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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

By A Marvel Fanboy, in China At The Box Office

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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted (edited)

ok first update based on BO numbers not hype or ratings

11am

BO increase by 43m +16.4% since 3am.  Iw was 23.6m +12.6%.  EG better by 30%.

IW made 181m for the rest of the day. That puts EG at 540m

To continue the 540m trend it will have to make 15m from 11 to 12m.  That is likely considering it made 7.4m from 1030 to 1100 and it already has made 7m in 22 min and should continue to increase the run rate

I projected out to 1pm for the hell of it to see what it needs to run at

540m OD looks reasonable for now

 

      FF8         IW    
      Multi to Rest of       Multi to Rest of  
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total BO Gain Total Day Total
11 196.8         205.6 23.6   181.4  
12 211.6 14.8 13.9 205.4 417.0 216.5 10.9 15.6 170.5 387.0
13 229.4 17.8 10.5 187.6 417.0 230.5 14.0 11.2 156.5 387.0
14 245.4 16.0 10.7 171.6 417.0 245.5 15.0 9.4 141.5 387.0
15 265.1 19.7 7.7 151.9 417.0 259.6 14.1 9.0 127.4 387.0
16 281.6 16.5 8.2 135.4 417.0 273.5 13.9 8.2 113.5 387.0
17 298.7 17.1 6.9 118.3 417.0 288.5 15.0 6.6 98.5 387.0
18 315.6 16.9 6.0 101.4 417.0 305.3 16.8 4.9 81.7 387.0
19 334.9 19.3 4.3 82.1 417.0 325.3 20.0 3.1 61.7 387.0
20 359.0 24.1 2.4 58.0 417.0 347.7 22.4 1.8 39.3 387.0
Total 417.0         387.0        
          EG          
      Multi to Rest of Proj Average     OD Shows
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total Proj     FF8 155k
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8       AoU 182k
12 320.0 15.0 14.5 217.5 537.5   11 to 12   EG 220k
13 337.5 17.5 11.0 192.5 530.0 533.8 11 to 13      
14             11 to 14     PS
15             11 to 15   FF8 165
16             11 to 16   AoU 182
17             11 to 17   EG 262
18             11 to 18      
19             11 to 19      
20             11 to 20      

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted

 Its blowing up. it made 8.9m in from 11-1130.

IW made only 10.9m from 11-12

Based on IW's run it projects over 600m.  Evenings may be weaker. I dropped the hourly multi 5% and its still over 600m

      FF8         IW    
      Multi to Rest of       Multi to Rest of  
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total BO Gain Total Day Total
11 196.8         205.6 23.6   181.4  
12 211.6 14.8 13.9 205.4 417.0 216.5 10.9 15.6 170.5 387.0
13 229.4 17.8 10.5 187.6 417.0 230.5 14.0 11.2 156.5 387.0
14 245.4 16.0 10.7 171.6 417.0 245.5 15.0 9.4 141.5 387.0
15 265.1 19.7 7.7 151.9 417.0 259.6 14.1 9.0 127.4 387.0
16 281.6 16.5 8.2 135.4 417.0 273.5 13.9 8.2 113.5 387.0
17 298.7 17.1 6.9 118.3 417.0 288.5 15.0 6.6 98.5 387.0
18 315.6 16.9 6.0 101.4 417.0 305.3 16.8 4.9 81.7 387.0
19 334.9 19.3 4.3 82.1 417.0 325.3 20.0 3.1 61.7 387.0
20 359.0 24.1 2.4 58.0 417.0 347.7 22.4 1.8 39.3 387.0
Total 417.0         387.0        
          EG          
      Multi to Rest of Proj Average     OD Shows
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total Proj     FF8 155k
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8       AoU 182k
12 325.0 20.0 14.5 290.0 615.0   11 to 12   EG 220k
13 350.0 25.0 10.7 267.5 617.5 616.3 11 to 13      
14             11 to 14     PS
15             11 to 15   FF8 165
16             11 to 16   AoU 182
17             11 to 17   EG 262
18             11 to 18      
19             11 to 19      
20             11 to 20      
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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

 Its blowing up. it made 8.9m in from 11-1130.

IW made only 10.9m from 11-12

Based on IW's run it projects over 600m.  Evenings may be weaker. I dropped the hourly multi 5% and its still over 600m

      FF8         IW    
      Multi to Rest of       Multi to Rest of  
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total BO Gain Total Day Total
11 196.8         205.6 23.6   181.4  
12 211.6 14.8 13.9 205.4 417.0 216.5 10.9 15.6 170.5 387.0
13 229.4 17.8 10.5 187.6 417.0 230.5 14.0 11.2 156.5 387.0
14 245.4 16.0 10.7 171.6 417.0 245.5 15.0 9.4 141.5 387.0
15 265.1 19.7 7.7 151.9 417.0 259.6 14.1 9.0 127.4 387.0
16 281.6 16.5 8.2 135.4 417.0 273.5 13.9 8.2 113.5 387.0
17 298.7 17.1 6.9 118.3 417.0 288.5 15.0 6.6 98.5 387.0
18 315.6 16.9 6.0 101.4 417.0 305.3 16.8 4.9 81.7 387.0
19 334.9 19.3 4.3 82.1 417.0 325.3 20.0 3.1 61.7 387.0
20 359.0 24.1 2.4 58.0 417.0 347.7 22.4 1.8 39.3 387.0
Total 417.0         387.0        
          EG          
      Multi to Rest of Proj Average     OD Shows
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total Proj     FF8 155k
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8       AoU 182k
12 325.0 20.0 14.5 290.0 615.0   11 to 12   EG 220k
13 350.0 25.0 10.7 267.5 617.5 616.3 11 to 13      
14             11 to 14     PS
15             11 to 15   FF8 165
16             11 to 16   AoU 182
17             11 to 17   EG 262
18             11 to 18      
19             11 to 19      
20             11 to 20      

What even is this movie lmao

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted

I believe China is going to ruin my hope of a double single territory record for Endgame, and I’m totally cool with that :worthy:

 

Sidenote: If it can hit ¥615m OD, it would actually take the single day record from TFA (¥615m OD + ¥188m MN) before it’s broken again domestically. 

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shruth Cult Classic

shruth

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

What are the chances that EG does the impossible and breaks into the 3rd and 4th tier cities? From what's been said that's what's needed to have real legs. And if it does happen would that open the floodgates for later MCU movies like SM:FFH?

If it breaks into 3rd and 4th tier cities / rural areas this baby will hit $1 BILLION. But it's not gonna happen to a big degree, that sort of stuff takes decades.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

 Its blowing up. it made 8.9m in from 11-1130.

IW made only 10.9m from 11-12

Based on IW's run it projects over 600m.  Evenings may be weaker. I dropped the hourly multi 5% and its still over 600m

      FF8         IW    
      Multi to Rest of       Multi to Rest of  
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total BO Gain Total Day Total
11 196.8         205.6 23.6   181.4  
12 211.6 14.8 13.9 205.4 417.0 216.5 10.9 15.6 170.5 387.0
13 229.4 17.8 10.5 187.6 417.0 230.5 14.0 11.2 156.5 387.0
14 245.4 16.0 10.7 171.6 417.0 245.5 15.0 9.4 141.5 387.0
15 265.1 19.7 7.7 151.9 417.0 259.6 14.1 9.0 127.4 387.0
16 281.6 16.5 8.2 135.4 417.0 273.5 13.9 8.2 113.5 387.0
17 298.7 17.1 6.9 118.3 417.0 288.5 15.0 6.6 98.5 387.0
18 315.6 16.9 6.0 101.4 417.0 305.3 16.8 4.9 81.7 387.0
19 334.9 19.3 4.3 82.1 417.0 325.3 20.0 3.1 61.7 387.0
20 359.0 24.1 2.4 58.0 417.0 347.7 22.4 1.8 39.3 387.0
Total 417.0         387.0        
          EG          
      Multi to Rest of Proj Average     OD Shows
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total Proj     FF8 155k
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8       AoU 182k
12 325.0 20.0 14.5 290.0 615.0   11 to 12   EG 220k
13 350.0 25.0 10.7 267.5 617.5 616.3 11 to 13      
14             11 to 14     PS
15             11 to 15   FF8 165
16             11 to 16   AoU 182
17             11 to 17   EG 262
18             11 to 18      
19             11 to 19      
20             11 to 20      

scooty rent is 600 now.😏

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted

Going by 12:00 CST, shall go for ¥600mn plus OD. Though I will suggest being conservative and think of going -¥50mn unless it is absolutely sure to clear the number.

 

Time

Wednesday

Gross

Change

Change %

% of total

Presales

¥262

   

41.23%

12:00

¥323

¥61

23.28%

50.83%

13:00

¥343

¥20

6.19%

53.97%

14:00

¥371

¥28

8.51%

58.30%

15:00

¥398

¥28

7.42%

62.63%

16:00

¥421

¥23

5.65%

66.17%

17:00

¥446

¥25

5.95%

70.10%

18:00

¥476

¥31

6.90%

74.94%

19:00

¥514

¥38

7.98%

80.92%

20:00

¥562

¥47

9.24%

88.39%

21:00

¥603

¥41

7.34%

94.89%

22:00

¥623

¥20

3.32%

98.03%

         

Final

¥636

     

 

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