charlie Jatinder Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 (edited) 1917 looks like ¥11-12mn Approx OD. Let's see what score it get. I am expecting ¥50mn weekend. Edited August 7, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 29 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: 1917 looks like ¥11-12mn Approx OD. Let's see what score it get. I am expecting ¥50mn weekend. Number looks good. A bit disappointed with Ford vs Ferrari's numbers though, excellent film but to be released alongside the much hyped 1917 as well as strong holdovers.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 (edited) 27 minutes ago, TigerPaw said: Number looks good. A bit disappointed with Ford vs Ferrari's numbers though, excellent film but to be released alongside the much hyped 1917 as well as strong holdovers.. Opening is low but let's wait for reception. Can have a run. You can never really write off a good film in China until Saturday. I am looking at ¥2.25mn OD and with good WoM, weekend can be ¥12-15mn. Edited August 7, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 Dolitle cross ¥100mn in China after 15 days in release. Shall emerge the biggest grosser from Hollywood in China in 2020 tomorrow beating Spies in Disguise ¥103mn. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 Looking at this: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2020/?area=CN&grossesOption=totalGrosses I thought why life is beautiful opening higher than Interstellar went unnoticed...... oh Jan 3 release. Still nice numbers for a 90s movie. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 7, 2020 Share Posted August 7, 2020 (edited) 10 hours ago, Barnack said: I thought why life is beautiful opening higher than Interstellar went unnoticed Interstellar 1 day vs LiB 3 days. Besides, LiB did some 3mn in normalcy, in normalcy even Interstellar would have gone unnoticed for most part. Edited August 8, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 1917 no major growth, in fact may be flat. Interstellar good growth, Saturday will be about 40% down from opening day, which is great. Dolittle good growth. Overall weekend will be downer from last week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rogerio Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 In dollar, how much do you think Potter will earn in OD, OW and final? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, Rogerio said: In dollar, how much do you think Potter will earn in OD, OW and final? IMO $6mn, $22mn and $40-50mn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted August 8, 2020 Share Posted August 8, 2020 How come the Mulan release date still hasn't been announced? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 On 8/8/2020 at 10:21 PM, lorddemaxus said: How come the Mulan release date still hasn't been announced? Yeah it's weird but as rumors have it, its 28th August. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Interstellar nice ¥5.6mn (-42%) Monday. Total of rerun ¥87mn. Expecting ¥101mn by Thursday. Next weekend perhaps ¥15-17mn. before 800 release can be ¥125mn. Donno how much it can do after that but ¥135mn ($19.25mn) is perhaps possible. Dolittle ¥3mn 3rd Monday (-25%). Total ¥116.5mn. Perhaps ¥124mn by Thursday. 4th weekend could be ¥10mn or so. Before 800 certainty can reach ¥140-142mn. ($20.5mn). Sheep Without Shepherd ¥3.5mn Monday (-14%). Brilliant re-run. ¥91m so far. Will be around ¥103mn by Thursday. This can run may be in September even. Its week wise run for re-run so far Week 0: ¥7.5mn Week 1: ¥34mn Week 2: ¥33mn (-3%) Week 3: ¥29mn (-13%) May be another ¥75-100mn. That will take the full run to ¥1383-1408mn. No. 40 all time. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: Yeah it's weird but as rumors have it, its 28th August. Yeah, that's why I was surprised, espescially considering that they already announced a bunch of movies releasing around that weekend and also announced Tenet's release date which is after the 28th. Edited August 10, 2020 by lorddemaxus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 32 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: Yeah, that's why I was surprised, espescially considering that they already announced a bunch of movies releasing around that weekend and also announced Tenet's release date which is after the 28th. Well we had Endgame release date just 11 days early along with pre-sales, so let' see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 11, 2020 Share Posted August 11, 2020 (edited) So films are played with 3 months license now. Lol. From you can't play more than 4 weeks to this. China's rule of playing just 4 weeks led the box office community freak worldwide last year for two months, "Will Endgame beat Avatar or not". Edited August 11, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted August 11, 2020 Share Posted August 11, 2020 13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: So films are played with 3 months license now. Lol. From you can't play more than 4 weeks to this. China's rule of playing just 4 weeks led the box office community freak worldwide last year for two months, "Will Endgame beat Avatar or not". Is this the new rule? Or just an exception to bring people to theaters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 (edited) Only about 1,700 theaters which earned more than ¥10 million box office revenue last year can arrange previews of 800. Correction: this is a inaccurate news. Also, some small and independent theaters may not be able to screen 800 because of the new distribution model Huayi Brother is doing. The studio have asked these exhibitors to sign a deal, which is similar to box office minimum guarantee between distributors. Huayi Brother believe 800 can make as much as films like Dying to Survive in its first seven days. So the exhibitors who sign the deal have to pay the studio some money before its wide release debut. How much exactly? For example, if I’m the owner of a small theater and earned 0.01% of Chinese Box office in 2019, the price would be 0.01% * first seven-day gross of Dying to Survive. I can’t screen the movie(even after 7 days of its release) if I don’t pay them. Big theaters chain keep original split model so they don’t have many problems on 800. Not sure how this would impact pre-sale. Edited August 12, 2020 by Gavin Feng 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 (edited) 43 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Only about 1,700 theaters which earned more than ¥10 million box office revenue last year can arrange previews of 800. Also, some small and independent theaters may not be able to screen 800 because of the new distribution model Huayi Brother is doing. The studio have asked these exhibitors to sign a deal, which is similar to box office minimum guarantee between distributors. Big theaters chain keep original split model so they don’t have many problems on 800. Not sure how this would impact pre-sale. Ok this is very famous method of releasing in India. Theaters mostly independent ones, are required to pay MG to the distributor for releasing the film. Exhibitor will only earn when the film cross that MG mark. Big chains, well they have leverage over studio due to their size, so they don't have to pay any such numbers. There shouldn't be impact on pre-sales as majority business I suppose is from national chains. Unless independent chains have unity to say NO to the model and they can make leverage in unity, which rarely happens and in doing so they don't screen 800. Edited August 12, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 12, 2020 Share Posted August 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Ok this is very famous method of releasing in India. Theaters mostly independent ones, are required to pay MG to the distributor for releasing the film. Exhibitor will only earn when the film cross that MG mark. Big chains, well they have leverage over studio due to their size, so they don't have to pay any such numbers. There shouldn't be impact on pre-sales as majority business I suppose is from national chains. Unless independent chains have unity to say NO to the model and they can make leverage in unity, which rarely happens and in doing so they don't screen 800. speak of of the devil, Huayi Brother just canceled the new model 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...