 1/3rd of AIW's ~1270 struggle to hit 2x. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said: 1.75-1.80x is a healthy multiplier for AIW considering the sheer size of ow. A lot of CBMs that open less than 1/3rd of AIW's ~1270 struggle to hit 2x. It would be insane to say that around 355 mln is a disappointment, but it may not be enough to reach 2bln. 355 china, 665 dom, 980 os-china isn't locked. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said: It would be insane to say that around 355 mln is a disappointment, but it may not be enough to reach 2bln. 355 china, 665 dom, 980 os-china isn't locked. Would be very very surprised if it misses $2b ww: Can't see it failing to add 2.5x the 4th weekend dom even conservatively for $670. $916 os-china after a 30 os-china weekend. $916+$30*2.1 = $980 $350 china the floor probably $670+$980+$350=$2000 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 1 hour ago, A2k Raptor said: Would be very very surprised if it misses $2b ww: Can't see it failing to add 2.5x the 4th weekend dom even conservatively for $670. $916 os-china after a 30 os-china weekend. $916+$30*2.1 = $980 $350 china the floor probably $670+$980+$350=$2000 Numbers are even better. It is at 918.5 os-China after a 32 million weekend. It will easily pass 2 billion worldwide but unfortunately fall short of TFA for a few million. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 10 hours ago, Jaybee said: Is the genre Chinese friendly ? Very friendly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 I think there's a big possibility that JW2 will cross $300M in China. I also think The Meg will cross $200M. Seems like the Chinese love movies with huge animals in it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 (edited) 11 hours ago, A2k Raptor said: Would be very very surprised if it misses $2b ww: Can't see it failing to add 2.5x the 4th weekend dom even conservatively for $670. $916 os-china after a 30 os-china weekend. $916+$30*2.1 = $980 $350 china the floor probably $670+$980+$350=$2000 I'm not saying that this is impossible that IW will reach 2 bln, but it fell down 52.5% (dom) and 60% (os-china), so 2.5x (dom) and 2x(os-china) seems too generous. And i don't understand POTUS est. ff8 58mln (yuan) mon 371 usd total, and IW 13 mln (yuan) monday and 340 usd total. And after that day ff8 made 17 mln usd more, and IW will do 21 mln usd more? Edited May 22, 2018 by 1Robert1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Doraemon the Movie 2018 will open on Jun.1 in China. (90%+ drop on 2nd wknd & 1.4 multiple for Solo confirmed!) 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: (90%+ drop on 2nd wknd & 1.4 multiple for Solo confirmed!) Was it not already? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 56 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said: I'm not saying that this is impossible that IW will reach 2 bln, but it fell down 52.5% (dom) and 60% (os-china), so 2.5x (dom) and 2x(os-china) seems too generous. It has dropped so high this weekend because of Deadpool release. Upcoming weekends should hold better. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 22, 2018 Author Share Posted May 22, 2018 Hold on your breath. We're in for a historical run. OD Presales Ranger Solo Blade Runner 2049 SW8 3 days + 5.5 hours before midnight 1 million21.1k shows listed 1.755 million17.3k shows listed 3.82 million31.8k shows listed 2 days + 5.5 hours before midnight 1.42million31.3k shows listed 2.46 million24k shows listed 5.1 million40k shows listed 1 day + 5.5 hours before midnight 3.37 million35.6k shows listed 7.8 million57.7k shows listed 5.5 hours before midnight 5.18 million50.1k shows listed 12.8 million84.4k shows listed OD box office 16.5million55.9k shows listed 65million91.23k shows listed Sat 19.6 million 48.9k shows listed 72.1 million 74.9k shows listed Sun 14.6 million41.6k shows listed 49.3 million66.5k shows listed OW total 50.7 million 186 million Maoyan Score 7.2 7.7 1 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Great news for IW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Escape Plan 2: Hades Jun.22 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephemeris Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 hours ago, 1Robert1 said: And i don't understand POTUS est. ff8 58mln (yuan) mon 371 usd total, and IW 13 mln (yuan) monday and 340 usd total. And after that day ff8 made 17 mln usd more, and IW will do 21 mln usd more? That Monday for FF8 was not a normal Monday; it was Labour Day. That's why FF8 dropped almost 70% on Tuesday. It also faced GotG2 the following Friday, which made it drop nearly 40% from Thursday. Meanwhile IW wasn't facing any strong new competition, so it could increase from Thursday instead of dropping. That's how IW's 4th weekend could beat FF8's 4th weekend, and how it could make a bit more than FF8 did after that Monday. However, Doraemon is now getting released on that Friday so that probably changes things a bit... Not sure how big that movie will be in China, so I have no idea how much it would affect IW. Maybe others in this thread who know more about it than me can give an idea on how much it would cut into IW's numbers. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Doubt Doraemon will break out. Not alot of animated movies do well in China box office. Also, Doraemon is a Japanese franchise and property after all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 28 minutes ago, Asyulus said: Doubt Doraemon will break out. Not alot of animated movies do well in China box office. Also, Doraemon is a Japanese franchise and property after all. A Doraemon film already did $86m in China in 2015. It does not imply that this one will repeat that result, but it is not impossible for a film like this to make good numbers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Pre-sale of Jurassic World 2 is about to start. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 hours ago, peludo said: It has dropped so high this weekend because of Deadpool release. Upcoming weekends should hold better. It will hold better because of Memorial Day in usa, but Solo will affect os-china, don't forget that Deadpool is rated r movie and solo isn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 41 minutes ago, Ephemeris said: That Monday for FF8 was not a normal Monday; it was Labour Day. That's why FF8 dropped almost 70% on Tuesday. It also faced GotG2 the following Friday, which made it drop nearly 40% from Thursday. Meanwhile IW wasn't facing any strong new competition, so it could increase from Thursday instead of dropping. That's how IW's 4th weekend could beat FF8's 4th weekend, and how it could make a bit more than FF8 did after that Monday. However, Doraemon is now getting released on that Friday so that probably changes things a bit... Not sure how big that movie will be in China, so I have no idea how much it would affect IW. Maybe others in this thread who know more about it than me can give an idea on how much it would cut into IW's numbers. It's not possible to say how Doraemon will affect IW, but Avengers ise already losing with this Chinese rom-com, so i think POTUS projections are too optimistic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 8 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Pre-sale of Jurassic World 2 is about to start. What would be a good starting number for it? I really hope it can be very succesfull in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...