druv10 Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 TF4 released during summer, stronger weekdays. Hopefully Ant-man can recover over the weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 So 100 mill begins to be a struggle at this point Oh well. Im still good with what number comes in now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 (edited) WOM is good, on par with GOTG. But with Marvel becoming a bigger brand in China, MCU movies will be more front-loaded than before. Front-loadness is not a good thing for blockbusters. Usually, they never are. Edited October 19, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gokai Red Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Doom and gloom coming from one number right after a weekend where everyone was praising the movie? Quite impressive. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 (edited) 500m WW for Ant Man is done, right? Edited October 19, 2015 by ThomasNicole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 500m WW for Ant Man is done, right? Its impossible for me to see a scenario where it dos'ent hit 500 mill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Lets see what actuals are, the other sites have ests at 36m for Monday. I think $100m/635m is out if it is 32m, 500m WW will still happen, $85m total is needed and is locked. like AOU it will have shit weekdays then bump big on the weekend +40%/+80%/-25% assuming 12% daily drops for T and W, maybe 18% on thur: M-32 (we'll see where this adjusts in a few hours) T- 28.2 W-25.8 T-20.6 F-28.8 S-52 -51% w/o/w, not bad S-38 Tot- 495, will make close to 100m the following week then get crushed by competition and crawl over 600m, $95-100m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 (edited) True but Transformers are the ultimate brand in China and even they aren't this frontloaded. It had a huge opening weekend and could have been front loaded but WOM kicked in and reached into other demos, evident in the 45-50% holds it had after such a big weekend along w help from summer movie going, Actual is 31.3m for Monday. I now think it'll be 600m +/-15m. $92-97m. $507+WW The little prince continues to do well. it nearly doubled IO's first weekday at 5.6m down 78% from sunday. IO dropped 85%. It should do at least 150m/$24m GML losing steam too fast. It wont beat LIHK unless it hold big this weekend. should still clear at least 1.5B Edited October 20, 2015 by M F Lawrence 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 No one talking about PAN, it opens in 2 days? How about Detective Conan? Any chance for a repeat of Doraemon-like perf? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 No one talking about PAN, it opens in 2 days? How about Detective Conan? Any chance for a repeat of Doraemon-like perf? Pan is horrible, worse than Maleficent.. Theaters give Conan a lot of showtimes.. It won't do half of Doraemon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgchn40 Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 It had a huge opening weekend and could have been front loaded but WOM kicked in and reached into other demos, evident in the 45-50% holds it had after such a big weekend along w help from summer movie going, Actual is 31.3m for Monday. I now think it'll be 600m +/-15m. $92-97m. $507+WW The little prince continues to do well. it nearly doubled IO's first weekday at 5.6m down 78% from sunday. IO dropped 85%. It should do at least 150m/$24m GML losing steam too fast. It wont beat LIHK unless it hold big this weekend. should still clear at least 1.5B How's Oct box office growing yoy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Pan is horrible, worse than Maleficent.. Theaters give Conan a lot of showtimes.. It won't do half of Doraemon. What are your predictions for those two movies ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 What are your predictions for those two movies ? Pan $20-25m Conan $25-30M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Tuesday estimates ANT-MAN 28.5M/333M GML 18.4M/1238M THE LITTLE PRINCE 6.2M/81.2M LOST IN HK 2.0M/1605M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 That is very good for Antman. < 10% drop from monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 How's Oct box office growing yoy? 2.76 last year 3.20 thru the 20th. should get over 4.2B up 50%+ some amazing months this year. Hard to keep this pace at these levels. I predict at least 3 months drop next year, definitely april, BvS isn't going to come close to FF7. and probably July. What are the odds you get another MH, JBM and TMK at the same time. This could be the golden year of 10 golden years of growth. Like Domestic's 1930-39 when talkies got started and the golden year of 1939, some say biggest of all time(tickets per capita) with Gone with the wind, Mr smith goes to Washington and Good bye mr chips all big earners 2013 2014 2015 Jan 1650 1920 +16.4% 2590 +34.9% Feb 2120 3240 +52.8% 4050 +25.0% Mar 1390 1620 +16.5% 2910 +79.6% Apr 1790 1770 -1.1% 4090 +131.1% May 2130 2220 +4.2% 3180 +43.2% Jun 1820 2720 +49.5% 3286 +20.8% Jul 1790 3610 +101.7% 5500 +52.4% Aug 2320 2550 +9.9% 3200 +25.5% Sep 1300 1800 +38.5% 3000 +66.7% Oct 1600 2760 +72.5% 4200 +52.2% Nov Dec YTD 17,910 24,210 +35.2% 36,006 +48.7% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 November and December will increase 50% easily with the strong slate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 I don't think we'll necessarily see monthly drops year-on-year. Sure, there might not be a new FF7 or new MH, JBM and TMK at the same time but the overall market growth is only driven partly by these huge blockbusters. The rest of the market growth is due to medium-sized blockbusters as well as smaller movies making more and more and with screens still being built and the market still being far from maturity we should continue to see those expand. You'll definitely have slower months but it will take more than the lack of a big blockbuster to fall in negative territory. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Marvel announced Ant-Man 2 BEFORE the first movie opened in China. It was like they already knew how big it was going to be in China... Crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xugik Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Marvel announced Ant-Man 2 BEFORE the first movie opened in China. It was like they already knew how big it was going to be in China... Crazy. Of course they already anticipated that considering Ant Man performed very well in other East and South East Asian countries (outgrossing Guardians of the Galaxy in several countries there) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
