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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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I still don't see $150M gross..... let alone $200M.

Sun - 170M

Mon-Thurs - 200M (60-55-45-40)

Fri-Sun - 150M (40-60-50)

Mon-Thurs- 70M

Fri-Sun - 60M

So it will be at around 650M ($100M) after its 3rd Sunday. Then a lot of Hollywood movies will be opening, and it will add maybe 15M max.

So $120M is what I think its heading for.

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I still don't see $150M gross..... let alone $200M.

Sun - 170M

Mon-Thurs - 200M (60-55-45-40)

Fri-Sun - 150M (40-60-50)

Mon-Thurs- 70M

Fri-Sun - 60M

So it will be at around 650M ($100M) after its 3rd Sunday. Then a lot of Hollywood movies will be opening, and it will add maybe 15M max.

So $120M is what I think its heading for.

Thats just 4,3*OD...

I hope for a bit more

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Terminator China???

It is a fitting subtitle. I bet all of the movie will be in China and tons of chinese stars will be in it. Hell, nobody remembers Matthew Smith as Skynet. Switch him for a chinese mega star. 

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It is a fitting subtitle. I bet all of the movie will be in China and tons of chinese stars will be in it. Hell, nobody remembers Matthew Smith as Skynet. Switch him for a chinese mega star. 

 

Fan Bingbing as Sarah Connor and Jackie Chan as Skynet, Jet Li as Kyle Reese.

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Will MH really surpass F7?

What are the current total grosses for both?

MH will beat it.

 

FF7           TF4         MH          
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot  
Thur                     165     165 27  
Fri           195     195 32 132     297 48  
Sat 51 - MN       223 14.4%   418 69 188 42.4%   485 78  
Sun 347     398 64 213 -4.6%   631 103 184 -2.1%   669 108  
Mon 185 -46.7%   583 94 123 -42.1%   754 124 110 -40.2%   779 125  
Tues 167 -9.7%   750 121 112 -8.9%   866 142 103 -6.4%   882 142  
Wed 137 -18.0%   887 143 95 -15.7%   961 157 85 -17.5%   967 156  
Thur 115 -16.1%   1002 162 84 -11.0%   1045 171 83 -2.4% -49.7% 1050 169  
Fri 142 23.8%   1144 185 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 81 -2.4% -38.6% 1131 182  
Sat 226 59.0%   1371 221 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 121 49.4% -35.6% 1252 202  
Sun 185 -18.1% -46.6% 1556 251 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 125 3.3% -32.1% 1377 222  
Mon 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 64 -48.8% -41.8% 1441 232  
Tue 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 62 -3.1% -39.8% 1503 242  
Wed 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 57 -8.1% -32.9% 1560 251  
Thu 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 44 -22.8% -47.0% 1604 258  
Fri 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 47 6.8% -42.0% 1651 266  
Sat 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 78 66.0% -35.5% 1729 278  
Sun 69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 72 -7.69% -42.4% 1801 290  
Mon 27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329 26 -55.2% -51.9% 1756 288 38 -47.2% -40.6% 1839 296  
Tue 26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 334 28 7.7% -47.2% 1784 293 36 -5.3% -41.9% 1875 302  
Wed 24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337 23 -17.9% -46.5% 1807 296 30 -16.7% -47.4% 1905 307  
Thu 31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342 18 -21.7% -53.8% 1825 299 27 -10.0% -38.6% 1932 311  
Fri 67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353 18 0.0% -57.1% 1843 302 28 3.7% -40.4% 1960 316  
Sat 67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364 24 33.3% -61.3% 1867 306 44 57.1% -43.6% 2004 323  
Sun 39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370 20 -16.67% -65.5% 1887 309 46.5 5.68% -35.4% 2051 330  
Mon 15 -61.3% -43.7% 2308 373 10 -50.0% -61.5% 1897 311 23 -50.5% -39.5% 2074 334  
Tue 14 -9.3% -48.1% 2322 375 10 0.0% -64.3% 1907 313 24 4.3% -33.3% 2098 338  
Wed 12 -13.9% -50.2% 2334 377 10 0.0% -56.5% 1917 314 20.8 -13.3% -30.7% 2118 341  
Thu 10 -11.9% -66.9% 2344 379 9 -10.0% -50.0% 1926 316 16 -23.1% -40.7% 2134 343  
Fri 14 31.7% -79.7% 2358 381 11 22.2% -38.9% 1937 318 18 12.5% -35.7% 2152 346  
Sat 24 71.5% -64.9% 2381 385 11 0.0% -54.2% 1948 319 28.5 58.3% -35.2% 2181 351  
Sun 20 -15.3% -49.0% 2401 388           28.8 1.05% -38.1% 2210 355  
Mon 10 -49.7% -33.8% 2411 390           13.8 -52.1% -40.0% 2223 357  
Tue                     13.8 0.0% -42.5% 2237 360  
        2411 390       1948 319 13.5 -2.2% -35.1% 2251 362  
                      31 129.6% 93.8% 2282 366  
                      12.7 -59.0% -29.4% 2294 368  
                      19 49.6% -33.3% 2313 371  
                      11 -42.11% -61.8% 2324 373  
                      7.5 -31.8% -45.7% 2332 374 est
                      7.4 -1.3% -46.4% 2339 375 proj
                      7 -5.4% -48.1% 2346 377 proj
                      6.5 -7.1% -79.0% 2353 378 proj
                          2450 2525 390 -404
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T5 on track for 55m today down 63%, not including MN

FF7 dropped just 47% Monday. It did 10x more from its Monday number, $30m/326m +OD $64m to get to 390m

Following that model if T5 can hold as well as F7 going forward begets in yen:

165m OD + 550m(10x today) remainder of the run, as a best case scenario. 715m total

Im thinking 650m-700m, $102m-110m. 4.3-4.6 OD multiplier, not including MN

 

MH bouncing back already from its first 50%+ drop yesterday. Will only drop 30% from yesterday, 45%w/o/w.

TMK on track to hold down 35%, not phased by T5. It did keep the same % of showtimes yesterday and today which helped. MH lost 30% of it STs.

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Isn't it summer in china. So weekdays will be stronger but weekend increases are weaker. So hard to compare Furious 7 with TG.

Good point. Actually shows how much more weaker T5 is.  FF7 held 47% on a Monday workaday.. T5 having a larger drop on a summer Monday says something about FF7s strength. The drop wont be as bad as I thought. Looking to come in 65-70m. evening is very strong. may be down 53%. not bad after all.

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T5 running at down 20% today and gaining. AOU dropped 26% its 3rd day, FF7 just 9%. Last night was really strong. A lot of adult working males must be attending. Could have a nice pop on the weekend like AOU had.

 

So 10x day 2 + OD= 870m. If it gets the big weekend pop it could exceed that.

 

MH and TMK still getting hit. Very few evening shows as there used to be. They held up amazingly well against dozens of local releases, some of them good, and Arnold is terminating them with a so-so domestic release. Who knew? They should hopefully hold better come the weekend or Arnold the manly man will have broken a lock or two

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