Olive Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Venom now tracking ahead Monday actually, 90M in play? 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Olive said: Postive : negtive FB2 6.9 VENOM 61.4 FB2 33.6 Not sure how to read it, what is the difference between the 2 FB2 mentioned is one a typo and referring to FB1 one score ? From different day or source ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 On 11/15/2018 at 7:41 AM, fmpro said: Thursday 22 mill at 2,30pm Down 12% Wedensday ended at 69 mill. Today should be in the 60-61 mill area Friday 29 mill at 2,30pm Up 32% Thursday ended at 62 mill. Today should be in the 85-90 mill area with a little stronger evening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) Tomb Raider could beat FB2 in China as 2018 WB films go. I remember the approx USD totals, RPO $222 Rampage $156 Meg $153 TR $79 $45 ow * 1.75x will take FB2 close to TR. AQM to come soon. Edit: I forgot Smallfoot. Don't recall what it did. Edited November 16, 2018 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 48 minutes ago, Barnack said: Not sure how to read it, what is the difference between the 2 FB2 mentioned is one a typo and referring to FB1 one score ? From different day or source ? FB1 was 33.6, under 10 indicates mediocre WOM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Olive said: FB1 was 33.6, under 10 indicates mediocre WOM Ok thanks, that what I suspected, so if under 10:1 is mediocre, an under 1 is disastrous I imagine. Thats too bad, I thought that franchise could have had quite a good potential there and for the first one China was the biggest market after domestic, but if the movie rely into the old material I guess that make it hard on the new market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 7 hours ago, Brinatico said: You going to tell me FB2 jus going to do 3-3.5 of PS. TR do 5+ with a mere 8.2 rated RP1 do 6+ with good Rated Ramp. Do 7+ with normal rated This 3 have something in common. You predicted low box office and you get wrong the 3 times by a lot. I guess that the reason of that low multiplier is that FB is more fan-driven than Tomb Raider, RPO or Rampage. Presales for a Harry Potter film should always have more weight than those others films. And a 7.8 rating does not help. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, peludo said: I guess that the reason of that low multiplier is that FB is more fan-driven than Tomb Raider, RPO or Rampage. Presales for a Harry Potter film should always have more weight than those others films. And a 7.8 rating does not help. yeah, on top of that it's a sequel. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) 8 hours ago, Brinatico said: You going to tell me FB2 jus going to do 3-3.5 of PS. TR do 5+ with a mere 8.2 rated RP1 do 6+ with good Rated Ramp. Do 7+ with normal rated This 3 have something in common. You predicted low box office and you get wrong the 3 times by a lot. 3 to 3.5x is the range for a majority of fan driven sequels. going with the odds. higher is always a nice surprise. Expect to high and you bring doom upon yourself in this forum. FB2 heading to 90m+. A little over 3x PS Vm tracking high 80s I doubt FB2 bumps more than 20% tomorrow. Vm wins the weekend $50m to 40m 48 minutes ago, peludo said: I guess that the reason of that low multiplier is that FB is more fan-driven than Tomb Raider, RPO or Rampage. Presales for a Harry Potter film should always have more weight than those others films. And a 7.8 rating does not help. yup 41 minutes ago, a2k said: yeah, on top of that it's a sequel. yup Edited November 16, 2018 by POTUS 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) Venon Projection Wk1 1068 Wk2 480 The weekend/week looking to be -55%. Great hold these days Wk3 240 -50% next week, could be -40% with little competition. Wk4 80 Several releases on the schedule it could lose a lot screens, but could get them back and score better than -66% Wk5 15 Final weekend. No M-Th unless extended Total 1883/$271m $280m total possible if it holds -40% next weekend and -60% the following weekend. Demand burn could kick in though since its beyond the limits of single CBMs Edited November 16, 2018 by POTUS 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 FB2 has a lead of 14.6M on Maoyan but on real-time tracking , the lead is only 10.8M as of 530PM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, Olive said: FB2 has a lead of 14.6M on Maoyan but on real-time tracking , the lead is only 10.8M as of 530PM Plus Venom is doing better now than FB2. Venom did approximately 3.6m verses 2.32 of FB2 in the last half hour 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rogerio Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 What are the predctions for OW and final? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rogerio said: What are the predctions for OW and final? Looks like in the $40 million range. With a low Maoyan score, it's unlikely to have a good multiplier. I'm guessing maybe around $70-75 million total, down from the $86 million of the previous film. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, KP1025 said: Looks like in the $40 million range. With a low Maoyan score, it's unlikely to have a good multiplier. I'm guessing maybe around $70-75 million total, down from the $86 million of the previous film. China will fall by $10-15, Japan should fall by $10 (every film since HP1 has fallen 15% except DH2) and South Korea Day 2 is well below FB1's Day 2 after a higher OD. On the flip side France and Netherlands have started much stronger than FB1. Would be unexpected if Europe holds better than Asia. USA/Can, Aus, NZ should show drops. Considering it could drop $45-50 dom, $725 is not locked. EDIT: Agree with you @Rogerio 1 hour ago, Rogerio said: I think you´re very optimistic.. don´t think it will go much higher than 650kk USA - probably something like 170kk OS - China - the first did 500kk, maybe this one 420kk China - 70kk 660kk or something like that Edited November 16, 2018 by a2k 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rogerio Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I think you´re very optimistic.. don´t think it will go much higher than 650kk USA - probably something like 170kk OS - China - the first did 500kk, maybe this one 420kk China - 70kk 660kk or something like that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Looks like FB2 can’t even win Friday... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Looks like FB2 can’t even win Friday... Hi Gavin. How much FB1 do it on first week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 26 minutes ago, Brinatico said: Hi Gavin. How much FB1 do it on first week 3-day Opening - ¥283.53M / $40.99M Lifetime Gross - ¥591.84M / $85.56M ER - $1 = ¥6.9175 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rogerio Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 9 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: 3-day Opening - ¥283.53M / $40.99M Lifetime Gross - ¥591.84M / $85.56M ER - $1 = ¥6.9175 Do you think it could do at least 70M or maybe just 60M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...